Lurker > Team Rocket Elite

Congrats Ganondorf! You've come a long way since losing to Magus.

--
Pokemon VGC2011 US Nationals - 54th place
Pokemon VGC2012 NW Regional - 16th place

Congrats DGKMO! That locks you into at least a second place tie. I was 5th this time.

The First Vote Club - Fall '11

#1. Mario vs. Bowser - Aprosenf
#2. Ike vs. Black Knight - starfox2245
#3. Kirby vs. Meta Knight - Luster Soldier
#4. Katherine vs. Catherine - Team Rocket Elite
#5. Captain Falcon vs. Shadow - Regaro
#6. Bartz vs. Gilgamesh - Team Rocket Elite
#7. Donkey Kong vs. King K. Rool - Team Rocket Elite
#8. Sub-Zero vs. Scorpion - frankftw, Team Rocket Elite
#9. Pokemon Trainer Red vs. Blue - Team Rocket Elite
#10. Luigi vs. Waluigi - Team Rocket Elite
#11. Ratchet vs. Dr. Nefarious - Regaro
#12. Fox McCloud vs. Wolf O'Donnell - DGKMO
#13. Samus vs. Ridley, The Kid vs. The Guy - Luster Soldier, Regaro
#14. Terra vs. Kefka - NewerShadow
#15. Chris Redfield vs. Wesker - NewerShadow, Team Rocket Elite
#16. Tidus vs. Jecht - GTM
#17. Link vs. Ganondorf - GameBopAdv
#18. Amaterasu vs. Orochi - Team Rocket Elite
#19. Zidane vs. Kuja - Luster Soldier
#20. Mega Man vs. Dr. Wily - Luster Soldier
#21. Phoenix Wright vs. Edgeworth - Nintendoboy375
#22. Alucard vs. Dracula - DGKMO
#23. Chell vs. GlaDOS - NewerShadow
#24. Frog vs. Magus - Regaro
#25. Lloyd vs. Kratos, Cloud Strife vs. Sephiroth - Luster Soldier, IloveYoda
#26. Layton vs. Don Paolo - Team Rocket Elite
#27. Pac-Man vs. Blinky - tyder21
#28. Crono vs. Lavos - Luster Soldier
#29. Laharl vs. Mid-Boss - Korayashi
#30. Ramza Beoulve vs. Delita Hyral - Aprosenf
#31. Dante vs. Vergil - Team Rocket Elite
#32. Sora vs. Riku - Team Rocket Elite
#33. Mario vs. Bowser - GameBopAdv
#34. Kirby vs. Meta Knight - Team Rocket Elite
#35. X vs. Zero - DGKMO
#36. Sub-Zero vs. Scorpion - IloveYoda
#37. Pokemon Trainer Red vs. Blue - Team Rocket Elite
#38. Fox McCloud vs. Wolf O'Donnell - DGKMO, XIII_rocks
#39. Samus Aran vs. Ridley - Luster Soldier
#40. Big Boss vs. The Boss - DGKMO
#41. Link vs. Ganondorf - Nintendoboy375
#42. Mega Man vs. Dr. Wily - DGKMO, Regaro
#43. Phoenix Wright vs. Edgeworth - Luster Soldier, Team Rocket Elite
#44. Frog vs. Magus - Team Rocket Elite
#45. Cloud vs. Sephiroth, Kratos vs. Zeus - DGKMO, Aprosenf, XIII_rocks
#46. Solid Snake vs. Liquid Snake - Aprosenf
#47. Squall vs. Seifer - NewerShadow
#48. Dante vs. Vergil - Regaro
#49. Mario vs. Bowser - NewerShadow
#50. X vs. Zero - Regaro
#51. Pokemon Trainer Red vs. Blue - DGKMO
#52. Big Boss vs. The Boss - Regaro
#53. Link vs. Ganondorf - DGKMO
#54. Alucard vs. Dracula - DGKMO
#55. Cloud Strife vs. Sephiroth, Solid Snake vs. Liquid Snake - GTM, Team Rocket Elite
#56. Squall vs. Seifer - NewerShadow
#57. Mario vs. Bowser - DGKMO, Aprosenf
#58. Pokemon Trainer Red vs. Blue - Aprosenf
#59. Link vs. Ganondorf - Aprosenf
#60. Squall Leonhart vs. Seifer Almasy - NewerShadow
#61. Pokemon Trainer Red vs. Blue - Luster Soldier
#62. Link vs. Ganondorf - DGKMO
#63. Pokemon Trainer Red vs. Blue - ?

Scoreboard:
Team Rocket Elite - 16 wins
DGKMO - 12 wins
Luster Soldier - 9 wins
Regaro - 8 wins
Aprosenf - 7 wins
NewerShadow - 7 wins
GameBopAdv - 2 wins
IloveYoda - 2 wins
Nintendoboy375 - 2 wins
XIII_rocks - 2 wins
GTM - 2 wins
starfox2245 - 1 win
frankftw - 1 win
tyder21 - 1 win
Korayashi - 1 win

--
Pokemon VGC2011 US Nationals - 54th place
Pokemon VGC2012 NW Regional - 16th place

