Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1382

07/14/2025 07:15:11 AM

07/14/2025

07:15 AM

When people talk about user SaveEstelle, this is what they say

It is known

https://imgur.com/WqDcNNq
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MegaWentEvil

07/14/2025 09:10:07 AM

07/14/2025

09:10 AM

WarThaNemesis posted in the last topic:

It's time to talk about the Mario Movie boost, who is ready for Peach > Squall next contest?

Bold of you to assume Character Battle X wasn't the last contest we will ever have.

he/him | Aromantic/Asexual(Non-partnering) | Avatar made with Sangled's Picrew
Times I have been subjected to aro/ace erasure as of 09/29/22 - 3

07/14/2025 02:00:51 PM

07/14/2025

02:00 PM

This is the biggest margin FF has had in this poll over Zelda

Zelda actually beat FF in 2018 despite the LFF

Does this mean FF is stronger now or Zelda is weaker?

https://imgur.com/WqDcNNq
https://imgur.com/89Z5jrB

FFDragon

07/14/2025 02:07:53 PM

07/14/2025

02:07 PM

BotW/TotK were pretty divisive I think, and 7Rs have been a pretty big win for Square so... Maybe both?

If you wake up at a different time, in a different place, could you wake up as a different person?
#theresafreakingghostafterus

07/14/2025 02:13:04 PM

07/14/2025

02:13 PM

FFDragon posted...

BotW/TotK were pretty divisive I think

I think this is just a very vocal minority (to the point that actual fans like me don't even want to talk about the games on B8 because those people inevitably show up to whine about how bad the games are). I'd guess Zelda won in 2018 because of BotW.

https://imgur.com/WqDcNNq
https://imgur.com/89Z5jrB

Kotetsu534

07/14/2025 02:15:41 PM

07/14/2025

02:15 PM

Most likely explanation to me is that FF fans are disproportionately staying around. This poll will probably have less than two thirds the total of the 2022 version - that's a pretty big drop off.

We are living our lives
Abound with so much information

MacArrowny

07/14/2025 02:36:53 PM

07/14/2025

02:36 PM

Yeah, it's entirely possible that proportionately, this poll has fewer voters who played FFXV and BotW than the last poll did.

All the stars in the sky are waiting for you.

07/15/2025 12:33:35 AM

07/15/2025

12:33 AM

#10

Chaos Division preview!

Round 1

Sonic - 100% for both
Diablo - 88.16% for BOP, 90.24% for Guru
Tifa - 100% for both
Luigi - 92.76% for BOP, 95.12% for Guru

Round 2

Sonic - 98.68% for BOP, 99.19% for Guru
Tifa - 90.13% for BOP, 93.50% for Guru

Round 3

Sonic - 95.39% for BOP, 95.93% for Guru

Not much to see here. There were a handful of pickers for Kratos > Diablo, KOS-MOS > Luigi, Luigi > Tifa, and Tifa > Sonic, but this was mostly considered a fairly predictable division.

http://i2.kym-cdn.com/photos/images/original/001/080/145/638.png

MegaWentEvil

07/15/2025 11:57:40 AM

07/15/2025

11:57 AM

#11

KOS-MOS beating Luigi? Pfft, as if.

he/him | Aromantic/Asexual(Non-partnering) | Avatar made with Sangled's Picrew
Times I have been subjected to aro/ace erasure as of 09/29/22 - 3

07/15/2025 10:58:53 PM

07/15/2025

10:58 PM

#12

20XX Division preview!

Round 1

Mega Man - 99.34% in BOP, 100% in Guru
Leon Kennedy - 96.05% in BOP, 95.93% in Guru
Yoshi - 100% in both
Ocelot - 97.37% in BOP, 100% in Guru

Round 2

Mega Man - 99.34% in BOP, 100% in Guru
Yoshi - 88.82% in BOP, 98.37% in Guru

Round 3

Mega Man - 98.68% in BOP, 100% in Guru

There was one random person in the BOP who had Conker winning the division. Also Pac-Man > Ocelot was a major upset in terms of overall picks.

http://i2.kym-cdn.com/photos/images/original/001/080/145/638.png

07/16/2025 04:03:18 PM

07/16/2025

04:03 PM

#13

I love that for as much as Magus losing was absolute shock to Board 8, it somehow doesn't really overshadow Pac-Man vs. Ocelot.

Agent Triple Zero at your service!
This line reserved for the true greatone, azuarc , winner of Game of the Decade!

07/16/2025 09:41:59 PM

07/16/2025

09:41 PM

#14

Now let's do the rest of the contest!

