Lurker > Turtlemayor333

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TopicSelzer Poll: Kamala Harris Leads Trump 47-44 in IOWA
Turtlemayor333
11/03/24 7:42:06 PM
#134
I remember in 2020 there were Republicans saying the same thing about Trump winning 45+ states, but I'm pretty sure they were just your standard internet trolls and morons, not officials connected to "serious" pollsters.

When will people accept that the polling industry has been hijacked by these guys?

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TopicLooks Like Trump's Garbage Truck Gimmick Might Have Backfired
Turtlemayor333
11/03/24 4:23:56 PM
#6
Both the Trump campaign and the "both sides" journalists are too online.

They believed they could manufacture a Biden quote and everyone would instantly be keeping up with their script.

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TopicElon musk doesn't have media literacy
Turtlemayor333
11/02/24 8:24:28 PM
#5
These guys play Fortunate Son at Trump rallies

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TopicSelzer Poll: Kamala Harris Leads Trump 47-44 in IOWA
Turtlemayor333
11/02/24 7:34:15 PM
#46
This plus the Kansas poll should be a flashing neon sign to anybody who thinks they live in a "solidly red" to go put in your vote for Harris if you haven't already.

If everyone thought this way the GOP would be extinct, they primarily rely on mass amounts of non-voting to stay in power.

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TopicGeorgia sets new women vote record.
Turtlemayor333
11/02/24 2:38:29 PM
#3
Here's how this is good news for Ron DeSantis

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TopicIf Harris loses on Tuesday, AOC should run in '28
Turtlemayor333
11/02/24 11:26:05 AM
#22
All of a sudden AOC will not be leftist enough for these people

Instead vote for 80 year old, totally not a puppet Jill Stein

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TopicTrump team reportedly panicking over early voting
Turtlemayor333
11/01/24 4:47:06 PM
#17
I thought the Mormon vote was supposed to be coming out in full force

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TopicTrump lagging behind with early vote with seniors in PA.
Turtlemayor333
10/31/24 9:19:13 PM
#7
Other polls have shown Trump losing the 65+ vote outright

It would be such a nice sign to see Florida at least be close even if Harris can't win it

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TopicFinal election predictions.
Turtlemayor333
10/31/24 7:46:22 PM
#26
There is always going to be a red mirage because those votes get counted first but I want to believe it will fade away more quickly this time just off the sheer fact that it will be a lot less mail to count in 2024 versus 2020

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TopicTIL Dr Phil is MAGA.
Turtlemayor333
10/31/24 7:37:12 PM
#10
It's funny that Jerry Springer was anti-Trump, it says something about the psychology that his show was honest about what the appeal was while people like Dr. Phil do the same thing but try to dress it up and pretend to be super experts on every subject.

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TopicMark Cuban Says Trump Is 'Never' Seen With 'Intelligent Women'
Turtlemayor333
10/31/24 5:59:57 PM
#5
Taylor Greene and Boebert would not be able to pass the background check to work at Dollar General.

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TopicABC news affiliate accidentally airs test election results saying Harris won PA.
Turtlemayor333
10/31/24 5:45:46 PM
#45
Well it's all over, Trump voters can stay home

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TopicA Dodger hand blew parts of his hand off.
Turtlemayor333
10/31/24 5:36:48 PM
#4
RIP fan's hand

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TopicJill Stein's VP Candidate Supports National Abortion Ban
Turtlemayor333
10/31/24 5:22:49 PM
#8
creativerealms posted...
Wasn't the green party suppose to be to the left of democrats?
It now just seems to be do whatever the opposite is of what the Democrats are doing.

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TopicLeBron endorses Harris
Turtlemayor333
10/31/24 5:21:54 PM
#3
This is one area where LeBron certainly has Mike beat.

When MJ was still playing he'd say things like "Republicans buy sneakers too." He's gotten a little more politically involved since then but still not to the extent as LeBron.

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TopicJill Stein's VP Candidate Supports National Abortion Ban
Turtlemayor333
10/31/24 5:19:36 PM
#4
Every time I see these Green party fools it's either a post they made on Twitter or a zoom meeting. Like they don't even go out in public anymore.

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TopicTrump Calls Kamala the C-Word
Turtlemayor333
10/31/24 5:02:37 PM
#23
It sure is an interesting coincidence that he's also been going after Harris for not being black enough

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TopicGuy's 26 year long dream gets crushed on television
Turtlemayor333
10/31/24 1:01:21 PM
#11
Knew this was Bulletball before even clicking the topic

"muh point"

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TopicBiden called Trump Supporters garbage
Turtlemayor333
10/31/24 1:00:02 PM
#178
Democrats have to find a way to start calling out bullshit press without making it sound Trumpian or about the first amendment, it's about billionaires using their money to corrupt journalism

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TopicDemocrats lead Republicans in enthusiasm by 10 points.
Turtlemayor333
10/31/24 12:47:56 PM
#3
Republicans: "Surely it means nothing that the guy who was filling arenas 4 years ago in the middle of Covid, now can't fill a high school gym."

