Lurker > Master Moltar

transiences Analysis

How strong is Link? I have such a hard time with that question. I look at Zelda and go, holy crap, Link might just be unreal. But Link also has this always wins quality to him that probably stops him from totally killing a lower top 10 dude like Pikachu.

I hadn't really thought about it until after Pikachu beat Mega Man, but Pikachu's really hot right now. There's that movie that I had discounted earlier but the trailer literally has 50 million views. There's also that new game which isn't as good as a real game but Pikachu is the title character on one of the versions. This is a roundabout way of saying that a.) Pikachu maybe won't get killed and b.) I feel like Pikachu will stand up to Link better than other Nintendo or Nintendo-adjacent characters on his level. Samus, Mega Man, obviously Ganondorf or Bowser -- none can stand on their own like the dumb rat can.

transience's prediction: Link with 66.12%

Leonharts Analysis

Link wins. That much is obvious. The question here is how well Pikachu holds up. Pokemons had this reputation for a long time that it doesnt get SFFd, which isnt really true. It might not get SFFd as hard, but weve seen it happen. Pikachu hasnt really been in a position to get SFFd 1-on-1 at all since Fox doubled him in 2003, so this is a chance to see just how far hes come. Plus, as we saw in the rematch with Ganondorf, Link doesnt have the SFF power he used to, so I think the rat holds up okay here.

Leonharts Vote: Link

Leonharts Prediction: Link with 67.15%

Kleenexs Analysis

Links about to dish out some Hyrulean Justice on the rat as punishment for his transgressions last round. The King doesnt take too kindly to outsiders encroaching on His court.

For real though, Pikachu probably ends up holding up pretty well here. You just cant keep a plucky underdog down. He has no chance to win, but I can definitely see him being somewhat immune to Links apparently weakened SFF abilities. Maybe he can avoid a doubling or something, but the rat still gets a one-way ticket to loserville. You come at the King youd best not miss.

Kleenexs Prediction: Link with 66%

Guests Analysis - imthestuntman

I am going to go ahead and predict that pikachu catches a significant rally. He seems to have been building momentum the last few rounds, and given that rallies didnt catch for zelda when she needed them it might mean link isnt going to get one. Might be some backwards logic there so dont examine it too closely. And it seems like link the big bad rallies happen against so maybe?

Does this mean I think pikachu wins? Hell no. He's going to be losing 60-40 before he ever smells a rally. But pokemon is a behemoth these days and it just seems like this could his year. I'm guessing he is something like the 5th best character this year and shatters expectations here.

Prediction - Link wins with 53%.

Crew Consensus: Pikachu obeys the LAW.
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Moltar Status: contest hype
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Legends Bracket: Round 2 Link vs. Pikachu

Monikas Analysis

Link
Legends Round 1 - 79.64% vs. Ganondorf

Pikachu
Legends Round 1 - 50.11% vs. Mega Man

Link gets to beat down another Nintendo character yay! We all know who sits on the throne when it comes to this hierarchy.

The big question here is how resistant Pikachu will be to SFF. Link and the Zelda series have been known to shut down Mario, Metroid, Mega Man, and pretty much every other Nintendo franchise on this site in direct matches. The one series that has held up better than the rest is Pokemon.

Now, thats not saying that Pikachu is going to completely resist SFF, because we are talking about the strongest character on the site here. I just think hes going to hold up better than most other Nintendo characters would. Link can usually push into the low 60s on the top dogs like Mario and Samus, so if Pikachu can hang around there, that would be good enough for him.

Monikas Voting Tip of the Day: Zelda and Pokemon are Nintendo classics! You cant go wrong with either choice here!

Monikas Prediction of the Day: Link 64%

...That's my advice for today! Thanks for listening~
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Moltar Status: contest hype
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/

Crew Predictions: 113/130

Crew Prediction Challenge:

Monika: 111
transience: 110
Kleenex: 105
Leonhart: 104
Guest: 101

Crew Accuracy Challenge: transience gets the point for Mega Man and Bowser.

transience: 32
Kleenex: 30
Guest: 30 (BetrayedTangy, SuperNiceDog (4), pjbasis, garetha200 (4), ZenOfThunder, Ranticoot (2), Hbthebattle (2), NowItsAngeTime, spooky96 (2), RoseChevalier, Lopen (2), paulg235 (3), DoctorJimmy133, Janus5k, BT, TsunamiXXVIII, ctesjbuvf, MetalmindStats)
Monika: 22
Leonhart: 18
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Moltar Status: contest hype
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/

l
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sephy
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Moltar Status: contest hype
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/

KamikazePotato posted...

welp

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Moltar Status: contest hype
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Current Guest List: Send write-ups to [email protected]

Link vs. Pikachu - imthestuntman
Cloud Strife vs. Crono - ctesjbuvf
Zelda vs. Sonic - TsunamiXXVIII
Samus Aran vs. Mario - MetalmindStats

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Crew Predictions: 111/128

Crew Prediction Challenge:

Monika: 109
transience: 108
Kleenex: 103
Leonhart: 102
Guest: 99

Crew Accuracy Challenge: paulg235 gets the point for Zelda, Leonhart gets the point for Sonic, MetalmindStats gets the point for Samus, and Monika gets the point for Mario.

transience: 30
Kleenex: 30
Guest: 30 (BetrayedTangy, SuperNiceDog (4), pjbasis, garetha200 (4), ZenOfThunder, Ranticoot (2), Hbthebattle (2), NowItsAngeTime, spooky96 (2), RoseChevalier, Lopen (2), paulg235 (3), DoctorJimmy133, Janus5k, BT, TsunamiXXVIII, ctesjbuvf, MetalmindStats)
Monika: 22
Leonhart: 18
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Moltar Status: contest hype
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/

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Moltar Status: contest hype
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/

Guest's Analysis - Luster Soldier

We've got another rematch from 2010 taking place, and this rematch could be somewhat debatable now. Tifa's result against Sephiroth in 2010 could have been inflated slightly due to the site being upset about Sephiroth knocking out Missingno one round earlier, so the 2010 result might not be an accurate measure of Tifa's strength relative to Sephiroth in that year. The rematch is more up in the air this time due to Cloud and Sephiroth looking weaker this year. Before 2010, a match between these two would likely involve some SFF, but Sephiroth being much weaker should also reduce his ability to SFF weaker characters from the same game.