Round 4

Samus - 68.42% in BOP, 69.92% in Guru

Snake - 78.95% in BOP, 75.61% in Guru
Bowser - 19.08% in BOP, 21.95% in Guru

Crono - 99.34% in BOP, 100% in Guru

Mega Man - 87.50% in BOP, 92.68% in Guru
Sonic - 11.84% in BOP, 6.50% in Guru

Round 5

Samus - 67.76% in BOP, 69.92% in Guru

Crono - 84.21% in BOP, 91.87% in Guru
Mega Man - 13.82% in BOP, 8.13% in Guru

Final

Samus - 57.24% in BOP, 60.98% in Guru
Crono - 25.66% in BOP, 21.95% in Guru
Mario - 10.53% in BOP, 13.82% in Guru
Mega Man - 4.61% in BOP, 3.25% in Guru

Tournament of Champions

Link - 81.58% in BOP, 78.86% in Guru

Sephiroth - 88.16% in BOP, 90.24% in Guru
Samus - 9.87% in BOP, 8.13% in Guru

Link - 80.92% in BOP, 78.86% in Guru
Cloud - 18.42% in BOP, 21.14% in Guru

As you can see, Samus was a pretty solid favorite to win the whole thing, and even Crono had more picks as winner than Mario, which makes sense when you consider Crono had beaten Mario the year before. Also I had Sonic > Mega Man, so close to scoring a big upset there!

http://i2.kym-cdn.com/photos/images/original/001/080/145/638.png

07/17/2025 05:22:59 AM

07/17/2025

05:22 AM

#15

Most people picking Samus > Mario stuck with her the whole way, was that the same for the people picking Mario?

Guinness Book of World Records is the name of the diary that belongs to azuarc , the winner of the Game of the Decade II guru contest.

07/17/2025 06:48:07 AM

07/17/2025

06:48 AM

#16

Well, only 10% picked Mario to win it all and 33% had him beating Samus.

I think a lot of people predicted the A > B > C > A loop there, where Mario could beat Samus even if he wasn't directly stronger than her, but then he'd still lose to Crono.

https://imgur.com/WqDcNNq
https://imgur.com/89Z5jrB

07/17/2025 07:21:08 AM

07/17/2025

07:21 AM

#17

Yeah, I would assume most with Mario > Samus had him winning the next match as well.

Guinness Book of World Records is the name of the diary that belongs to azuarc , the winner of the Game of the Decade II guru contest.

MarioSuperstar

07/17/2025 07:38:47 AM

07/17/2025

07:38 AM

#18

ctesjbuvf posted...

Most people picking Samus > Mario stuck with her the whole way, was that the same for the people picking Mario?

Yup had Mario winning it all the whole time.

"i am pretty sure 3-year old children would generate more thoughtful discussion than board 8 on any topic of sexism" - Naye745

07/17/2025 08:44:23 AM

07/17/2025

08:44 AM

#19

ctesjbuvf posted...

Yeah, I would assume most with Mario > Samus had him winning the next match as well.

Yeah, everyone had Mario beating Snake. It was Crono that was the question.

https://imgur.com/WqDcNNq
https://imgur.com/89Z5jrB

LiquidOshawott

07/17/2025 08:47:17 AM

07/17/2025

08:47 AM

#20

Thinking the answer is I would trust Mario against Nintendo (not Link obv) and Samus against Non Nintendo

such a spirited debate 20 years later

I live on, THROUGH THIS SEASHELL!
VeryInsane's mobile account

07/19/2025 12:06:46 AM

07/19/2025

12:06 AM

#21

https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/2066-mushroom-division-round-1-mario-vs-joanna-dark

And now it begins! The result was no surprise, but it was nice to see we almost hit 100,000 votes on day one after the vote totals were noticeably down in 2004.

https://imgur.com/WqDcNNq
https://imgur.com/89Z5jrB

TeamRocketElite

07/19/2025 12:44:28 AM

07/19/2025

12:44 AM

#22

100k votes is a lot.

My bracket looked like random picks compared to his.
Congrats to azuarc for winning the GotD 2020 Guru Contest!

07/19/2025 12:47:46 AM

07/19/2025

12:47 AM

#23

Yeah...it was...

It's Reyn Time.

TeamRocketElite

07/19/2025 12:49:10 AM

07/19/2025

12:49 AM

#24

I looked at how many votes yesterday's PotD got. It was a bad idea.

My bracket looked like random picks compared to his.
Congrats to azuarc for winning the GotD 2020 Guru Contest!

07/19/2025 08:48:47 AM

07/19/2025

08:48 AM

#25

Joanna Dark getting in was cool, but then the bracket next year would be favored so that she would have made it then regardless.