Score-Brackets-% Right
128----4------------50.00
127----6------------83.33
126----4------------75.00
125----3------------66.67
124----5------------80.00
123----11----------100.00
122----14----------100.00
121----7------------85.71
120----180--------99.44
119----35----------94.29
118----33----------78.79
117----38----------89.47
116----61----------90.16
115----105--------95.24
114----110--------83.64
113----110--------92.73
112----125--------88.80
111----140--------84.29
110----371--------93.80
109----191--------86.91
108----200--------80.50
107----223--------85.65
106----248--------84.27
105----251--------86.45
104----287--------83.97
103----337--------87.83
102----313--------84.35
101----335--------85.37
100----337--------85.16
99------376--------85.37
98------341--------81.23
97------381--------81.10
96------357--------82.35
95------407--------83.54
94------398--------83.17
93------380--------80.79
92------392--------81.12
91------377--------78.25
90------382--------81.15
89------369--------79.67
88------340--------77.94
87------367--------80.38
86------364--------74.73
85------326--------74.85
84------288--------76.04
83------267--------64.04
82------299--------72.58
81------251--------63.35
80------256--------60.94
79------253--------61.26
78------206--------62.62
77------232--------53.88
76------208--------54.81
75------222--------51.80
74------176--------48.86
73------187--------51.87
72------147--------53.06
71------146--------49.32
70------144--------47.22
69------155--------49.68
68------137--------40.88
67------131--------34.35
66------123--------39.84
65------127--------35.43
64------113--------33.63
63------105--------36.19
62------116--------38.79
61------98----------25.51
60------94----------24.47
59------86----------24.42
58------91----------21.98
57------64----------25.00
56------69----------18.84
55------69----------13.04
54------56----------10.71
53------65----------13.85
52------66----------12.12
51------56----------7.14
50------59----------11.86
49------52----------7.69
48------53----------5.66
47------48----------10.42
46------37----------8.11
45------44----------11.36
44------36----------2.78
43------36----------5.56
42------52----------5.77

40------31----------6.45
39------19----------5.26
38------42----------14.29
37------25----------4.00

35------15----------6.67

32------14----------7.14

27------6------------16.67

25------5------------20.00

17------3------------33.33

15------4------------50.00

Nearly 70% support for Mario in the finals. Not bad at all. Looking at the top 54 brackets, they had roughly 84% support for Mario. The tiers below them do slightly better with high 80s to low 90s support for Mario. The prediction percentage fades from there.

7 people fell off the top 50. Former third place GranzonEx, Sentsuizan, LlednarTwem, Big_Bob, trogita2, zora32 and antony2k3 did not have Mario/Bowser winning the match.

--
Pokemon VGC2011 US Nationals - 54th place
Pokemon VGC2012 NW Regional - 16th place

Bump

--
Pokemon VGC2011 US Nationals - 54th place
Pokemon VGC2012 NW Regional - 16th place

Bump

--
Pokemon VGC2011 US Nationals - 54th place
Pokemon VGC2012 NW Regional - 16th place

Bump

--
Pokemon VGC2011 US Nationals - 54th place
Pokemon VGC2012 NW Regional - 16th place

Smith shouldn't be able to deal with Soil of Genesis, right?

--
Pokemon VGC2011 US Nationals - 54th place
Pokemon VGC2012 NW Regional - 16th place

No. SFF always favours the naturally stronger competitor.

--
Pokemon VGC2011 US Nationals - 54th place
Pokemon VGC2012 NW Regional - 16th place

There was also Marina who was a Top Coordinator.

--
Pokemon VGC2011 US Nationals - 54th place
Pokemon VGC2012 NW Regional - 16th place

Control Royal Demon would be nice if there were Royal Demons around. I'm not sure what FFDragon can do other than throw around Nets of Carnage.

VeryInsane's Bone Transformation can use his own bone if necessary but is even better when using FFDragon's. Beast's Hand of Light sounds like a magical arm made of energy that VeryInsane can attack with.

VeryInsane

--
Pokemon VGC2011 US Nationals - 54th place
Pokemon VGC2012 NW Regional - 16th place

Bump

--
Pokemon VGC2011 US Nationals - 54th place
Pokemon VGC2012 NW Regional - 16th place

Cloud Strife vs. Sephiroth with 58.00%
Link vs. Ganondorf with 60.00%

--
Pokemon VGC2011 US Nationals - 54th place
Pokemon VGC2012 NW Regional - 16th place

Pac-man likely overperformed due to the pictures the Snakes got.

--
Pokemon VGC2011 US Nationals - 54th place
Pokemon VGC2012 NW Regional - 16th place

MAX on Cloud Strife/Sephiroth > 46%

--
Pokemon VGC2011 US Nationals - 54th place
Pokemon VGC2012 NW Regional - 16th place

It's freaking Mario. It's not the first time a rally against him has failed like this.

--
Pokemon VGC2011 US Nationals - 54th place
Pokemon VGC2012 NW Regional - 16th place

This is over. Trainers will fall 2-3% from here to the end of the match like they do every match.

The standard trends are definitely against Red/Blue. The problem is they aren't currently following standard trends or Mario would have buried them after the first 5 minutes.

--
Pokemon VGC2011 US Nationals - 54th place
Pokemon VGC2012 NW Regional - 16th place

Mario, you were trusted with the task of dealing with the poke-menace. Are you going to fail in that task? Master Link will be very displeased...

Master Shortpants can deal with the problem himself if he doesn't like Red/Blue winning. =D

--
Pokemon VGC2011 US Nationals - 54th place
Pokemon VGC2012 NW Regional - 16th place

Lead change!

--
Pokemon VGC2011 US Nationals - 54th place
Pokemon VGC2012 NW Regional - 16th place

It's too bad Pokemon doesn't have it's usual questionably fair pictures. If somehow Red/Blue manage to stay this close they might have made the difference.