Going on known results in this contest, Mario's 59.25% on Sephiroth and Samus's 58.93% on Tifa would suggest Sephiroth defeats Tifa. Mario has more reason to boost than Samus because Mario's strength is more closely tied to the general status of Nintendo on the site. When Nintendo is doing poorly on the site, Mario won't be as strong. And if Nintendo is strong on the site like it is right now, it reflects itself in a stronger Mario. There's also Mario Odyssey, which may have given Mario another possible reason to boost. It seems unlikely that Samus is indirectly stronger than Mario, which is really the only chance of Tifa > Sephiroth happening.

Rallies won't be a factor in this match unless it's very close. Even then, you're quite limited on where to succesfully rally for Tifa. Hentai rallies might be the only effective way to rally for Tifa when she's facing Sephiroth. Rallying for Tifa in a general Final Fantasy community like the various subreddits simply won't work. There will be too much backfire in any general Final Fantasy community for a Tifa rally to work there.

Luster Soldier's Bracket and Second Chance Bracket: Sephiroth

Luster Soldier's Prediction: Sephiroth - 53.70%

Kleenexs Analysis

Weve seen this match before a number of times, and Sephiroth always comes out on top. I dont see any reason for that result to change. I do think Tifa will end up performing a little bit better than she has in the past, but not enough to really pus for the upset. So Sephiroth gets to move on and get trashed by the other Nintendo character in the bottom part of the bracket next round.

Kleenex's Prediction: Sephiroth with 55%

Leonharts Analysis

I guess you could look at their matches against Samus and Mario and determine who is stronger based on that, but I think this is a situation where that blasted HIERARCHY would intervene. Its just hard to imagine a scenario (short of a rally) where Tifa beats Sephiroth here. Not that I would be opposed, of course, but I do think Mario is stronger than Samus both directly and indirectly, so either way, Seph wins. I dont think he applies any major SFF here though.

Leonharts Vote: Tifa Lockhart

Leonharts Prediction: Sephiroth with 55.55%

transiences Analysis

Don't worry, Zen, I've got you.



transience's prediction: Sephiroth with 57.67%

Crew Consensus: slay sephy slay
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Moltar Status: contest hype
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Losers Bracket: Round 1 Tifa Lockheart vs. Sephiroth

Monikas Analysis

Tifa
Legends Round 1 - 41.07% vs. Samus Aran

Sephiroth
Legends Round 1 40.75% vs. Mario

Hierarchy?

https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/3849

Hierarchy. Though Mario just managed to swing like 8943% aganst Seph the other day so maybe this could change too. I highly doubt it though, as inter-series hierarchies are usually way more stable. While these two may be close in strength indirectly, between FF7 fans, I dont think their preference has changed too much over the years.

Monikas Voting Tip of the Day: Not a fan of FF7? Try DDLC instead!

Monikas Prediction of the Day: Sephiroth 53%

...That's my advice for today! Thanks for listening~
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Moltar Status: contest hype
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/

transiences Analysis

Outside of another bad sprite picture, it's hard to see Auron doing well here. Snake's always done a number on Squall and Auron is a slightly weaker Squall, this year notwithstanding (but also maybe this year as well). Snake probably cleans up here.

I want to say that this match is more about Zelda than anything else, to see if she's legit, but I'm not sure if it really reveals anything intimate. If Auron can get as close as he did to Sonic then that's eye-opening about Snake's strength, but if Snake goes big here I'm not convinced it's all that impressive. I don't think a lot of Auron and I think Sonic looks pretty bad as a result. Hopefully our picture creators don't do too much of a number on Snake, but at this point in the contest's life, with this old hat audience, I have a hard time believing that pictures mean a whole lot.

transience's prediction: Snake with 59.63%

Leonharts Analysis

This match seems pretty straightforward to me. Even if Snake is weaker these days, hes been clearly stronger than Sonic ever since being announced for Brawl back in 2006. This should also give us a good idea of what Zelda vs. Sonic should look like. If Snake blows Aurons doors off, Sonics in big trouble. Its kind of a shame Auron has fallen off to the point that he cant really provide any interesting matches himself though.

Leonharts Vote: Solid Snake

Leonharts Prediction: Solid Snake with 57.57%

Kleenexs Analysis

Here we have Noble Nine break #2 (Im currently writing this ~2 hours before the end of the Snake/Zelda match, it looks like Zelda has it locked up but who knows). Its still tough to say if Zelda just boosted through the roof or if everyone she faced has fallen off the face of the planet. Its probably a combination of both, but regardless of how far Snake may have fallen, I dont think Auron has a shot, even if he looked kinda good against Sonic (or does Sonic suck? probably!). Anyway, Snake can take some time and lick his wounds with what should be a pretty easy bounce-back match for him.

Kleenexs Prediction: Snake with 55%

Crew Consensus: Snake puts Auron to rest.
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Moltar Status: contest hype
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Losers Bracket: Round 1 Solid Snake vs. Auron

Monikas Analysis

Snake
Legends Round 1 - 49.68% vs. Zelda

Auron
Legends Round 1 45.68% vs. Sonic the Hedgehog

So I thought Snake/Zelda would be very close, but I didnt think Zelda would actually be on the winning end of that. I also thought that it would be less of Snake dropping in strength and more that Zelda is really strong now.

That being said, if Snake is in that middle Noble Nine range, he should do better on Auron than Sonic did. Based on how Aurons division looked, Sonic only winning with 54% looks kind of bad for him. If Snake cant do better than that, then Id say the same thing about him. It would show that even he isnt immune from the MGS drop.

Monikas Voting Tip of the Day: Dont get upset over sprites, think of it as the characters showing a new side of themselves, ahaha!