Guinness Book of World Records is the name of the diary that belongs to azuarc , the winner of the Game of the Decade II guru contest.

pjbasis

07/19/2025 11:20:03 AM

07/19/2025

11:20 AM

#26

what were PotD's getting when contests were around 100k?

http://i498.photobucket.com/albums/rr345/Rakaputra/B8%20Girls%202012/pjbas.png

07/19/2025 11:22:16 AM

07/19/2025

11:22 AM

#27

pjbasis posted...

what were PotD's getting when contests were around 100k?

Looking at the polls leading up to SC2K5, the average seemed to be in the 60k range.

https://imgur.com/WqDcNNq
https://imgur.com/89Z5jrB

FFDragon

07/19/2025 11:26:23 AM

07/19/2025

11:26 AM

#28

TeamRocketElite posted...

I looked at how many votes yesterday's PotD got. It was a bad idea.

I almost never look at them but because of this I did dnd I can't believe that many people are out here raw dogging life like that

If you wake up at a different time, in a different place, could you wake up as a different person?
#theresafreakingghostafterus

07/20/2025 12:08:04 AM

07/20/2025

12:08 AM

#29

https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/2067-mushroom-division-round-1-ness-vs-carl-johnson

https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/a/forum/3/3f80f0b1.jpg

This is low key a significant result for a few reasons. First, it's the birth of RacistFAQs. Second, it was the first harbinger of what would eventually come to be known as the Nintendo Boost. Third, it essentially marked the end of Grand Theft Auto as a successful contest entrant that we had to take seriously.

The result was also controversial due to the match pic because that's not Carl Johnson. This was a major upset on the board where we also got owned by the casuals. The Oracle average was CJ with 56.72% here, so we expected him to beat Ness with relative ease. However, Ness had 51.90% of the brackets, so he was the overall favorite.

On a personal note, this result also propelled my favorites bracket to #1 on the leaderboard, where it would remain for a few days with Squall as my champion. This was my first and only time being #1 on a leaderboard, so it was pretty neat for me!

https://imgur.com/WqDcNNq
https://imgur.com/89Z5jrB

#30

Post #30 was unavailable or deleted.

snake_5036

07/20/2025 12:12:18 AM

07/20/2025

12:12 AM

#31

Same old CJ. Busta! Straight busta!

You felt your sins weighing on your neck.

07/20/2025 12:23:20 AM

07/20/2025

12:23 AM

#32

Tommy Vercetti was out there single-handedly holding up the entire GTA series' contest credibility for a few years, but even he succumbed eventually.

It's Reyn Time.

07/20/2025 12:27:32 AM

07/20/2025

12:27 AM

#33

Oh yeah, I should also note that San Andreas had just won GotY here, and I believe it was still the #1 FAQ on the site at the time of the match (remember when that was a thing we cared about?). This result was also a blow against those two things as predictive metrics.

http://i2.kym-cdn.com/photos/images/original/001/080/145/638.png

TeamRocketElite

07/20/2025 01:44:04 AM

07/20/2025

01:44 AM

#34

Leonhart4 posted...

On a personal note, this result also propelled my favorites bracket to #1 on the leaderboard, where it would remain for a few days with Squall as my champion. This was my first and only time being #1 on a leaderboard, so it was pretty neat for me!

RIP LeonhartForever

My bracket looked like random picks compared to his.
Congrats to azuarc for winning the GotD 2020 Guru Contest!

07/20/2025 03:15:23 AM

07/20/2025

03:15 AM

#35

That was a good account, yeah

https://imgur.com/WqDcNNq
https://imgur.com/89Z5jrB

07/20/2025 07:20:58 AM

07/20/2025

07:20 AM

#36

San Andreas was up there as #1 for a long time as I recall.

Guinness Book of World Records is the name of the diary that belongs to azuarc , the winner of the Game of the Decade II guru contest.

pjbasis

07/20/2025 12:22:38 PM

07/20/2025

12:22 PM

#37

CJ's best match pic would be the screenshot of him saying "ah shit. here we go again."

http://i498.photobucket.com/albums/rr345/Rakaputra/B8%20Girls%202012/pjbas.png

MegaWentEvil

07/20/2025 12:46:00 PM

07/20/2025

12:46 PM

#38

Leonhart4 posted...

The result was also controversial due to the match pic because that's not Carl Johnson.