--
Pokemon VGC2011 US Nationals - 54th place
Pokemon VGC2012 NW Regional - 16th place

Would you like to use CUT on this lead?

I didn't expect that.

--
Pokemon VGC2011 US Nationals - 54th place
Pokemon VGC2012 NW Regional - 16th place

Red/Blue still gets to make a run at Cloud/Sephiroth. Probably won't win but with the board vote they may be able to pretend they can for a while.

--
Pokemon VGC2011 US Nationals - 54th place
Pokemon VGC2012 NW Regional - 16th place

Nice job so far Red/Blue. Hopefully you can end respectably as well.

--
Pokemon VGC2011 US Nationals - 54th place
Pokemon VGC2012 NW Regional - 16th place

Congrats Luster Soldier! I was 6th this time.

The First Vote Club - Fall '11

#1. Mario vs. Bowser - Aprosenf
#2. Ike vs. Black Knight - starfox2245
#3. Kirby vs. Meta Knight - Luster Soldier
#4. Katherine vs. Catherine - Team Rocket Elite
#5. Captain Falcon vs. Shadow - Regaro
#6. Bartz vs. Gilgamesh - Team Rocket Elite
#7. Donkey Kong vs. King K. Rool - Team Rocket Elite
#8. Sub-Zero vs. Scorpion - frankftw, Team Rocket Elite
#9. Pokemon Trainer Red vs. Blue - Team Rocket Elite
#10. Luigi vs. Waluigi - Team Rocket Elite
#11. Ratchet vs. Dr. Nefarious - Regaro
#12. Fox McCloud vs. Wolf O'Donnell - DGKMO
#13. Samus vs. Ridley, The Kid vs. The Guy - Luster Soldier, Regaro
#14. Terra vs. Kefka - NewerShadow
#15. Chris Redfield vs. Wesker - NewerShadow, Team Rocket Elite
#16. Tidus vs. Jecht - GTM
#17. Link vs. Ganondorf - GameBopAdv
#18. Amaterasu vs. Orochi - Team Rocket Elite
#19. Zidane vs. Kuja - Luster Soldier
#20. Mega Man vs. Dr. Wily - Luster Soldier
#21. Phoenix Wright vs. Edgeworth - Nintendoboy375
#22. Alucard vs. Dracula - DGKMO
#23. Chell vs. GlaDOS - NewerShadow
#24. Frog vs. Magus - Regaro
#25. Lloyd vs. Kratos, Cloud Strife vs. Sephiroth - Luster Soldier, IloveYoda
#26. Layton vs. Don Paolo - Team Rocket Elite
#27. Pac-Man vs. Blinky - tyder21
#28. Crono vs. Lavos - Luster Soldier
#29. Laharl vs. Mid-Boss - Korayashi
#30. Ramza Beoulve vs. Delita Hyral - Aprosenf
#31. Dante vs. Vergil - Team Rocket Elite
#32. Sora vs. Riku - Team Rocket Elite
#33. Mario vs. Bowser - GameBopAdv
#34. Kirby vs. Meta Knight - Team Rocket Elite
#35. X vs. Zero - DGKMO
#36. Sub-Zero vs. Scorpion - IloveYoda
#37. Pokemon Trainer Red vs. Blue - Team Rocket Elite
#38. Fox McCloud vs. Wolf O'Donnell - DGKMO, XIII_rocks
#39. Samus Aran vs. Ridley - Luster Soldier
#40. Big Boss vs. The Boss - DGKMO
#41. Link vs. Ganondorf - Nintendoboy375
#42. Mega Man vs. Dr. Wily - DGKMO, Regaro
#43. Phoenix Wright vs. Edgeworth - Luster Soldier, Team Rocket Elite
#44. Frog vs. Magus - Team Rocket Elite
#45. Cloud vs. Sephiroth, Kratos vs. Zeus - DGKMO, Aprosenf, XIII_rocks
#46. Solid Snake vs. Liquid Snake - Aprosenf
#47. Squall vs. Seifer - NewerShadow
#48. Dante vs. Vergil - Regaro
#49. Mario vs. Bowser - NewerShadow
#50. X vs. Zero - Regaro
#51. Pokemon Trainer Red vs. Blue - DGKMO
#52. Big Boss vs. The Boss - Regaro
#53. Link vs. Ganondorf - DGKMO
#54. Alucard vs. Dracula - DGKMO
#55. Cloud Strife vs. Sephiroth, Solid Snake vs. Liquid Snake - GTM, Team Rocket Elite
#56. Squall vs. Seifer - NewerShadow
#57. Mario vs. Bowser - DGKMO, Aprosenf
#58. Pokemon Trainer Red vs. Blue - Aprosenf
#59. Link vs. Ganondorf - Aprosenf
#60. Squall Leonhart vs. Seifer Almasy - NewerShadow
#61. Pokemon Trainer Red vs. Blue - Luster Soldier
#62. Link vs. Ganondorf - ?

