Lurker > thekitchensink

We are at 13. My heart sank so hard when he intercepted that last ball. But he didn't take it all the way back. I think I escaped.
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- TKS -
The Witness

Am I missing something? KCF's post says Giants. I have him at 10-6. Nick, You and I will be 11-5.
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- TKS -
The Witness

omg. Here it comes. The garbage time td to kill me.

Couldn't the colts just kneel three times and kick a fg??? That would leave Titans down two possessions under the two minute warning with no timeouts... sigh
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- TKS -
The Witness

Alright, I couldn't help myself, I calculated everything. Should add some drama to anyone who checks the topic during this game! I'm sure Emerald will double-check this, but here's what I believe is the current state of things:

The top 4 (in no order) are now Ulti, DC, Nee, and Davidponte (Nee has only one loss!). Beyond that, Cody, andel, Camden, Crescent, and VI are safely in the playoffs.

Rounding out that top 9 is Meow, KCF, Nick, and myself. Meow is one win ahead of the rest of us, but is the only one of the top 13 on the Titans, so if they lose, it's a 4-way tie for 10th, leaving one person out to dry. If the Titans win, it's a tie between KCF, Nick and I for 11th.

Here are the tiebreakers between those final four:

Meow - 13 / 5 / 51
KCF - 14 / 7 / 53
Nick - 13 / 4 / 58
tks - 13 / 7 / 58

Currently, the second tiebreaker is 4, and the third tiebreaker is 66. As for the first - combined touchdowns - there were 7 total in MIN/CHI and PHI/WAS.

So, as I understand it, if there are 6 or fewer touchdowns in this night game, KCF is out. If there are 7 or more, I'm out.

I guess that means Nick and Meow are safe despite being in the tie.

Thanks for the Broncos pick, KCF. It might be my only chance. C'monnnn, no more than 3 touchdowns in the second half!!
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- TKS -
The Witness

ah, I almost got both my fake level 6 and 8 picks if not for the Jets. But, I still couldn't get Level 5... also because of the Jets lol
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- TKS -
The Witness

Yes, but sadly Camden and VI jumped Nick and I and (unintentionally) Nick and I have the same tiebreakers except for fgs, which he will win.
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- TKS -
The Witness

Yes, the stupid Bucs and the stupid Giants D and the stupid Cowboys trying for no reason are likely going to eliminate me from the playoffs as the first man out. Oh well. At least I did well in fantasy this year.
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- TKS -
The Witness

Well, that idiotic Broncos play makes it either 4 or 5 for the field goals tiebreaker, depending on Colts/Titans tonight.
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- TKS -
The Witness

With no fantasy this week I decided to do the tiebreaker averages as these boring 1 o clock games end.

29 people submitted tiebreakers.

For total touchdowns (1), the average guess was 13, and 13 was also the most common guess with 9/29. 14 was next most common with 7/29. No one guessed 10 or 15, but other than that 8-17 were all guessed.

For field goals (2), the average guess was 5.9655. As expected, 6 was the most common guess with 8/29. 7 was the next most common with 5/29. No one guessed 3, but other than that 2-9 were all guessed.

The widest variation is on pass attempts (3), where the average guess was 51.24. The range spans from 36 to 60, but the majority are between 48 and 57. Tied for the most common with 3 guesses each are 48, 50, 53 and 57.
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- TKS -
The Witness

I'll build my house on level 5 for this year. Last week I hedged my two fantasy championships with my over/unders and it worked! I won both! Good enough for me.

Just for fun I'm posting picks for levels 6 and 8.

Level 5
NEW ENGLAND (-13.5) vs NY Jets [44.5] - OVER
SEATTLE (-13.5) vs Arizona [38.5] - OVER

Bonus: Thanks Dp!

Level 6
Chicago Bears (-1.5)

Level 8
NY Jets (+19.5)
Houston Texans (-0.5)
Cleveland Browns (+12.5)
Cincinnati Bengals (+20.5)
Chicago Bears (+10.5)
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- TKS -
The Witness

time to pick the weird week with a playoff spot on the line...

Buffalo Bills - can I get an AFC East game right?
Green Bay Packers
New England Patriots
New Orleans Saints
New York Giants
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Houston Texans
Los Angeles Chargers
Kansas City Chiefs
Los Angeles Rams
Minnesota Vikings
Pittsburgh Steelers
Seattle Seahawks
Philadelphia Eagles
Baltimore Ravens
Indianapolis Colts - Mariota ;-;

TIEBREAKERS:
1) 13
2) 7
3) 58
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- TKS -
The Witness

aw man. hate to see that for Juju. love that kid.
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- TKS -
The Witness

Level 5
INDIANAPOLIS (-9.5) vs NY Giants [46.5] - OVER
Kansas City (-2.5) at SEATTLE [53.5] - UNDER

Bonus - 6
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- TKS -
The Witness

Cleveland Browns
Dallas Cowboys
Minnesota Vikings
Indianapolis Colts
Miami Dolphins
New England Patriots
Green Bay Packers
Houston Texans
Carolina Panthers
Los Angeles Rams
Chicago Bears
New Orleans Saints
Kansas City Chiefs
Denver Broncos
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- TKS -
The Witness

Tennessee Titans
LA Chargers
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- TKS -
The Witness

Nah Colts gonna lose to the Titans week 17
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- TKS -
The Witness

Josh Gordon getting 2 targets is an absolute joke. He was single-covered basically the entire game.