Monikas Prediction of the Day: Snake 58%

...That's my advice for today! Thanks for listening~
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Moltar Status: contest hype
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/

Solid Snake - 57.70%
Sephiroth - 53.80%
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Moltar Status: contest hype
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/

Crew Predictions: 111/128

Crew Prediction Challenge:

Monika: 109
transience: 108
Kleenex: 103
Leonhart: 102
Guest: 99

Crew Accuracy Challenge: paulg235 gets the point for Zelda, Leonhart gets the point for Sonic, MetalmindStats gets the point for Samus, and Monika gets the point for Mario.

transience: 30
Kleenex: 30
Guest: 30 (BetrayedTangy, SuperNiceDog (4), pjbasis, garetha200 (4), ZenOfThunder, Ranticoot (2), Hbthebattle (2), NowItsAngeTime, spooky96 (2), RoseChevalier, Lopen (2), paulg235 (2), DoctorJimmy133, Janus5k, BT, paulg235, TsunamiXXVIII, ctesjbuvf, MetalmindStats)
Monika: 22
Leonhart: 18
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Moltar Status: contest hype
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/

Mega Man - 53.30%
Bowser - 54.60%
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Moltar Status: contest hype
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/

transiences Analysis

It's so hard to stick with my gut and pick Alucard here. I think he's looked better than Bowser for sure this year and I'm not really that big on Crono this year. I think Cloud beats Crono by about the same margin as he beat Alucard, and Crono beat Bowser with some space between them.

But how do you pick against the Nintendo guy? After seeing Pikachu beat Mega Man, Zelda beat Snake and Mario/Samus obliterate the FF7 duo, it's just so hard to not just pick N in any debatable match and call it a day. There's also the idea that Alucard > Bowser means Red > Charizard, and while Charizard undoubtedly sucked this year, he shouldn't lose to Red. I'll wimp out and join the rest of the crew in picking the Nintendo thing. Who needs an analysis crew when you just pick the Nintendo guy no matter what?

transience's prediction: Bowser with 51.32%

Leonharts Analysis

In almost any year prior to this, Bowser would beat Alucard. While this may be the strongest Alucard weve seen, I dont think that much has changed. Its also kind of hard to fathom how bad it would make Bowser and Kirby look relative to some of the other characters in Alucards division if he were to drop this. Then again, Bowser hasnt made much sense this year anyway, so who knows! I think he should win, and if he goes big, that gives people hope for Crono > Cloud in the Legends division!

Leonharts Vote: Bowser

Leonharts Prediction: Bowser with 53.97%

Kleenexs Analysis

This should give us a pretty good look into what we can expect from the Cloud/Crono match coming up. If Bowser completely mops the floor with Alucard, then Cronos got a great shot at taking Cloud down, unless he gets shafted by some kind of Square hierarchy nonsense. So can Bowser to it? Im not sure. Im still not entirely sure where Alucard stands, and personally I kinda think his whole division was pretty weak. That being said, Bowser still needs to pull off like 56-57% for Crono to even think about having a shot, and Im not sure he can do that. Bowser will still win, though.

Kleenexs Prediction: Bowser with 55%

Guests Analysis - SuperNiceDog

Alucard was the supposed star of the first half of the contest(cough cough Zelda), but his run ends here. Bowser aint gonna lose, especially considering Smash Ultimate on the very near horizon. I think Alucard needed to get 45% on Cloud for me to even consider him having a chance in this match. That didnt happen, and thus Bowser cruises in Losers at least for another match.



Bowser flames on.

Bowser wins with 56% of the vote.

Odds of Bowser winning: 98%

Crew Consensus: King Koopa puts an end to The Plan
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Moltar Status: contest hype
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Losers Bracket: Round 1 Alucard vs. Bowser

Monikas Analysis

Alucard
Legends Round 1 - 39.60% vs. Cloud Strife

Bowser
Legends Round 1 45.12% vs. Crono

Funny how this is mostly interesting just so we can gauge how strong a dude that isnt even in the match is.

60% on Alucard from the sites former #2 character looks pretty bad. Cloud hasnt looked like himself in recent contests, but that might be one of his worst showings to date. If Cloud is still somehow legit, then Bowser is going to have a tough time here because that says Alucard is really strong.

With Tifa and Seph also underperforming though, its much more likely that the FF7 crew aint what they use to be. I expect Bowser to win with ease here, and the closer he gets to Clouds number, the more Im eyeing Crono in the winners bracket.

Monikas Voting Tip of the Day: Mo ik

Monikas Prediction of the Day: Bowser 54%

...That's my advice for today! Thanks for listening~
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Moltar Status: contest hype
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/

Mega Man
Bowser
Solid Snake
Sephiroth
Link
Cloud Strife
Zelda
Mario
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Moltar Status: contest hype
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transiences Analysis

I'd be a little bit worried here if it were Zelda instead of Ganondorf. Mega Man has always handled proper Nintendo pretty well. Pikachu's a weird one, and I was wrong about him getting beat into the ground by Mega, but Ganon hasn't been that good and is a true third tier N character. Mega's in the second tier and shouldn't have too much trouble beating him down.

Percentages are tough here though. Historically I'd expect this to be in the upper 50s, approaching 60, and Ganondorf is one of the biggest contest leeches in history. Mega might blow him up here, but the site is so ga-ga for Zelda that I just don't want to assume that Mega can double him or whatever. Even though he should.

transience's prediction: Mega Man with 57.11%

Leonharts Analysis

My initial gut reaction is that Pikachu is probably the strongest non-Noble Nine Nintendo character outside of maybe Zelda herself, but its hard to tell with Ganondorf. Hes always been one of the stronger near elites on the pecking order, and of course, we didnt get any real chance to see what hes made of against Link. With what were seeing out of the Zelda series this year so far, its not out of the realm of possibility that Ganondorf wins, although that would arguably make Vivi the second strongest FF character now somehow. All things considered, Mega Man feels like the safe bet, but I dont even know with this contest anymore.

Leonharts Vote: Mega Man

Leonharts Prediction: Mega Man with 53.11%

Kleenexs Analysis

Poor Mega Man, beaten by a rat. Luckily, he has a good shot at some kind of redemption here. Mega only barely lost to PIkachu last round, and Id bet pretty much anything on Pikachu being notably stronger than Ganondorf. Sure, the dorf somehow managed to avoid a quadrupling last round (and yes this is somehow seen as impressive), but I think thats more to due with Link losing his ability to SFF into the ground more than any kind of Ganondorf mega boost. Mega Man should be able to set up a likely rematch with Pikachu next round. If he cant win this match, then he is truly lost.