Scoreboard:
Team Rocket Elite - 16 wins
DGKMO - 11 wins
Luster Soldier - 9 wins
Regaro - 8 wins
Aprosenf - 7 wins
NewerShadow - 7 wins
GameBopAdv - 2 wins
IloveYoda - 2 wins
Nintendoboy375 - 2 wins
XIII_rocks - 2 wins
GTM - 2 wins
starfox2245 - 1 win
frankftw - 1 win
tyder21 - 1 win
Korayashi - 1 win

--
Pokemon VGC2011 US Nationals - 54th place
Pokemon VGC2012 NW Regional - 16th place

Score-Brackets-% Right
120----4------------100.00
119----6------------100.00
118----4------------100.00
117----3------------100.00
116----5------------100.00
115----11----------100.00
114----14----------100.00
113----7------------100.00
112----180--------100.00
111----35----------100.00
110----34----------97.06
109----41----------92.68
108----62----------98.39
107----105--------100.00
106----111--------99.10
105----115--------95.65
104----127--------98.43
103----148--------94.59
102----374--------98.93
101----193--------97.41
100----206--------96.60
99------230--------96.96
98------265--------93.21
97------266--------92.48
96------311--------91.64
95------350--------94.00
94------342--------90.35
93------365--------90.41
92------364--------90.66
91------419--------88.07
90------370--------87.30
89------402--------89.80
88------384--------86.20
87------443--------87.13
86------442--------82.58
85------410--------84.15
84------436--------82.11
83------385--------84.94
82------416--------80.53
81------397--------82.62
80------363--------79.06
79------403--------76.92
78------363--------79.06
77------378--------69.05
76------301--------69.77
75------302--------69.21
74------300--------72.67
73------280--------65.00
72------267--------67.42
71------248--------64.52
70------213--------61.03
69------208--------55.29
68------199--------58.79
67------209--------61.72
66------167--------56.29
65------178--------50.00
64------140--------42.86
63------129--------44.96
62------145--------42.07
61------136--------45.59
60------125--------44.00
59------107--------47.66
58------117--------42.74
57------94----------40.43
56------88----------37.50
55------87----------39.08
54------76----------42.11
53------77----------31.17
52------73----------32.88
51------79----------37.97
50------72----------33.33
49------46----------17.39
48------61----------22.95
47------55----------29.09
46------44----------27.27
45------44----------27.27
44------50----------34.00
43------41----------17.07
42------56----------19.64
41------49----------28.57
40------36----------16.67
39------26----------34.62
38------45----------11.11
37------36----------33.33
36------19----------15.79
35------16----------12.50
34------26----------26.92
33------17----------17.65
32------15----------6.67
31------20----------10.00
30------15----------13.33
29------8------------12.50

27------7------------14.29

21------5------------20.00

17------4------------25.00

13------2------------50.00

10------2------------100.00

A fair step down from Mario and Link but still a very high overall prediction percentage. Everyone within 9 points of perfect gets the match right. -28 (92 points) and better stays above 90.

No one fell off the Top 50.

--
Pokemon VGC2011 US Nationals - 54th place
Pokemon VGC2012 NW Regional - 16th place

Bump

--
Pokemon VGC2011 US Nationals - 54th place
Pokemon VGC2012 NW Regional - 16th place

Bump

--
Pokemon VGC2011 US Nationals - 54th place
Pokemon VGC2012 NW Regional - 16th place

If Cloud manages to land in the 75.99 to 77.59 range, it'll mean Link broke the 9 year old Round 4 blowout record one day before Cloud would have broken it and pushed it out of reach.

--
Pokemon VGC2011 US Nationals - 54th place
Pokemon VGC2012 NW Regional - 16th place

FF7 vs. Trainers will be closer than FF7 vs. Link/Ganon?

Deny. Red/Blue didn't look good enough against Samus/Ridley. I still doubt Link/Ganondorf will win by all that much over Cloud/Sephiroth.

--
Pokemon VGC2011 US Nationals - 54th place
Pokemon VGC2012 NW Regional - 16th place

wow. It's like losing our last 3 perfects on Cloud/Sephiroth 2004, except far far worse.

You were close. There was actually only one perfect bracket going into Cloud vs Sephiroth 2k4. The person has Sephiroth winning the tournament so the match did wipe out the last perfect bracket.

--
Pokemon VGC2011 US Nationals - 54th place
Pokemon VGC2012 NW Regional - 16th place

Congrats NewerShadow! I was 4th this time but since DGKMO didn't get the First Vote, I'm not a lock for at least a first place tie.