Why would you send him on nothing but go routes when Edelman and Gronk are getting all of the defense's attention?? The dude is 6'4" 230, he will box out the corner every time on a comeback route. That is some straight up terrible playcalling, and it's on Brady too for never looking at him.
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- TKS -
The Witness

Level 5
MINNESOTA (-6.5) vs Miami [44.5] - UNDER
New England (-1.5) at PITTSBURGH [52.5] - OVER

Bonus: 12
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- TKS -
The Witness

Chiefs
Texans
Broncos

Atlanta Falcons
Buffalo Bills
Chicago Bears
Cincinnati Bengals
Indianapolis Colts
Minnesota Vikings
Tennessee Titans
Jacksonville Jaguars
Baltimore Ravens
Seattle Seahawks
New England Patriots
Los Angeles Rams
New Orleans Saints
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- TKS -
The Witness

Enjoying spirit world immensely. I don't remember my fight for The Boss, but pretty sure I did it legitimately and in only a few tries. I didn't do it when I first found it, though -- iirc you can just leave it until later when you have a more powerful party.

So far the hardest fights for me have been the 9-Volt fight, and a fight for a spirit I don't remember where Yoshi, Duck Hunt and Lucario all had beam swords, where I was just being really stubborn on using a weak party because I felt like I should be able to do it.
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- TKS -
The Witness

it's still going
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- TKS -
The Witness

Ulti_PCA posted...

Clock wasn't running with 6 seconds left. Play clock was and the Chargers weren't set. They were out of sorts and Rivers admitted it after the game. "Like wow they called time out to let us regroup."

wow. terrible.

Houston Texans
Denver Broncos
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- TKS -
The Witness

To be fair, he also got ****ed over by an OPI called a DPI, and then a not-a-catch being called a touchdown.

But also I missed what you're talking about. Play-by-play says he called the timeout after the DPI in which case the clock was stopped anyway. So.....?

In any case, getting real tired of losing picks on the last play of the game.
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- TKS -
The Witness

KC Chiefs
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- TKS -
The Witness

wow, kudos to Vegas and/or Dp for perfectly setting the number on the LAC/CIN game, and non-kudos to SpikeDragon and I for picking the wrong side of it.
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- TKS -
The Witness

**** the Afc East. Pats and Bills should have had easy victories.
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- TKS -
The Witness

Level 5
LA CHARGERS (-14.5) vs Cincinnati [47.5] - OVER
DALLAS (-3.5) vs Philadelphia [43.5] - OVER

Bonus: Aaron Jones
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- TKS -
The Witness

Buffalo Bills
Cleveland Browns
Green Bay Packers
Kansas City Chiefs
New England Patriots
New Orleans Saints
New York Giants
Houston Texans
Los Angeles Chargers
Denver Broncos
Dallas Cowboys
Pittsburgh Steelers
Arizona Cardinals
Los Angeles Rams
Seattle Seahawks
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- TKS -
The Witness

Tennessee Titans
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- TKS -
The Witness

Dammnnn the Bills. That close to picking up an upset game
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- TKS -
The Witness

New Orleans Saints

Atlanta Falcons
Denver Broncos
Los Angeles Rams
Green Bay Packers
Buffalo Bills
Chicago Bears
Carolina Panthers
Indianapolis Colts
Houston Texans
Tennessee Titans
Kansas City Chiefs
New England Patriots
Seattle Seahawks
Pittsburgh Steelers
Philadelphia Eagles
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- TKS -
The Witness

gg and congrats Martin

all the same, the ladder is really a contest against yourself.

idk wtf to do here... let's try a different strategy

Level 5
MIAMI (-4.5) vs Buffalo [40.5] - UNDER
TENNESSEE (-7.5) vs NY Jets [40.5] - UNDER

Bonus: 8
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- TKS -
The Witness

New Orleans Saints
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- TKS -
The Witness

oof I wanted to pick the Browns real bad but I got scared that it would echo the Titans Colts game last week. Road team traveling to a team that has a historic advantage in the series, first of two games on the season, so maybe they lose the road game but win the home game later... Mayfield is taking them apart though
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- TKS -
The Witness