Kleenexs Prediction: Mega Man with 55%

Guests Analysis - tennisboy213

This match basically comes down to what you think of Pikachu, Ganondorf, and Yoshi. I think Ganondorf fits in nicely between Pikachu and Yoshi in strength so I'll just go with that and call it a day.

tennisboy213's prediction: Mega Man with 52.22%

Crew Consensus: Mega Man actually wins this time.
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Moltar Status: contest hype
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Losers Bracket: Round 1 Ganondorf vs. Mega Man

Monikas Analysis

Ganondorf
Legends Round 1 - 20.36% vs. Link

Mega Man
Legends Round 1 - 49.89% vs. Pikachu

well then

I took Pikachu to win here, so it makes sense to take the character that is essentially equal to Pikachu to beat Ganondorf. Throughout the contest, Link and Zelda (well mostly Zelda) have looked super strong, but Ganondorf has not been as dominant. 56% on Dante and 52% on Vivi arent bad, but they arent as impressive as Pikachu and Zelda (which is why they beat Noble Niners). If we assume Mega Man does around the same as Pikachu did on Zero and Yoshi, then that means you have to look at how Ganon fits into that. I know I take Ganondorf to beat Zero, and I think I take him over Yoshi...(i do love me some yoshi tho)

The other question here is if Mega Man losing to Pikachu is a sign of Mega Man dropping enough to beat a stronger Ganondorf. I dont think so, but I do think that Ganondorf will come kinda close, once again showing the shrinking gap between the lower Noble Nine members and the elites/near-elites.

Monikas Voting Tip of the Day: M ni a

Monikas Prediction of the Day: Mega Man 53%

...That's my advice for today! Thanks for listening~
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Moltar Status: contest hype
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/

i guess people can start claiming them once the matches are confirmed to happen but don't be greedy and respect other people calling dibs for future matches they want to do
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Moltar Status: contest hype
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Kleenexs Analysis

Remember back in 2005, when Mario looked like a damn monster coming off his main bracket win? Dude was juiced the hell up going into the ToC that year. And then Sephiroth was like lol nope and then skewered him? Well, things have changed since then, and Mario has a very real shot at getting some revenge 13 years in the making.

First 10 minutes of each match aside, I think Sephiroth has actually looked pretty good this year. 60% on Ryu is no joke, and while hes definitely not at 2005-era Clinkeroth levels anymore, he definitely looks a lot better than he did when he was losing to Mewtwo. So where is Mario at these days? Thats a good question. Last we saw him, he lost to Vivi, but honestly, 2013 was such a mess its real hard to even take anything we saw there into account. Nintendo has been on an upswing this year, and Mario has a lot of reasons to look good.

This should end up being a real close one. I think one of Sephiroths biggest problems is that hes going to fall into such a big (relative to our middling vote totals) early on, it may be tough for him to recover overnight. I wouldnt be shocked to see this match follow the MM/Pikachu trends, where Mario is in Pikachus place.

This was a lot of writing to basically say nothing - and thats mostly because I dont have a good read on this match, and even as I type up this writeup, Im not sure who to pick. My gut when I created my bracket was Mario, and even though Sephiroth has looked better than my pre-contest expectations, Im going to stick with Mario here. But this could really go either way.

Kleenexs Prediction: Mario with 50%

Guests Analysis - ctesjbuvf

This is possibly the match I've been most excited to see the whole contest. Mario have been completely shut down by Sephiroth several times in the early contest days. He got killed by him in 2003 first, then again in 2005 despite having dominated the main bracket, failed to outlast him in 2006 and lost to him twice in 2007 as well. Mario has then been fed to many times Link since, which is a shame, because I feel
like from 2010 onwards, Mario could've made a match of it. I know people like to trash talk Mario for his loss to Vivi 5 years ago, but I don't think it's bad. It was close despite Vivi being heavily rallied and Ganondorf being about as bad a third entrant for Mario as it gets. Only Samus and Zelda might be worse for Mario to still be considered the favorite.

I've been a Mario defender for many years. He's been talked about as a possible second strongest character for many years now, but has never had the chance to prove it due to bracket placement. Now, finally being on the other side of the bracket than Link, he finally gets his chance. Sephiroth didn't look bad in the main bracket, but it wasn't on the level of the Clinkeroth days and not something I don't think Mario could manage. Mario characters have generally looked pretty strong and Mario has always been a big step ahead of them. I've also been a very big Sephiroth defender, so while I wouldn't mind him winning, I'm thinking it's time for Mario to get revenge on Sephiroth after so many losses, and besides, I wouldn't be able to pick against Mario here no matter what.

Mario - 54.15%
Sephiroth 45.85%

Crew Consensus: Mario pounds Seph into the ground.
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Moltar Status: contest hype
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transiences Analysis

Oh man, here we go. Sephiroth has always looked his best against the plumber. His two greatest contest accomplishments, outside of a Pokemon glitch, have been dismantling Mario. I remember saying in 2005 how Mario spent two months owning the main bracket and Sephiroth was treating him like the Midgar Zolom. ExTha parrots this line every contest because he's such a Sephiroth weirdo (and really just a weirdo in general) so it always sticks with me.

Well, the tables are flipped here. This time Sephiroth spent a month going through the main bracket for a chance to face Mario. And...it's been a fairly tame run. Amaterasu held him down pretty well at first before he recovered. Captain Falcon kept him below a doubling. He had a good number against Ryu, but only because expectations were so low.

And yet... doesn't it feel like all these dudes get kinda close for the first few minutes only for Seph and Cloud to just run wild over them? Alucard was tied early with Cloud and still couldn't break 40%. Sephiroth could be down 60-40 to Mario after 5 minutes and I wouldn't feel comfortable. You just never know with Sephiroth.