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TopicSinger Nicky Jam Taking Away His Endorsement of Trump
Turtlemayor333
10/30/24 5:48:41 PM
#10
Nicky Jam? She's hot!

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TopicA bakery did a cookie poll and the results are concerning
Turtlemayor333
10/30/24 5:30:16 PM
#2
Can't argue with the science

Trump supporters are fat

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TopicChris Cuomo Live Town Hall with a Variety of Guests Tonight
Turtlemayor333
10/30/24 5:28:45 PM
#5
Aaron Rodgers wants an invite to this meeting of the has-beens

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TopicTrump rants about cheating in PA
Turtlemayor333
10/30/24 4:46:43 PM
#48
This is why so many Harris voters are waiting until election day in the swing states

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TopicMike Johnson says 'No Obamacare' if Trump wins
Turtlemayor333
10/30/24 4:45:29 PM
#21
This should be the headline until the election

If a random Democrat made a comment about a random pet issue like fracking, all the media would be spamming it saying "this is the biggest news in the world"

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TopicThe Harris campaign doesn't much care for my test answers
Turtlemayor333
10/30/24 4:38:04 PM
#4
Thanks for posting more proof you're doing this for attention

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TopicIt's so odd how hard the GOP is going in on transphobia
Turtlemayor333
10/29/24 9:00:11 PM
#15
What else is the GOP going to talk about? Like on the climate change question at the debate, Trump's answer was...to complain about Hunter Biden.

This is a party that literally stands for nothing but conspiracies and hatred.

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TopicFinal CNN and NYT 2024 election polls: Trump vs. Harris is a coin flip.
Turtlemayor333
10/29/24 4:48:30 PM
#46
[LFAQs-redacted-quote]

There is no way for this math to occur the way you're saying, she wins 270 votes and then it magically becomes 269 to 268? It doesn't work.

Only the Nebraska district is worth 1 vote, but if Nebraska voids then Trump would be losing their other 3 votes.

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TopicJon Stewart defends Tony Hinchcliffe's racist jokes at Trump Rally.
Turtlemayor333
10/29/24 4:39:16 PM
#49
Donald Trump: I will use the military against Democrats
"Awww you're sweet."

Some pencil neck comedian I've never heard of: Puerto Rico is garbage
"Hello, human resources..."

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TopicOh fun, we're firebombing ballot boxes now
Turtlemayor333
10/28/24 10:47:06 PM
#23
Average behavior of campaigns who think they're winning

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TopicJeff Bezos responds
Turtlemayor333
10/28/24 10:42:43 PM
#2
Americans don't trust the media because it's owned by billionaires like Jeff Bezos

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TopicTrump's Madison Square Garden rally going exactly as expected
Turtlemayor333
10/28/24 10:34:31 PM
#215
That guy's profile picture looks like a mugshot for a sex offender

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TopicI've completely given up hope that Harris is going to win this.
Turtlemayor333
10/28/24 10:17:22 PM
#27
Trump's rally in Atlanta tonight was so small that if someone farted everybody in the arena would hear it. But in 2020 Trump was filling stadiums in the middle of a pandemic, people like Herman Cain were literally willing to die to be in attendance for them. And even that year he still lost to Biden.

This is a clearly weakened, even less popular version of Trump we're seeing now. Ignore the media and believe your own eyes.

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TopicAmerican Greatness has Trump tied in Pennsylvania.
Turtlemayor333
10/28/24 7:42:28 PM
#4
"Certified real and true" - Nate Silver

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TopicHarris expanding her lead with young black men.
Turtlemayor333
10/28/24 5:15:40 PM
#12
For every election I've ever seen the Republican always says they're doing much better in the black vote and then it doesn't happen

https://youtu.be/pwLMUkkyXPo

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TopicTrump only up by 5 in Kansas.
Turtlemayor333
10/28/24 5:11:50 PM
#18
This same Kansas pollster was actually perfect in 2020. They had Trump +14 against Biden.

Actual result: Trump +14

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TopicThis Is NOT Going to Endear the Puerto Rican Population in PA
Turtlemayor333
10/27/24 5:05:20 PM
#8
Trump campaign: "This is nothing compared to the millions of Amish votes we will get in PA."

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TopicTrump doing a rally in the swing state of...
Turtlemayor333
10/27/24 4:49:19 PM
#15
If Trump really thought he was winning by a huge landslide, the election is practically already won, etc. he'd keep going to big places like California.

New Mexico is only worth 5 EVs. The only way him flipping this state matters is if he's losing PA/MI/WI.

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TopicTrump doing a rally in the swing state of...
Turtlemayor333
10/27/24 4:40:32 PM
#6
There's just no way this is a good sign for him.