Chicago Bears
Dallas Cowboys
New Orleans Saints

Jacksonville Jaguars
Cincinnati Bengals
New England Patriots
Philadelphia Eagles
San Francisco 49ers
Carolina Panthers
Baltimore Ravens
Los Angeles Chargers
Pittsburgh Steelers
Indianapolis Colts
Minnesota Vikings
Houston Texans
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- TKS -
The Witness

Dallas Cowboys
New Orleans Saints

sneaky feeling Colt McCoy could win this for the 'skins, especially if they bottle up Zeke like they did the first time they played... can't bring myself to do it though
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- TKS -
The Witness

Chicago Bears

more to come
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- TKS -
The Witness

Let's make turkey day a little more interesting...

Level 5:
Was/Dal OVER
Atl/NO OVER

Bonus: 10

great bonus question btw
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- TKS -
The Witness

What a game. I wanted that Chiefs win as a 50/50 game win but it was thoroughly entertaining so I can't complain.
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- TKS -
The Witness

Yeah idk just thought Matt Ryan and Julio could pull it out at home. It was a 50/50 game though so I am surprised at how few were on the 'boys.

Emerald I'll save you some time... only 2 people picked the Broncos. There's your upset.
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- TKS -
The Witness

and yet they somehow pulled it out... wtf

I came insanely close to going 1-6 in the early window
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- TKS -
The Witness

Well I was right to be nervous about the Steelers.
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- TKS -
The Witness

Seattle Seahawks
Atlanta Falcons
Carolina Panthers
Tennessee Titans
New York Giants
Houston Texans
Pittsburgh Steelers
Baltimore Ravens - this game is impossible to predict. Is Lamar Jackson NFL-good???
Arizona Cardinals
Los Angeles Chargers
New Orleans Saints
Chicago Bears
Kansas City Chiefs

5 or 6 real hard games this week. Almost no one near the top is on the Jags, pretty nervous about that pick with Bouye returning
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- TKS -
The Witness

I love engaging with people who have a different state of mind than me. Forgive me, I'm going to be going back in the topic. Let's start with this.

Vlado, you ask so much for evidence and statistics. But then you say something like:

Vlado posted...

foolm0r0n posted...

Powerful people promise things to weak people all the time to gain control.

This is possible. But when faced with the choice to vote for someone promising good things, or someone promising bad things, you vote for the former.

Why not use your same yearning for evidence to look past the promises altogether? Instead, try to gain insight into the character and values of the people in question. It may still end up being a choice between the lesser of two evils, but at least you'll be slightly less susceptible to deception.

I have some more fundamental questions as well. This is my first time reading a topic of yours, and I would like to hear, in brief, why you think globalism is bad. I think I know the answer, but I'd like to hear from you directly. Well, you did already say that countries are what "God originally intended", but besides that. Is it that you are concerned that globalism will lead to a dystopian future in which individuality is stamped out? Is it that you fear globalism will lead to too much concentrated power and too many one-size-fits-all solutions?

It seems like you mostly conceive of the 1% as big tech companies - google, facebook, amazon, etc. I'm curious, what about the agendas of big oil or big pharma? What about large ISPs, who for instance oppose net neutrality? Are they included in the 1%?
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- TKS -
The Witness

holy s*** this topic is amazing. incredible insight into human nature. a psychologist's dream.
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- TKS -
The Witness

Martin running away with it. Gotta advance basically every week to catch him now.

I wish I was on Level 5 just so I could take the over in Chiefs / Rams! Guess I'll have to settle for 30+.

Level 4:
LA Rams 30+

Bonus: New Orleans. Eagles have no DBs
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- TKS -
The Witness

Meow1000 posted...

thekitchensink posted...

hmm I guess Aaron Rodgers is immune to Thursday-road-qb-itis

Then comes Rodgers missing an easy first down throw on his last play of the game in a game Green Bay had basically the entire time.

"Oh"

haha I just came here to say basically this. The Thursday-itis snuck up on him for just one critical drive at the very end. Man he was throwing dimes downfield before that though.
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- TKS -
The Witness

hmm I guess Aaron Rodgers is immune to Thursday-road-qb-itis
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- TKS -
The Witness

Man, helped my friend move in last weekend and rushed my picks on Sunday morning. It showed. Good thing I bought myself some room with a great run of picks before that.

Seattle Seahawks
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- TKS -
The Witness

Pittsburgh Steelers
Chicago Bears
New Orleans Saints
Atlanta Falcons
New England Patriots
Jacksonville Jaguars
Kansas City Chiefs
New York Jets
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Los Angeles Chargers
Green Bay Packers
Los Angeles Rams
Philadelphia Eagles
San Francisco 49ers
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- TKS -
The Witness