Lurker > Sunhawk

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TopicHow do you feel about your brother(s) and sister(s)?
Sunhawk
12/18/19 2:00:01 PM
#1
Of course, you might be...an only child!

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TopicDanger. Star Wars spoilers are out.
Sunhawk
12/18/19 1:57:48 PM
#2
Get off...the internet?

Come again?

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TopicWhat level of facial growth do you like?
Sunhawk
12/18/19 1:56:52 PM
#1
Few days' worth of stubble? Light beard? Thick, long beard? Clean-shaven?

For me, basically a light beard. I think a few weeks' growth is just right, then, shortly afterwards, I trim it way down.

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TopicSimpsons should have ended 20 years ago, let's be real
Sunhawk
12/18/19 1:55:26 PM
#8
Up to season 10 is superb; seasons 11 - 16 vary quite a lot, but are generally very good; season 17 onwards seems to mostly suck (from what I've seen).

Season 16 would've been the best stopping point.


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Topiclet's see if CE can guess the sex of my baby
Sunhawk
12/18/19 11:26:55 AM
#2
Wtf kind of stupid flopix is this?

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TopicReligious people, what do you actually pray to God about?
Sunhawk
12/18/19 11:22:18 AM
#6
MedeaLysistrata posted...
because it's not leibnizian intutitive, or eidetic

What? I don't even know what you're talking about. What ARE you on about?

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TopicHow much money do you think Richard o'Brien (Rocky Horror, Crystal Maze) has?
Sunhawk
12/18/19 11:18:33 AM
#1
In theory, he should have millions and millions now. I mean, seriously. Rocky Horror has been running continously in cinemas for over 40 years, now. Richard o'Brien should be a rich, rich man.

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TopicHave you failed or succeeded at life?
Sunhawk
12/18/19 11:16:40 AM
#3
That doesn't prevent you from answering. Does it.

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TopicHave you failed or succeeded at life?
Sunhawk
12/18/19 11:13:57 AM
#1
Feel free to post comments, of course.





What is the cut-off point, anyway? How old are you before it's safe to say, one way or the other? 30? 40? 15?


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TopicReligious people, what do you actually pray to God about?
Sunhawk
12/18/19 11:01:52 AM
#4
MedeaLysistrata posted...
know you don't want my answer

Why not?

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TopicReligious people, what do you actually pray to God about?
Sunhawk
12/18/19 10:54:38 AM
#1
What are the things that religious people, e.g. Christians, are "meant" to pray for?

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TopicStatistics are REALLY confusing.
Sunhawk
12/18/19 9:41:16 AM
#25
@vigorm0rtis

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TopicStatistics are REALLY confusing.
Sunhawk
12/18/19 9:38:19 AM
#24
Hey @DevsBro , are you a mathematician, or in a career that requires an education in higher mathematics?

Let's say someone did a task 3 times, and the chances of succeeding each time are 25%. What are the chances of succeeding at least once?

You don't (neccesarily) need to show how you got to the answer, I'm just...curious.


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TopicIf someone does a task twice, with a 1 in 3 chance of succeeding, what are the
Sunhawk
12/18/19 9:31:02 AM
#1
chances of succeeding at least once?

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TopicStatistics are REALLY confusing.
Sunhawk
12/18/19 9:28:49 AM
#22
@DevsBro

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TopicStatistics are REALLY confusing.
Sunhawk
12/18/19 9:25:05 AM
#21
I see. But how did you arrive at that sum? Where did the 1/9 come from?

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TopicStatistics are REALLY confusing.
Sunhawk
12/18/19 9:19:28 AM
#18
If you do something twice, and the chances each time of succeeding are 1 in 3, what are the chances you'll succeed at least once?

@DevsBro
@Ranting_Nord

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TopicStatistics are REALLY confusing.
Sunhawk
12/18/19 9:15:26 AM
#16
EndOfDiscOne posted...
If you flip a coin 10 times and get heads every time, there's like a 99% chance your next flip will be tails

Stop messing with us.