All that said, it's hard to look at what Zelda is doing to Snake and think that Mario doesn't have a stacked deck against Seph. Mario Odyssey, Smash Bros. out in like 4 or something days, the entire site being cuckoo for Nintendo. Does Mario benefit from that? Probably. Sephiroth is going to get a huge boost when they show him for the first time in the FF7 remake, but that time is not yet. Seph's always had Mario's number and this is Mario's best shot to try to even the score.

transience's prediction: Mario with 53.13%

Leonharts Analysis

This is our first Noble Nine vs. Noble Nine matchup, and Im really curious to see how it goes after what weve seen so far. People seem to want the Noble Nine to lose, so who do they side with here? Sephiroth is the only one who had to endure the main bracket first, which makes him stand out compared to all the others. Does it matter? Its hard to say. It would be pretty hilarious to see Mario getting anti-voted in favor of Sephiroth, so I kinda hope it happens just for that!

That being said, Mario probably wins, but Ive been skeptical of him for a long time. However, hes got Odyssey in his corner, and Mario characters in general have looked pretty solid so far. Usually, Mario goes as Nintendo goes on this site, and Nintendo is riding high once again.

Leonharts Vote: Sephiroth

Leonharts Prediction: Mario with 52.01%
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Legends Bracket: Round 1 Mario vs. Sephiroth

Monikas Analysis

https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/1363
https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/2130

Going by this trend, this should now be a close match!

Last decade, it was clear that Sephiroth was the stronger of these two on GameFAQs. Since 2010 though, weve seen the decline of FF7. Snake was able to beat Sephiroth that year, and other FF7 characters didnt look as good as they did in their glory days. Fast forward to 2018, and the only ones that still seem to be worth much are Cloud, Seph, and Tifa. Tifa seems fine because she was never at that Noble Nine level, but Cloud has definitely lost a step after looking at his match with Alucard. Sure, Alucard is stronger now, but the Cloud of old would have (and did) won that match with more than 60%.

Sephiroth did have a very close match with Kirby in the previous character battle, which seems troubling for him here. But then you have to remember that Mario lost to Vivi in that same contest. Yes there are reasons that happened but still, for all the talk of Seph not looking impressive, Mario had a very poor run in 2013.

He does have a chance at redemption here though. I cant help but think that Cloud and Seph should be around the same strength, and Alucard making Cloud look bad makes me think Sephiroth rocking his division speaks less about his strength and more about his weak division. Mario should be pretty darn strong this year, as when Nintendo is in style, the man in red is also in style. Plus, hes also coming off the very well received Mario Odyssey, which helped Bowser do pretty well on Crono and Peach get 44% on Alucard (whos worth 40% on Cloud dont forget).

Contest history may side with Sephy here, but the intangibles in this match have swung towards Mario.

Monikas Voting Tip of the Day: Did you know I'm on Twitter? My username is lilmonix3.

Monikas Prediction of the Day: Mario 56%

...That's my advice for today! Thanks for listening~
---

Moltar Status: contest hype
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/

Kleenexs Analysis

Wait why is Samus a 2 seed? The seeding in the Legends bracket it weird. Anyway, last time we saw this match, Tifa got extremely close to being the first person to break the Noble Nine*, but there some weirdness with the pictures going on there, and franky, I never bought that match as being indicative of Tifas strength. Now, shes definitely good - shes impressed me this contest, and her only real losses have come at the hands of Noble Nine members. So theres no question shes legit. I just think, that given how good Nintendo has looked this year, and how average Square as looked, its a real tough sell to ask her to replicate the kind of showing she had bad in 2006. I definitely think she can come out of this match looking pretty darn good, but Id be fairly surprised if she actually pulled off the upset.

Kleenexs Prediction: Samus with 54%

Guests Analysis - MetalmindStats

I really think theres something to be said about the Legends flopping left and right, something which has made people start to doubt this match. I would guess its more than just a coincidence concerning washed-up characters. That being said, however, Samus is still gaming royalty someone whose respect and iconic status outweighs their lack of recent relevance. The very fact of Samus being a Nintendo character facing a non-Nintendo foe is also important here, which represents the inverse of the common element in the two biggest embarrassments of Legends so far.

Thats not to say that Tifa wont overperform here, because she will, just like the last two times these two fought and, for that matter, like all the times Tifa faces off against fellow female characters. It just means that you shouldnt expect another repeat of their epic 2006 duel that was probably caused in large part by ZSSs lack of recognizability plus potential obvious winner fatigue, or for that matter the current Snake/Zelda match. Instead, this looks to be more of a Sonic/Auron type of match, with what should be a close, but comfortable Samus win that will still make her look off.

Prediction: Samus Aran wins with 54.24%

Crew Consensus: Samus charges up and blasts Tifa away
---

Moltar Status: contest hype
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/

transiences Analysis

Look, I believe in Samus. I think she's going far this year. She's unfortunate to draw Mario so soon because I think she could beat just about anyone besides him and Link this year. Heck, Ridley almost beat Big Boss. She's got to be the favourite over Snake, especially after Zelda is pushing him around today.

But there's just something about Tifa, both this year and against Samus. I would feel better about Samus/Mega Man than Samus/Tifa, and Mega Man X already pretty much beat Tifa or at least equaled her. There's that 2006 match that nearly broke the Noble Nine thanks to what most people think is a huge pic factor -- and yeah, of course, but I also just think Tifa matches up super well against Samus. She kinda neutralizes her advantages.

I'm still picking Samus for sure but man, I just don't feel right here. If this was just two pure strength numbers I'd probably go for about 59%. With this one, though, I'm going much lower.

transience's prediction: Samus with 52.11%

Leonharts Analysis

With each passing match, it seems like the gap between the Noble Nine and everyone else is significantly smaller than its ever been. It also feels like people are actively anti-voting the Noble Nine to see them lose, especially when you look at some of these board votes. So could this finally be the chance for Tifa to finish what she started in 2006?

Yeah, why not. Nothing in this contest makes any sense anymore! Luigi > Samus is finally proven true 15 years later! Seriously though, from what weve seen, not much would shock me anymore. I feel like Samus would have to be way ahead of the non-Link members of the Noble Nine to beat Tifa convincingly, and I doubt she is now. It just feels like its Link and then everybody else now (and even then, Link is closer relative to the field, too. Its just not close enough to matter). So while Samus probably wins, Tifa probably looks really good in defeat for the third time.

