I would hope people don't discount the degree of non-vocal Trump supporters this year like they did 4 years ago. I feel like due to everything nowadays, there's still a large group of them, even if it feels like there's a lot more vocal group now.
That said, I still think it's a toss up. I thought Trump was probably going to win last year, but it was more of a "I won't be surprised if he wins" kind of deal. This year I feel much of the same.
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