The First Vote Club - Fall '11

#1. Mario vs. Bowser - Aprosenf
#2. Ike vs. Black Knight - starfox2245
#3. Kirby vs. Meta Knight - Luster Soldier
#4. Katherine vs. Catherine - Team Rocket Elite
#5. Captain Falcon vs. Shadow - Regaro
#6. Bartz vs. Gilgamesh - Team Rocket Elite
#7. Donkey Kong vs. King K. Rool - Team Rocket Elite
#8. Sub-Zero vs. Scorpion - frankftw, Team Rocket Elite
#9. Pokemon Trainer Red vs. Blue - Team Rocket Elite
#10. Luigi vs. Waluigi - Team Rocket Elite
#11. Ratchet vs. Dr. Nefarious - Regaro
#12. Fox McCloud vs. Wolf O'Donnell - DGKMO
#13. Samus vs. Ridley, The Kid vs. The Guy - Luster Soldier, Regaro
#14. Terra vs. Kefka - NewerShadow
#15. Chris Redfield vs. Wesker - NewerShadow, Team Rocket Elite
#16. Tidus vs. Jecht - GTM
#17. Link vs. Ganondorf - GameBopAdv
#18. Amaterasu vs. Orochi - Team Rocket Elite
#19. Zidane vs. Kuja - Luster Soldier
#20. Mega Man vs. Dr. Wily - Luster Soldier
#21. Phoenix Wright vs. Edgeworth - Nintendoboy375
#22. Alucard vs. Dracula - DGKMO
#23. Chell vs. GlaDOS - NewerShadow
#24. Frog vs. Magus - Regaro
#25. Lloyd vs. Kratos, Cloud Strife vs. Sephiroth - Luster Soldier, IloveYoda
#26. Layton vs. Don Paolo - Team Rocket Elite
#27. Pac-Man vs. Blinky - tyder21
#28. Crono vs. Lavos - Luster Soldier
#29. Laharl vs. Mid-Boss - Korayashi
#30. Ramza Beoulve vs. Delita Hyral - Aprosenf
#31. Dante vs. Vergil - Team Rocket Elite
#32. Sora vs. Riku - Team Rocket Elite
#33. Mario vs. Bowser - GameBopAdv
#34. Kirby vs. Meta Knight - Team Rocket Elite
#35. X vs. Zero - DGKMO
#36. Sub-Zero vs. Scorpion - IloveYoda
#37. Pokemon Trainer Red vs. Blue - Team Rocket Elite
#38. Fox McCloud vs. Wolf O'Donnell - DGKMO, XIII_rocks
#39. Samus Aran vs. Ridley - Luster Soldier
#40. Big Boss vs. The Boss - DGKMO
#41. Link vs. Ganondorf - Nintendoboy375
#42. Mega Man vs. Dr. Wily - DGKMO, Regaro
#43. Phoenix Wright vs. Edgeworth - Luster Soldier, Team Rocket Elite
#44. Frog vs. Magus - Team Rocket Elite
#45. Cloud vs. Sephiroth, Kratos vs. Zeus - DGKMO, Aprosenf, XIII_rocks
#46. Solid Snake vs. Liquid Snake - Aprosenf
#47. Squall vs. Seifer - NewerShadow
#48. Dante vs. Vergil - Regaro
#49. Mario vs. Bowser - NewerShadow
#50. X vs. Zero - Regaro
#51. Pokemon Trainer Red vs. Blue - DGKMO
#52. Big Boss vs. The Boss - Regaro
#53. Link vs. Ganondorf - DGKMO
#54. Alucard vs. Dracula - DGKMO
#55. Cloud Strife vs. Sephiroth, Solid Snake vs. Liquid Snake - GTM, Team Rocket Elite
#56. Squall vs. Seifer - NewerShadow
#57. Mario vs. Bowser - DGKMO, Aprosenf
#58. Pokemon Trainer Red vs. Blue - Aprosenf
#59. Link vs. Ganondorf - Aprosenf
#60. Squall Leonhart vs. Seifer Almasy - NewerShadow
#61. Pokemon Trainer Red vs. Blue - ?

Scoreboard:
Team Rocket Elite - 16 wins
DGKMO - 11 wins
Luster Soldier - 8 wins
Regaro - 8 wins
Aprosenf - 7 wins
NewerShadow - 7 wins
GameBopAdv - 2 wins
IloveYoda - 2 wins
Nintendoboy375 - 2 wins
XIII_rocks - 2 wins
GTM - 2 wins
starfox2245 - 1 win
frankftw - 1 win
tyder21 - 1 win
Korayashi - 1 win

--
Pokemon VGC2011 US Nationals - 54th place
Pokemon VGC2012 NW Regional - 16th place

Score-Brackets-% Right
112----4------------100.00
111----6------------100.00
110----4------------100.00
109----3------------100.00
108----5------------100.00
107----11----------100.00
106----14----------100.00
105----7------------100.00
104----180--------100.00
103----35----------100.00
102----34----------100.00
101----41----------100.00
100----64----------96.88
99------105--------100.00
98------111--------100.00
97------116--------99.14
96------128--------99.22
95------150--------98.67
94------375--------99.73
93------199--------96.98
92------211--------96.68
91------233--------98.71
90------274--------96.72
89------279--------94.98
88------322--------96.27
87------365--------95.34
86------368--------92.66
85------370--------97.03
84------382--------93.46
83------442--------94.12
82------382--------94.50
81------423--------91.73
80------401--------92.77
79------465--------91.61
78------456--------91.01
77------446--------89.46
76------457--------89.93
75------407--------88.21
74------443--------89.16
73------415--------87.23
72------389--------85.86
71------419--------86.87
70------374--------86.10
69------377--------87.80
68------329--------77.51
67------333--------76.28
66------304--------82.89
65------310--------73.23
64------263--------80.61
63------255--------75.69
62------237--------67.93
61------234--------69.23
60------189--------66.14
59------189--------68.78
58------187--------61.50
57------161--------59.01
56------153--------58.17
55------126--------53.17
54------127--------54.33
53------123--------52.03
52------111--------54.95
51------118--------40.68
50------101--------44.55
49------64----------43.75
48------71----------33.80
47------75----------37.33
46------56----------32.14
45------56----------32.14
44------70----------32.86
43------45----------20.00
42------67----------23.88
41------56----------17.86
40------48----------29.17
39------34----------23.53
38------50----------12.00
37------41----------14.63
36------20----------15.00
35------21----------23.81
34------31----------16.13
33------20----------15.00
32------16----------12.50

30------15----------6.67
29------9------------11.11
28------11----------18.18

24------6------------16.67

22------3------------33.33

7--------2------------50.00

Can't really expect less than this from Link. Everyone within 11 points of perfect got the match right. -34 (78 points) and better stay above 90. More brackets had Link and Mario making it to Round 5 than had Cloud making it to Round 4 so Cloud can't match this.