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TopicStatistics are REALLY confusing.
Sunhawk
12/18/19 9:05:29 AM
#13
*each time, not each day

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TopicStatistics are REALLY confusing.
Sunhawk
12/18/19 9:05:13 AM
#12
Very interesting.

Here's something that confuses me, however. If you do a task twice, and there's a 1 in 3 chance of succeeding each day, according to the calculator I just fed numbers into, the chances if succeeding at all is 0.91. Is this right? Did I do something wrong? Also, if it's right, how can it be as high as 0.91? Wouldn't it be roughly 0.6?

@Ranting_Nord
@MedeaLysistrata
@vigorm0rtis

Remember when CE talked for years about whether or not 0.9 recurring equaled 1?


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TopicStatistics are REALLY confusing.
Sunhawk
12/18/19 8:53:24 AM
#10
Would it diminish by a third or two thirds? You answer was, uh, confusing.

You know, I used to be amazing at maths, growing up. Guess I've forgotten quite a few things.

@Ranting_Nord


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TopicStatistics are REALLY confusing.
Sunhawk
12/18/19 8:50:15 AM
#8
@Ranting_Nord


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TopicAre there any users you're OBSESSED with?
Sunhawk
12/18/19 8:49:46 AM
#2
Sunhawk. I find myself thinking about him all the time.

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TopicStatistics are REALLY confusing.
Sunhawk
12/18/19 8:47:43 AM
#7
Ranting Nord posted...
Yes, you're right, but the value keeps halving because you picked 0.5 to begin with. It's the probability that at least one out of 3 will be heads.

1-(0.5)*(0.5)*(0.5) = 0.875

Let's say the chances of success, in the problem described in the OP was 30%. Would it keep diminishing by a third, or two thirds, or what?

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TopicStatistics are REALLY confusing.
Sunhawk
12/18/19 8:46:50 AM
#6
Also, explain to me the Monty Hall Problem. It's so confusing that...wtf.

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TopicStatistics are REALLY confusing.
Sunhawk
12/18/19 8:37:53 AM
#3
Does my OP make sense?

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TopicStatistics are REALLY confusing.
Sunhawk
12/18/19 8:29:23 AM
#1
Explain this to me.

Okay. Let's say someone keeps attempting some activity, and each time, there's a 50% chance of success. So, after 1 attempt, there's a 50% chance of succeeding, after the 2 attempts, overall, there's a 75% chance the person has succeeded, and after 3 attempts, there's a 87.5% chance of success. Is this right?

Basically, when you add chances of success together, in any scenario, does the "value" keep halving? I don't know how to explain this any better. Seems kinda strange.

Statistics in general are very confusing, and also counter-intuitive.

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TopicThe Foundation Trilogy are some of the best books ever. Good old Asimov.
Sunhawk
12/17/19 3:40:47 PM
#2
Bump.

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TopicThe Foundation Trilogy are some of the best books ever. Good old Asimov.
Sunhawk
12/17/19 3:36:31 PM
#1
I've read those books 10+ times, and still enjoy them. How many books can you say that about?

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TopicAre you 18 or 19 or even 20 and addicted to tobacco products?
Sunhawk
12/17/19 3:33:37 PM
#2
Posting in a Saxon topic.

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TopicLouis Theroux talking to the Westboro Baptist Church about the Koran.
Sunhawk
12/17/19 2:27:26 PM
#1
WARNING: offensive on a number of levels.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=39j-vUDBJE4

I don't know what the WBC's problem is.

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TopicWhy can't Americans cope with Europe?
Sunhawk
12/17/19 1:54:23 PM
#1
When they're travelling around Europe, when they're discussed European art, when they talk about European culture and politics.

Why?

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TopicA boomer asked me if I was okay with my undone shoelaces today.
Sunhawk
12/17/19 1:46:55 PM
#11
They come undone sometimes. This was a female boomer, for the record.

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TopicA boomer asked me if I was okay with my undone shoelaces today.
Sunhawk
12/17/19 1:38:37 PM
#1
Wtf.

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TopicAn unprecedented number of British politicians are getting threats/death threats
Sunhawk
12/17/19 11:37:29 AM
#1
A bunch had to stand down earlier this year, because they were so scared. Threats against them, threats against their children, etc.

