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TopicI genuinely don't think this shooting will help Trump in November
legendary_zell
07/14/24 12:25:19 AM
#36:


Diceheist posted...
Crisis boosts turnout. Like during the 2008 recession.

This is very unlikely to be a high turnout election. Public interest in 2024 polls below that of for Hillary vs. Trump in 2016.

That could also be good for Biden. People who pay attention and vote are much more likely to vote Biden. Biden is only likely to lose through a combination of low turnout Dem turnout and "throw the bums out" from an unusually high number of new voters.

https://www.cnn.com/2024/05/29/politics/turnout-2024-election-analysis/index.html

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