No one fell off the Top 50.

--
Pokemon VGC2011 US Nationals - 54th place
Pokemon VGC2012 NW Regional - 16th place

Who got it today?

The First Vote Club - Fall '11

#1. Mario vs. Bowser - Aprosenf
#2. Ike vs. Black Knight - starfox2245
#3. Kirby vs. Meta Knight - Luster Soldier
#4. Katherine vs. Catherine - Team Rocket Elite
#5. Captain Falcon vs. Shadow - Regaro
#6. Bartz vs. Gilgamesh - Team Rocket Elite
#7. Donkey Kong vs. King K. Rool - Team Rocket Elite
#8. Sub-Zero vs. Scorpion - frankftw, Team Rocket Elite
#9. Pokemon Trainer Red vs. Blue - Team Rocket Elite
#10. Luigi vs. Waluigi - Team Rocket Elite
#11. Ratchet vs. Dr. Nefarious - Regaro
#12. Fox McCloud vs. Wolf O'Donnell - DGKMO
#13. Samus vs. Ridley, The Kid vs. The Guy - Luster Soldier, Regaro
#14. Terra vs. Kefka - NewerShadow
#15. Chris Redfield vs. Wesker - NewerShadow, Team Rocket Elite
#16. Tidus vs. Jecht - GTM
#17. Link vs. Ganondorf - GameBopAdv
#18. Amaterasu vs. Orochi - Team Rocket Elite
#19. Zidane vs. Kuja - Luster Soldier
#20. Mega Man vs. Dr. Wily - Luster Soldier
#21. Phoenix Wright vs. Edgeworth - Nintendoboy375
#22. Alucard vs. Dracula - DGKMO
#23. Chell vs. GlaDOS - NewerShadow
#24. Frog vs. Magus - Regaro
#25. Lloyd vs. Kratos, Cloud Strife vs. Sephiroth - Luster Soldier, IloveYoda
#26. Layton vs. Don Paolo - Team Rocket Elite
#27. Pac-Man vs. Blinky - tyder21
#28. Crono vs. Lavos - Luster Soldier
#29. Laharl vs. Mid-Boss - Korayashi
#30. Ramza Beoulve vs. Delita Hyral - Aprosenf
#31. Dante vs. Vergil - Team Rocket Elite
#32. Sora vs. Riku - Team Rocket Elite
#33. Mario vs. Bowser - GameBopAdv
#34. Kirby vs. Meta Knight - Team Rocket Elite
#35. X vs. Zero - DGKMO
#36. Sub-Zero vs. Scorpion - IloveYoda
#37. Pokemon Trainer Red vs. Blue - Team Rocket Elite
#38. Fox McCloud vs. Wolf O'Donnell - DGKMO, XIII_rocks
#39. Samus Aran vs. Ridley - Luster Soldier
#40. Big Boss vs. The Boss - DGKMO
#41. Link vs. Ganondorf - Nintendoboy375
#42. Mega Man vs. Dr. Wily - DGKMO, Regaro
#43. Phoenix Wright vs. Edgeworth - Luster Soldier, Team Rocket Elite
#44. Frog vs. Magus - Team Rocket Elite
#45. Cloud vs. Sephiroth, Kratos vs. Zeus - DGKMO, Aprosenf, XIII_rocks
#46. Solid Snake vs. Liquid Snake - Aprosenf
#47. Squall vs. Seifer - NewerShadow
#48. Dante vs. Vergil - Regaro
#49. Mario vs. Bowser - NewerShadow
#50. X vs. Zero - Regaro
#51. Pokemon Trainer Red vs. Blue - DGKMO
#52. Big Boss vs. The Boss - Regaro
#53. Link vs. Ganondorf - DGKMO
#54. Alucard vs. Dracula - DGKMO
#55. Cloud Strife vs. Sephiroth, Solid Snake vs. Liquid Snake - GTM, Team Rocket Elite
#56. Squall vs. Seifer - NewerShadow
#57. Mario vs. Bowser - DGKMO, Aprosenf
#58. Pokemon Trainer Red vs. Blue - Aprosenf
#59. Link vs. Ganondorf - Aprosenf
#60. Cloud vs. Sephiroth - ?

Scoreboard:
Team Rocket Elite - 16 wins
DGKMO - 11 wins
Luster Soldier - 8 wins
Regaro - 8 wins
Aprosenf - 7 wins
NewerShadow - 6 wins
GameBopAdv - 2 wins
IloveYoda - 2 wins
Nintendoboy375 - 2 wins
XIII_rocks - 2 wins
GTM - 2 wins
starfox2245 - 1 win
frankftw - 1 win
tyder21 - 1 win
Korayashi - 1 win

--
Pokemon VGC2011 US Nationals - 54th place
Pokemon VGC2012 NW Regional - 16th place

MAX on Pokemon Trainer Red/Pokemon Trainer Blue > 44.5%

--
Pokemon VGC2011 US Nationals - 54th place
Pokemon VGC2012 NW Regional - 16th place

You're referring to Ray, right? Be sure to tell us how it goes.

--
Pokemon VGC2011 US Nationals - 54th place
Pokemon VGC2012 NW Regional - 16th place

I'd love to see Dark Link in the contest. I've heard SBAllen treats Dark Link as being ineligible, though. You could try sending a Feedback ticket to ask if SBAllen would allow it or not.