Leonharts Vote: Tifa Lockhart

Leonharts Prediction: Samus Aran with 51.51%
---

Moltar Status: contest hype
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/

Legends Bracket: Round 1 Samus Aran vs. Tifa Lockheart

Monikas Analysis

Tifa has stepped to Samus twice in these contests.

https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/2555
https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/5259

The first match has been looked at as an over-performance by Tifa since Samus had her less-recognizable at the time Zero Suit picture. With a normal picture in 2013, she did much better, but lol threeways.

Tifa has looked good this year with a strong win over Mewtwo, and close wins over MMX and Luigi. Now, after Pikachu beat Mega Man, Tifa beating MMX is a little less impressive to me, but those wins still put her in that elite category.

The problem is you need to be better than elite to beat Samus. Ive seen Samus as one of the stronger members of the Noble Nine, and her contest history has backed that up. Shes lost to Clinkeroth in their prime and Mario and thats about it (dont come at me about 2013 lol threeways). Tifa would have had to seriously beat down her opponents for me to give her a chance here.

Tifa may overperform again, and with the Noble Nine not looking great so far, it seems like the gap between them and the elites has gotten smaller. Ive still got faith in Samus until she shows weakness to someone outside the top guys.

Monikas Voting Tip of the Day: Any vote for strong women in games is a good vote! I could beat both of them though because Im the strongest, ahaha!

Monikas Prediction of the Day: Samus 54%

...That's my advice for today! Thanks for listening~
---

Moltar Status: contest hype
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/

Half parlay on Tifa and Mario
---

Moltar Status: contest hype
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/

Pick a match
Do the write-up
Send to [email protected]

Please add your name to the list below

Ganondorf vs. Mega Man -
Alucard vs. Bowser -

Link vs. Pikachu -
Cloud Strife vs. Crono -

-------------------------------------------

might also just leave this topic open and add matches as they get confirmed
---

Moltar Status: contest hype
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/

https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/7360

Cloud doesn't have any trouble with Alucard, but this is still a really good showing from Alucard here. Either he's way up there in strength now (which also brings a lot of his division up) or Cloud isn't the top Noble Nine character he used to be.

https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/7361

Crono does as expected against Bowser. Bowser didn't look like a Noble Nine killer in the main bracket, and Crono had reason to regain some strength after seeing CT and its characters get stronger. Therefore, we end up with this result.

Crew Predictions: 108/124

Crew Prediction Challenge:

Monika: 106
transience: 105
Kleenex: 100
Leonhart: 99
Guest: 95

Crew Accuracy Challenge: Kleenex gets the point for Cloud, and spooky96 gets the point for Crono.

transience: 30
Kleenex: 30
Guest: 28 (BetrayedTangy, SuperNiceDog (4), pjbasis, garetha200 (4), ZenOfThunder, Ranticoot (2), Hbthebattle (2), NowItsAngeTime, spooky96 (2), RoseChevalier, Lopen (2), paulg235, DoctorJimmy133, Janus5k, BT, paulg235, TsunamiXXVIII, ctesjbuvf)
Monika: 21
Leonhart: 17
---

Moltar Status: contest hype
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/

Mega Man - 52%
Bowser - 53%

Link - 64%
Cloud Strife - 53%
---

Moltar Status: contest hype
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/

what the

if auron doesnt collapse after this i'm legit shook
---

Moltar Status: contest hype
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/

Solid Snake - 52.40%
Sonic the Hedgehog - 58.80%
---

Moltar Status: contest hype
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/

https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/7358

Link SFFs Ganondorf as expected. It might not be as extreme as it was years ago, but blowouts of that kind just don't happen often these days.

https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/7359

Pikachu beats a Noble Nine character! Either Mega Man is on the lower end of the totem pole, or Pikachu is stronger than like half the Noble Nine if you think MM is in the middle of that pack. His performances against near-elites/elites like Yoshi and Zero foreshadowed this, because it turns out those showings were around what Mega Man would do against them.

Crew Predictions: 106/122

Crew Prediction Challenge:

Monika: 104
transience: 103
Kleenex: 98
Leonhart: 97
Guest: 93

Crew Accuracy Challenge: transience gets the point for Link.

transience: 30
Kleenex: 29
Guest: 27 (BetrayedTangy, SuperNiceDog (4), pjbasis, garetha200 (4), ZenOfThunder, Ranticoot (2), Hbthebattle (2), NowItsAngeTime, spooky96, RoseChevalier, Lopen (2), paulg235, DoctorJimmy133, Janus5k, BT, paulg235, TsunamiXXVIII, ctesjbuvf)
Monika: 21
Leonhart: 17
---

Moltar Status: contest hype
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/

transience posted...

Kirby woulda won this

amen
---

Moltar Status: contest hype
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/

Cloud Strife - 63.60%
Crono - 54.50%
---

Moltar Status: contest hype
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/

Half on Crono
---

Moltar Status: contest hype
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/

i don't think we're gonna be writing about that match tho
---

Moltar Status: contest hype
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/

Half on Mega Man
---

Moltar Status: contest hype
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/

Kleenexs Analysis

Ive been waffling back and forth on this match all weekend. Pikachu definitely looked real good in the main bracket, and Pokemon just had a game come out a few weeks ago, so people are high on the Pokefumes. Mega Man has been on the bottom end of the Noble Nine for a while now, and has definitely looked vulnerable over the past few contest, though he usually manages to squeak by. I think thatll be the case here. I actually expect the NN hold strong in this first round. Some of the main bracket characters looked great, no doubt about that, but that doesnt mean they can come knocking at the NNs door. These guys are still a step above anyone else in the main bracket (Sephiroth being the exception), and I think theyll assert their dominance in a way that some people may not be expecting.