It's either arrogance thinking the election is already sealed, or desperation knowing Harris is at least winning the blue wall states and getting to 270, which means he has to find another state at the last minute.

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Topicwhat will Biden be remembered for?
Turtlemayor333
10/27/24 4:24:58 PM
#12
Not half bad being VP for the first black president and stepping down to help elect the first woman president.

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TopicPredictions for US election results
Turtlemayor333
10/27/24 4:18:43 PM
#11
Not posting a map or anything but I'll just say I think Harris is being underrated in Arizona.

Seems like the popular opinion is that this is her weakest swing state. But they have Kari Lake on the ballot who nobody likes, they have an abortion referendum, and they have been voting blue since 2018. Those seem like pretty good ingredients for a win.

I'm not buying the polls, the same polls who said Blake Masters was supposed to beat Mark Kelly.

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TopicBernie to Voters Abstaining Over Israel: 'Trump is even worse'
Turtlemayor333
10/27/24 4:05:00 PM
#51
SAlYAN posted...
They are literally willing to let everything and everyone burn just so they dont feel "dirty."
I'm not sure how they participate in society without their morals being compromised.

How many of these folks are working for companies who donate to politicians? An overwhelming number of companies do, and an overwhelming number of politicians support Israel, so is that giving them your own support as well? In fact, simply living in America and benefiting from any of its resources is something of an act of hypocrisy. This is a nation that is founded on the basis of horrors committed against Native Americans and black people, and it isn't ancient history but still echoes to people's circumstances today.

They would say, "But I have to do those things to survive!" However I don't see how that compromise is any different than the compromises people make when voting. That just makes it looks like you're willing to bend the rules to help yourself but not others. Really I am not trying to be "Mr. Gotcha" here or say you simply shouldn't criticize Democrats. I just think it's nearly impossible to be an absolutist if you are trying to be intellectually honest with yourself.

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TopicBernie to Voters Abstaining Over Israel: 'Trump is even worse'
Turtlemayor333
10/27/24 2:50:58 PM
#23
DrizztLink posted...

What are you not understanding with that post?

What is the equivalent on the right of people who won't vote for Trump because he isn't extreme enough for them or because he failed to build the wall, failed with his Muslim ban, etc. That's what I'm asking.

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TopicBernie to Voters Abstaining Over Israel: 'Trump is even worse'
Turtlemayor333
10/27/24 2:40:01 PM
#17
Just as a thought experiment, I wonder if there is a bloc of voters out there like hardcore racists who voted Trump in 2016, but now abstain because he never built the border wall.

If this bloc doesn't exist in meaningful numbers, it basically indicates that ignorant racists are smarter than the Twitter left at getting what they want. OR, these folks do exist too, but the media just never talks about them for some reason compared to the spotlight they give to the Twitter left.

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TopicI met a Clinton, Biden, Trump voter last night
Turtlemayor333
10/27/24 2:27:17 PM
#13
Trump > Biden > Trump is the easiest to figure out.

Misogynistic.

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TopicExtreme polling error in Japan's election
Turtlemayor333
10/27/24 1:48:46 PM
#1
The conservative party of Japan has under-performed the polls by a massive margin

Horrible sign for the state of polling that this miss happened in a country where the demographics are much more homogeneous (and in theory, should be easier to poll) compared to the U.S.

https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/a/forum/9/9d0408b6.jpg

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TopicABC poll has Harris ahead by 4 points with likely voters.
Turtlemayor333
10/27/24 10:45:43 AM
#11
Harris is likely doing much better in Arizona than people seem to think

Biden already won there in 2020, now you give Harris the senior vote

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TopicWashington Post reporter hoping people will reconsider ending subscription
Turtlemayor333
10/27/24 1:22:57 AM
#10
Journalism has been trying to play "same thing both sides" for the entire Biden administration and now it's looking like all they accomplished was losing both sides.

CNN's ratings are now worse than the Hallmark channel. It's cooked.

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TopicMichelle Obama's speech here is something everyone needs to hear
Turtlemayor333
10/26/24 9:49:45 PM
#2
Michelle was totally on point with this speech, by now she has completely dropped the whole "We go high when they go low." The doomers on this board don't want to acknowledge how great the campaign surrogates have been for firing up the Democratic base. They just want to talk about her doing appearances with Liz Cheney.

Understand why these surrogates exist in the first place. Unless you're Trump, you aren't allowed to say these types of things as the candidate. If Harris said half of this speech, the mainstream media would be trying to have her arrested.

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TopicWomen outvoting men.
Turtlemayor333
10/26/24 9:41:42 PM
#47
Zeus posted...
roflmao, so this is based on EARLY voting? Not the same thing as voting, that's just a subsection of voting. For starters, early voting only makes up a fraction of all voting.
No, TC has a time machine and went forward to see the election day voting results.

Nice post, genius.

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