--
Pokemon VGC2011 US Nationals - 54th place
Pokemon VGC2012 NW Regional - 16th place

b) Super Smash. Bros.(original)
b) Lugia(Pokemon)

Good choices. While not RBY level, GSC has quite a bit of it's own power and I'd like to see one of their Pokemon in the contest. SSB is probably one of the stronger games that have been snubbed from a contest.

--
Pokemon VGC2011 US Nationals - 54th place
Pokemon VGC2012 NW Regional - 16th place

So is it pretty well accepted that we're going to finish with 61 perfect battle brackets? I can't believe not one of us took Samus or Sora/Riku

No. Some brackets will take a risk on Cloud/Sephiroth because they don't have a good enough tiebreaker to win a prize if Link wins and are unlikely to want to take the Mario upset.

--
Pokemon VGC2011 US Nationals - 54th place
Pokemon VGC2012 NW Regional - 16th place

Although after reading scotted4's arguments, I think he may actually win after all.

--
Pokemon VGC2011 US Nationals - 54th place
Pokemon VGC2012 NW Regional - 16th place

Prismatic Crystals of Fire and Transform Heat look to be a good combo for Coffee Ninja. Felines' Voidness Assault sounds like something that you need to get in close range to work. I'm not too sure what you can do with the other spells. I think Coffee Ninja will probably win this.

--
Pokemon VGC2011 US Nationals - 54th place
Pokemon VGC2012 NW Regional - 16th place

I don't see Kratos/Zeus being able to be the new and western rivalry that actually doesn't suck in this contest.

Kratos isn't a Western character is he?

--
Pokemon VGC2011 US Nationals - 54th place
Pokemon VGC2012 NW Regional - 16th place

Back during the last "normal" Character Battle I was briefly on the leaderboard before Snake lost to Cloud. Wish I could see myself on there at least once :(

In case you're interested, you made it onto the Top 50 in 37th place after Alucard vs. Dracula. You rose to 33rd place before falling off.

--
Pokemon VGC2011 US Nationals - 54th place
Pokemon VGC2012 NW Regional - 16th place

Congrats Aprosenf on 3 in a row! You should have started doing this from the start. =D I was 4th this time. We are getting close to the end. DGKMO needs all 6 remaining First Votes to claim a unique first place. If he misses one, I'm guaranteed to finish at least tied for first.

The First Vote Club - Fall '11

#1. Mario vs. Bowser - Aprosenf
#2. Ike vs. Black Knight - starfox2245
#3. Kirby vs. Meta Knight - Luster Soldier
#4. Katherine vs. Catherine - Team Rocket Elite
#5. Captain Falcon vs. Shadow - Regaro
#6. Bartz vs. Gilgamesh - Team Rocket Elite
#7. Donkey Kong vs. King K. Rool - Team Rocket Elite
#8. Sub-Zero vs. Scorpion - frankftw, Team Rocket Elite
#9. Pokemon Trainer Red vs. Blue - Team Rocket Elite
#10. Luigi vs. Waluigi - Team Rocket Elite
#11. Ratchet vs. Dr. Nefarious - Regaro
#12. Fox McCloud vs. Wolf O'Donnell - DGKMO
#13. Samus vs. Ridley, The Kid vs. The Guy - Luster Soldier, Regaro
#14. Terra vs. Kefka - NewerShadow
#15. Chris Redfield vs. Wesker - NewerShadow, Team Rocket Elite
#16. Tidus vs. Jecht - GTM
#17. Link vs. Ganondorf - GameBopAdv
#18. Amaterasu vs. Orochi - Team Rocket Elite
#19. Zidane vs. Kuja - Luster Soldier
#20. Mega Man vs. Dr. Wily - Luster Soldier
#21. Phoenix Wright vs. Edgeworth - Nintendoboy375
#22. Alucard vs. Dracula - DGKMO
#23. Chell vs. GlaDOS - NewerShadow
#24. Frog vs. Magus - Regaro
#25. Lloyd vs. Kratos, Cloud Strife vs. Sephiroth - Luster Soldier, IloveYoda
#26. Layton vs. Don Paolo - Team Rocket Elite
#27. Pac-Man vs. Blinky - tyder21
#28. Crono vs. Lavos - Luster Soldier
#29. Laharl vs. Mid-Boss - Korayashi
#30. Ramza Beoulve vs. Delita Hyral - Aprosenf
#31. Dante vs. Vergil - Team Rocket Elite
#32. Sora vs. Riku - Team Rocket Elite
#33. Mario vs. Bowser - GameBopAdv
#34. Kirby vs. Meta Knight - Team Rocket Elite
#35. X vs. Zero - DGKMO
#36. Sub-Zero vs. Scorpion - IloveYoda
#37. Pokemon Trainer Red vs. Blue - Team Rocket Elite
#38. Fox McCloud vs. Wolf O'Donnell - DGKMO, XIII_rocks
#39. Samus Aran vs. Ridley - Luster Soldier
#40. Big Boss vs. The Boss - DGKMO
#41. Link vs. Ganondorf - Nintendoboy375
#42. Mega Man vs. Dr. Wily - DGKMO, Regaro
#43. Phoenix Wright vs. Edgeworth - Luster Soldier, Team Rocket Elite
#44. Frog vs. Magus - Team Rocket Elite
#45. Cloud vs. Sephiroth, Kratos vs. Zeus - DGKMO, Aprosenf, XIII_rocks
#46. Solid Snake vs. Liquid Snake - Aprosenf
#47. Squall vs. Seifer - NewerShadow
#48. Dante vs. Vergil - Regaro
#49. Mario vs. Bowser - NewerShadow
#50. X vs. Zero - Regaro
#51. Pokemon Trainer Red vs. Blue - DGKMO
#52. Big Boss vs. The Boss - Regaro
#53. Link vs. Ganondorf - DGKMO
#54. Alucard vs. Dracula - DGKMO
#55. Cloud Strife vs. Sephiroth, Solid Snake vs. Liquid Snake - GTM, Team Rocket Elite
#56. Squall vs. Seifer - NewerShadow
#57. Mario vs. Bowser - DGKMO, Aprosenf
#58. Pokemon Trainer Red vs. Blue - Aprosenf
#59. Link vs. Ganondorf - Aprosenf
#60. Cloud vs. Sephiroth - ?