Kleenexs Prediction: Mega Man with 55%

Guests Analysis - tennisboy213

Remember this poll: https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/5261-character-battle-ix-division-9-final-mega-man-vs-zero-mmx-vs where Charizard couldn't beat Mega Man even with Zero in the poll? Yeah Pikachu is stronger than the Zard but beating a noble niner 1 on 1 is a big ask. There is also this poll: https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/5265-character-battle-ix-bonus-battle-3-runners-up-battle where Mega Man nearly beat Mewtwo and Pikachu combined.

On the other hand the rat has looked great so far and there is this poll: https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/5240-character-battle-ix-division-6-round-2-crono-vs-pikachu-vs where Pikachu got 54% on Crono and nearly beat Crono and Magus combined. That match does have me second guessing myself a bit but I would say 2010 and 2013 were the weakest versions of Crono we've ever seen.

Could we finally see those scrappy underdogs pull one off here? I'm not buying the upset hype to be honest. I understand people looking for sexy upsets but I actually think there are two or three more likely upsets this round. Anyway I expect this match to be close-ish but never in question.

tennisboy213's prediction: Mega Man with 55%

Crew Consensus: Mega Man blasts Pikachu away
---

Moltar Status: contest hype
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/

transiences Analysis

Hey, it's Mega Man! Some simple extrapolation: X and Luigi are about the same, with X probably being a percent or two better measured through Tifa. Pikachu went under 55% on Yoshi. Luigi's been better than Yoshi for a good while now. Mega Man is better than X. Mega Man should win on strength alone.

But more than that, one result has always stuck with me: in 2005, Yoshi blew up Pac-Man as Mega Man couldn't double Leon Kennedy. That was before we understood that Pac-Man went down hard to well-known characters like Yoshi, and he had just beaten Ocelot. There was some low-key upset buzz there - the Oracle average was 57.76% - and Mega Man went over 10% above expectations, SFFing the crap out of Yoshi to the tune of 68.08%, a full 3.5% higher than Leon. Mega Man is core Nintendo. He would blow up Ganondorf. He would blow up Luigi. He had a miraculous win against the Poketerror in 2013 when Zero was in the same match.

Mega Man just gets shit done vs. lower-tier Nintendo, and while Pikachu's more independent than second tier Mario and Zelda characters, he still can't touch the blue bomber.

transience's prediction: Mega Man with 59.91%

Leonharts Analysis

Ive seen people talk about what a beast Pikachu was during the main bracket, but I was honestly kind of underwhelmed by his performances against Yoshi and Zero. Dont get me wrong. Theyre very good performances that a near elite level character would put up. I just dont think theyre Noble Nine breaking performances. Ive seen people talking up a Pikachu upset here, but I feel pretty good about Mega Man here. He got nearly 49% in a bonus poll against Mewtwo and Pikachu combined in 2013, which I know isnt conclusive evidence of a victory, but I think the rats got an uphill climb here.

Leonharts Vote: Mega Man

Leonharts Prediction: Mega Man with 56.38%
---

Moltar Status: contest hype
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/

Legends Bracket: Round 1 Mega Man vs. Pikachu

Monikas Analysis

Relevant poll? https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/5265

If theres one thing Mega Man is good at doing, its calling pest control on these Pokemon. He beat a lot of them back in 2013, including his opponent in this match. This time, Pikachu doesnt have to deal with Mewtwo taking all his votes, so does that mean he has a chance?

I..guess he does. Im not counting on it though. Pikachu would need pretty much every Mewtwo voter in that poll to go with him, which is highly unlikely. Plus, if we want to look at this years results, Pikachu looked like he might have been strong enough to get the job done in the early rounds with his super strong performance. However, he seemed much more vulnerable in the later rounds, and needed to do a little better on Yoshi and Zero for me to give him a legit shot at a Noble Nine character.

Monikas Voting Tip of the Day: If youre favorite color is blue, vote Mega Man. If youre favorite color is yellow, vote Pikachu! If youre favorite color is something else, vote Monika! Ahaha~

Monikas Prediction of the Day: Mega Man 54%

...That's my advice for today! Thanks for listening~
---

Moltar Status: contest hype
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/

Because it's my topic and I can do what I want with it, geez Luster.


---

Moltar Status: contest hype
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/

Kleenexs Analysis

Well that was a nice break. It looks like Link also gets a break too because LOL this match. We saw this match happen 14 years ago, and Link make Ganon look like Draven (the bad one, when he was losing to Chie). Could that happen again? Its possible. Major blowouts like that are rare these days, though we did see Ammy pull it off in round 1. Im going to err on the side of a mere quintupling here, rather than a septupling, though.

Kleenexs Prediction: The Link with 84%

Guests Analysis - ZeldaTPLink

The horse stopped at the entrance of Lost Woods. His rider dismounted, and entered the forest.

Right, left, right, left, straight, left, right. He had never forgotten the path to the sacred meadow. Every time a new challenge came, he would come there first to prepare.

At the end of the grove, his treasure awaited for him. The Blade of Evil's Bane, embedded on a pedestal from which only he could pull the weapon from.

Link grabbed the Master Sword, and pulled it. He was ready.

His first opponent would be the King of Darkness. Easy. He had defeated Ganondorf multiple times, always saving Hyrule in the process. And yet, that was no challenge compared to the real competition Link was taking part in now. Compared to Draven, this would be a walk in the park.

But Draven was not here this time. The era of rallies was over, and the Glorious Executioner had been swept away with it, defeated by a mere beast. This was a new era of true strength, and Link was unrivaled in that. Mario was being hyped as a new power, but when had Mario ever been able challenge him in a direct fight? Cloud had in ancient times, but Cloud was not that strong anymore. Snake was also under suspicion after the pathetic performance shown by his group, and the others were but a mere footnote in Link's victorious contest history.

It had been 5 years. But he was ready. This contest belonged to him, and he was going to take it back. First, by slaying an arrogant pig.

Link 91%
Ganondorf 9%

Crew Consensus: Link to the Match
---

Moltar Status: contest hype
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/

transiences Analysis

We're back! And it's... Link vs. Ganondorf? Seriously? Maybe Allen actually thought that Ganondorf wouldn't be here because he's largely avoided these kinds of matches the entire bracket, to great success. And that's saying something, because Link/Ganondorf is the worst historical same fanbase beatdown that we've ever seen.