Yeah, he was just some random guy in a loading screen.

he/him | Aromantic/Asexual(Non-partnering) | Avatar made with Sangled's Picrew
Times I have been subjected to aro/ace erasure as of 09/29/22 - 3

shane15

07/20/2025 02:16:36 PM

07/20/2025

02:16 PM

#39

Kinda crazy the casual pick was Ness. I'd have thought it was the other way around.

http://i2.kym-cdn.com/photos/images/original/000/330/958/a5b.gif

07/20/2025 02:22:55 PM

07/20/2025

02:22 PM

#40

Yeah, it was odd because GTA is usually major casual bait. Maybe people just didn't realize it was a GTA character when they were filling out the bracket.

https://imgur.com/WqDcNNq
https://imgur.com/89Z5jrB

07/21/2025 04:41:33 PM

07/21/2025

04:41 PM

#41

https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/2068-mushroom-division-round-1-zero-vs-ryu-hayabusa

https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/a/forum/4/43f7d754.jpg

Oops, forgot I hadn't done this yet!

These are two of the most photogenic characters we've had, so they naturally made for a cool match pic. Hayabusa outperformed expectations by 4% here, perhaps because he didn't get ninja pics in 2004, which probably hurt him that year. Hayabusa has shown himself to be one of the most picture dependent characters we have.

https://imgur.com/WqDcNNq
https://imgur.com/89Z5jrB

07/21/2025 06:08:47 PM

07/21/2025

06:08 PM

#42

Leonhart4 posted...

Yeah, it was odd because GTA is usually major casual bait. Maybe people just didn't realize it was a GTA character when they were filling out the bracket.

If he was listed as "Carl" or even "Carl Johnson," I can see it. Because 95% of San Andreas's dialogue refers to him as CJ. At least they got that in the match pic, even if CJ wasn't in it.

Agent Triple Zero at your service!
This line reserved for the true greatone, azuarc , winner of Game of the Decade!

07/22/2025 06:31:31 AM

07/22/2025

06:31 AM

#43

https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/2069-mushroom-division-round-1-lloyd-irving-vs-albert-wesker

The Oracle average for Lloyd was 63.62% here, which sounds crazy, but it makes sense when you consider Mithos and Wesker both faced Kefka in the Villains Contest. Mithos was expected to get 58% on Wesker through that comparison, so it made sense to predict Lloyd to do better.

Of course, the easy answer to this conundrum is that Kefka overperformed against Wesker due to getting his angel sprite, but it's still amusing to see Mithos do better.

This would be the only Character Battle match a Tales character won until Velvet in 2018. Lloyd was also one of the original five NRT winners, which would explain how he got a 2 seed here.

https://imgur.com/WqDcNNq
https://imgur.com/89Z5jrB

07/22/2025 09:43:18 AM

07/22/2025

09:43 AM

#44

I do wonder how the board would have predicted Lloyd/Wesker without the Villains contest. Probably would have been a debatable match since Wesker had some hype, and B8 still really loved ToS and had a bit more faith in non-Square jRPGs at this point.

Agent Triple Zero at your service!
This line reserved for the true greatone, azuarc , winner of Game of the Decade!

Yesmar_

07/22/2025 02:33:24 PM

07/22/2025

02:33 PM

#45

I always forget that Lloyd has actually won a match.

Obviously the shock of the match was due to Kefka overperforming on Wesker in Villains, but even adjusting for all that, this still puts Lloyd barely above Mithos which is quite confounding. Who cares about Mithos?

Congrats on Advokaiser for winning the 2018 Guru Contest!
Yesmar

07/22/2025 05:51:19 PM

07/22/2025

05:51 PM

#46

Villains Wesker seems unusually weak compared to the other appearances he's had.

Wonder if him only being listed as "Wesker" in Villains and "Albert Wesker" everywhere else made a difference.

https://imgur.com/WqDcNNq
https://imgur.com/89Z5jrB

07/22/2025 06:08:21 PM

07/22/2025

06:08 PM

#47

Yeah, I don't think Wesker's underperformance against Kefka is entirely explained by the picture. It's certainly the biggest and most obvious factor, but it's pretty clear that the Mithos match would have been an anomaly even if it hadn't been behind that Kefka match.

Agent Triple Zero at your service!
This line reserved for the true greatone, azuarc , winner of Game of the Decade!

07/22/2025 06:17:47 PM

07/22/2025

06:17 PM

#48

Leonhart4 posted...

Villains Wesker seems unusually weak compared to the other appearances he's had.

I think Wesker was pretty consistently terrible until Resident Evil 5, where he finally had a major front-facing role. Before that it was just his underwhelming role in RE1, plus some random spinoffs no one played.

It's Reyn Time.

07/22/2025 06:41:56 PM

07/22/2025

06:41 PM

#49

https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/2892-division-8-round-1-wesker-daxter-lara-sora

This was pre-RE5, right?

https://imgur.com/WqDcNNq
https://imgur.com/89Z5jrB