Scoreboard:
Team Rocket Elite - 16 wins
DGKMO - 11 wins
Luster Soldier - 8 wins
Regaro - 8 wins
Aprosenf - 7 wins
NewerShadow - 6 wins
GameBopAdv - 2 wins
IloveYoda - 2 wins
Nintendoboy375 - 2 wins
XIII_rocks - 2 wins
GTM - 2 wins
starfox2245 - 1 win
frankftw - 1 win
tyder21 - 1 win
Korayashi - 1 win

--
Pokemon VGC2011 US Nationals - 54th place
Pokemon VGC2012 NW Regional - 16th place

Score-Brackets-% Right
104----171--------2.34
103----18----------33.33
102----11----------36.36
101----4------------75.00
100----22----------22.73
99------70----------15.71
98------42----------33.33
97------28----------25.00
96------55----------23.64
95------52----------44.23
94------276--------9.78
93------105--------38.10
92------113--------41.59
91------116--------39.66
90------175--------47.43
89------204--------46.57
88------223--------38.57
87------292--------41.44
86------306--------41.18
85------322--------41.61
84------344--------42.15
83------406--------40.15
82------424--------42.92
81------421--------40.38
80------429--------43.12
79------509--------38.11
78------504--------37.30
77------502--------36.25
76------534--------34.27
75------507--------39.25
74------492--------28.46
73------499--------34.47
72------483--------32.51
71------502--------29.88
70------443--------31.60
69------452--------27.88
68------391--------27.11
67------382--------25.92
66------366--------24.86
65------354--------24.86
64------289--------21.80
63------297--------22.56
62------280--------25.36
61------253--------20.16
60------217--------20.28
59------216--------23.15
58------199--------14.57
57------187--------23.53
56------179--------20.67
55------144--------17.36
54------143--------19.58
53------144--------22.22
52------115--------13.91
51------129--------17.83
50------111--------15.32
49------76----------23.68
48------77----------14.29
47------80----------8.75
46------65----------18.46
45------66----------16.67
44------80----------15.00
43------50----------24.00
42------70----------10.00
41------59----------10.17
40------50----------10.00
39------34----------5.88
38------48----------6.25
37------41----------2.44
36------22----------9.09
35------26----------26.92
34------34----------11.76
33------23----------13.04
32------18----------16.67
31------19----------10.53
30------19----------26.32
29------10----------10.00

27------9------------22.22
26------8------------12.50

24------7------------14.29
23------7------------42.86
22------4------------25.00

15------5------------40.00

12------4------------25.00

8--------1------------100.00

The casual bracket makers did a bit better than the gurus this time. This match knocks off the large block of alt perfects. Excluding alts, 66% of the perfects survived the match. The top tiers generally did worse than the middle tiers. Prediction percentage rises from the mid-20s to the low-40s as you go down the tiers before fading away.

201 accounts fell off the Top 50. Former second place 0E, former third place Staraptor, former fourth place legendmusketeer, Tyranticuss + 7 alts, Evillordexdeath, fpce666, BK_Sheikah00, HyperSage, Cartyx, DeathTiki + 1 alt, isNotPerfect, NLMagic, KamikazePotato, Dragon_Master85, miaminole21, Gooper_Blooper, evilevi13, foxhead84, Scorpion2536, Tua_Mater, ShadowDino, Awesome_X, shaneh87, Dragon66116, gedgieno11, markwlin, Shemarx, Haste_2, stephyk and 164 of 165 of 0E, Staraptor and legendmusketeer's combined total alt did not have Pokemon Trainer Red vs. Blue winning the match.

--
Pokemon VGC2011 US Nationals - 54th place
Pokemon VGC2012 NW Regional - 16th place

MAX on Cloud Strife/Sephiroth > 72.5%

--
Pokemon VGC2011 US Nationals - 54th place
Pokemon VGC2012 NW Regional - 16th place

Mario vs. Bowser with 56.00%
Link vs. Ganondorf with 51.00%

--
Pokemon VGC2011 US Nationals - 54th place
Pokemon VGC2012 NW Regional - 16th place

Bump

--
Pokemon VGC2011 US Nationals - 54th place
Pokemon VGC2012 NW Regional - 16th place

Bump

--
Pokemon VGC2011 US Nationals - 54th place
Pokemon VGC2012 NW Regional - 16th place

Bump

--
Pokemon VGC2011 US Nationals - 54th place
Pokemon VGC2012 NW Regional - 16th place

Awe of She
Still in the Dark
Rustling Throb ~Cloche~

--
Pokemon VGC2011 US Nationals - 54th place
Pokemon VGC2012 NW Regional - 16th place

CHANGE

Link vs. Ganondorf with 78.00%

--
Pokemon VGC2011 US Nationals - 54th place
Pokemon VGC2012 NW Regional - 16th place