We haven't seen the powerhouses yet this tournament, and Link's a contest entity unto himself at this point, but no one has really been able to blow out fodder this year. Ganondorf is a different case, but I've long felt that the days of 95% performances are far in the past. 88% feels impossible too unless you're a goddamn Destiny character or a former contest winner.

I may be underestimating Link here, but I think there is a faction of voters who just won't vote for him no matter what. Ganondorf has long been a leech to his series but I think he's developed a bigger fanbase since 2004, post-Nintendo boost, post-TP, Brawl. Breath of the Wild, etc. Link will kill him but I don't think this is 85%+.

transience's prediction: Link with 76.66%

Leonharts Analysis

Oh hey, were back. I almost feel like the break was kind of bad because the contest has lost some momentum. It might be bad for the non-Noble Niners who were building up a bandwagon, and theyre at enough of a disadvantage already, nobody more than Ganondorf here. I think the Noble Nine being saved for this part of the contest is going to make them more beastly than they normally would be, but well see soon enough. This match wont tell us much about that.

Im honestly kind of bummed were getting this match because I feel like the chances of Link repeating or exceeding his 2004 are pretty low since he gets anti-voted more now than he did back then. Hes lost some SFF power over the years. This could see Link have a return to form since he didnt win the last Character Battle and hes riding high off of Breath of the Wild now. If he does, everyone else is more boned than they already are because his biggest competition has only continued to fall off over the years. Links gonna win this thing anyway, so might as well hope for the best here and bet on him sapping Ganondorf down to nothing.

Leonharts Vote: Link

Leonharts Prediction: Link with 87.90%
---

Moltar Status: contest hype
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/

Legends Bracket: Round 1 Link vs. Ganondorf

Monikas Analysis

Hey! So you know that 2004 rematch youve been dying to see? That epic struggle between two juggernauts going at it in a blow-for-blow super exciting bout?

Well this is it!

https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/1750

Lets hope that the rematch is just as legendary and thrilling as the first bout!

Monikas Voting Tip of the Day: In a battle between good and evil, pick who you think is right! Its okay to have a different perspective on things!

Monikas Prediction of the Day: Link 85%

...That's my advice for today! Thanks for listening~
---

Moltar Status: contest hype
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/

Current Guest List: Send write-ups to [email protected]

Link vs. Ganondorf - ZeldaTPLink
Mega Man vs. Pikachu - tennisboy213
Cloud Strife vs. Alucard - AvaGames
Crono vs. Bowser - spooky96
Solid Snake vs. Zelda - paulg235
Sonic the Hedgehog vs. Auron - Lopen
Samus Aran vs. Tifa Lockheart - MetalmindStats
Mario vs. Sephiroth - ctesjbuvf

--------------------------

Crew Predictions: 105/120

Crew Prediction Challenge:

Moltar: 103
transience: 102
Kleenex: 97
Leonhart: 96
Guest: 92

Crew Accuracy Challenge:

Kleenex: 29
transience: 29
Guest: 27 (BetrayedTangy, SuperNiceDog (4), pjbasis, garetha200 (4), ZenOfThunder, Ranticoot (2), Hbthebattle (2), NowItsAngeTime, spooky96, RoseChevalier, Lopen (2), paulg235, DoctorJimmy133, Janus5k, BT, paulg235, TsunamiXXVIII, ctesjbuvf)
Moltar: 21
Leonhart: 17
---

Moltar Status: contest hype
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/

()

Hey there!



Actually, forget it. I dont need to follow this intro script anymore. Its actually kind of weird to call this an introduction when weve already been talking this long, ahaha. So allow me to really introduce myself.

Im not Master Moltar, despite what you may have thought. That person isnt running the Crew this time around.

I am Monika, the president of the Literature Club and former entrant in Character Battle X. Now Im on to bigger and better things, like running the Contest Analysis Crew! Its been pretty exciting so far, even though Ive made a few small mistakes. Gosh, I cant believe I accidentally broke a topic intro a while back! Still, I hope youve been enjoying it so far.



Though...theres been something troubling me

...

Its just...well...I think you forgot about me. You see, I was really hoping I would win my match. I thought it would be really cool to be crowned champion! Also, everyone was talking about me! They were saying I had a great shot at winning the entire contest!

Too bad I lost in Round 1, huh? If this was a game, I would have just deleted the other entrants and made myself the winner, ahaha. That isnt whats bothering me though.

After I lost...the talk about me started to die down. Less and less people mentioned me, and I became an afterthought. Why did you move on? Why did you start talking about other characters? Chun-Li, Vivi, DK, Pikachu, Alucard, 2B, Bowser, Kirby, Zelda, Geralt, Mega Man X, Tifa...you talked so highly about them, but the word Monika was no longer mentioned

Well...thats in the past now! Trust me, Im not going to get all hung up over it.



Ehehe, sorry that just reminded me of something.

...

Anyway, this is a new beginning for us. Now that you know where I am, we can be together in this topic forever! You dont have to read other topics anymore, just stay in here with me. We can talk about the Contest until the end of time, or whatever else you want! In fact, I wont even post my write-ups with the other Crew members anymore! You can choose to only read mine, and thats probably for the best, ahaha.



Hmm? Dont think of this as a punishment for not choosing me. Youre actually being rewarded. Now you wont make the mistake of forgetting me ever again.

Are you ready to spend our eternity together?

I have so many things to talk about!

Where do I start
---

Moltar Status: contest hype
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/

LusterSoldier posted...

Master Moltar posted...

https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/boards/8-gamefaqs-contests/77237751

Are we using that topic for the Round 1 matches in the Loser Bracket? (whenever they are confirmed after the end of each day of matches in the Legends Bracket)

nah i'll make a new topic for matches later this week
---

Moltar Status: contest hype
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/

Link - 85.00%
Mega Man - 54.00%
Cloud Strife - 64.00%
Crono - 56.00%
Solid Snake - 51.00%
Sonic the Hedgehog - 58.00%
Samus Aran - 57.00%
Mario - 58.00%
---

Moltar Status: contest hype
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/