What do you think of this?

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TopicDid people listen to anything other than ABBA and Beatles in the 60s and 70s?
Sunhawk
12/17/19 11:28:35 AM
#10
dolomedes posted...
you're like fucking 50, dude, please don't refer to women as 'girls'

also, you mean yer mother? staying in her fuckin' spare bedroom your whole life

Wtf.

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TopicI think I might go back to buying video games in stores, rather than from Amazon
Sunhawk
12/17/19 11:02:34 AM
#8
Antifar posted...
Is digital not an option?

Sure, but in 90% of cases (so to speak) I get physical. I want to see it on my shelf.


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TopicI think I might go back to buying video games in stores, rather than from Amazon
Sunhawk
12/17/19 11:01:46 AM
#6
I think it was obvious what I meant - don't "ask", demand!

Get your shit together, spanky.

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TopicI think I might go back to buying video games in stores, rather than from Amazon
Sunhawk
12/17/19 10:59:46 AM
#3
"Ask"?

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TopicI think I might go back to buying video games in stores, rather than from Amazon
Sunhawk
12/17/19 10:58:23 AM
#1
Back a little while ago, maybe 2018, I decided to buy games off Amazon instead. This was largely due to making sure they arrived on Day 1, because occasionally the local chain store only had a few copies, which were already pre-ordered. But getting games off Amazon is bullshit. Sometimes, I get up in the morning, all pumped up to play a great new game (well, hopefully great), and wait until 4pm for it to arrive. I know this is first world problems, blah blah blah, but...video games matter!

Thoughts on all this? Which route do you go, these days? Amazon? Shops? Digital?

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TopicDid people listen to anything other than ABBA and Beatles in the 60s and 70s?
Sunhawk
12/17/19 10:36:21 AM
#7
dolomedes posted...
this

i can't believe he still makes me mad, like, 16 years on.

As girls will tell you, I have staying power.


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TopicIf you've had an STD, did you ever go to a doctor about it? Was it humiliating?
Sunhawk
12/17/19 10:12:29 AM
#3
The current government in the UK doesn't take care of ANYONE.

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TopicDid people listen to anything other than ABBA and Beatles in the 60s and 70s?
Sunhawk
12/17/19 10:11:31 AM
#1
It sometimes seems like those are the only musical acts anyone gave a fuck about.

Sometimes.

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TopicIf you've had an STD, did you ever go to a doctor about it? Was it humiliating?
Sunhawk
12/17/19 10:10:04 AM
#1
Or is it...you know...worth it?

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TopicDo you considered the South and the Deep South to be different?
Sunhawk
12/16/19 3:40:14 PM
#1
If so, how would you describe them? What states? What are the cultural differences?

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TopicOnly a week and a half until Christmas.
Sunhawk
12/16/19 3:08:18 PM
#3
But the Christmas period is way better than Christmas Day by itself? The best part if the final week of the year, just relaxing with presents, and not doing much.

For me, Christmas is Nov 5th to Dec 31st. Not quite sure, but that's how I feel.


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TopicWhich musical acts do you think most defined the mid-1990s?
Sunhawk
12/16/19 11:44:46 AM
#5
Nirvana were very important. I suppose Spice Girls were important, too...lulz.

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TopicWhich musical acts do you think most defined the mid-1990s?
Sunhawk
12/16/19 11:36:24 AM
#1
A long time ago, I know.

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TopicReagan appears to have been a very bad president.
Sunhawk
12/10/19 10:05:27 AM
#1
Lazy; incoherent policy; obsessed with appointing people, usually friends, from the private sector to government; increased national debt; most jobs created were low-paying; helped the rich get richer, and the poor get poorer; dis-engaged; pretty old when he become president.

And yet, he was often very popular, and served two terms. Please explain to me how the American public made this possible. Hard mode: you can't call the American public stupid.


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TopicI've taken over 70 pages of handwritten notes for a novel.
Sunhawk
12/10/19 7:09:06 AM
#1
Wtf.

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