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TopicLet's discuss the bracket, match by match
Evillordexdeath
10/04/18 8:33:11 AM
#44:


Any comments on Tidus/DK and Zidane/Knuckles would be appreciated.

Battle 11 (5) Noctis Lucis Caelum vs (12) Master Hand

It's hard not to see this match and remember Master Hand's bout with Kuja. It's tempting to pick the hand just on the basis of that memory. He was a weak character back then - he went on to lose rather soundly to Robotnik.

This match is all about guessing how strong Noctis will turn out to be. I think he'll be weak - maybe even weaker than Lightning. It's hard to say if that would make him weak enough to lose this match. Master Hand might be stronger now or he might be weaker - I can't think of a good reason for either assumption. He's been in every smash game but his appearances are never all that exciting.

I think I'd take Lightning over Kuja, at any rate. I'd like to hear other people's guesses about Noctis' strength. For now, I think I'll lean toward him, because I think there should be enough space between Lightning and Master Hand to begin with. Noctis wins with 52%.

Battle 12: (4) Monika vs. (13) Wario

When this board discussed possible contest-winning rallies before the release of the bracket, Monika was one of the first names that came up. She has been given a nice winnable match against Wario, who has a history as one of the lowest rungs on the Nintendo ladder. It makes sense to compare her game to Undertale - at least out of all the huge rallies we've seen so far.

I don't think it will be Monika, and here's the main reason:

Undertale's release date: September 15, 2015
BGE 3's start date: November 5, 2015

Doki Doki Literature Club's release date: September 22, 2017
CBX's start date: October 19, 2018

Undertale was the latest big thing right in the middle of the contest - it had just been released a month and a half before. It was more of a hot topic then than it was a year later. I don't think that DDLR was ever as big a deal as Undertale to begin with, but people have had a full year to cool on the game - and to move onto something else. In my estimation, a small indie release won't be able to command a huge rally with that kind of distance.

I also think that Monika's natural strength will put her in the bottom five in terms of X-Stats. This site doesn't care about DDLR, and I don't really think that a "cute anime girl" people have never heard of will have the kind of appeal to make them vote for her. She definitely can't take Wario without a rally, so if you have her winning here, I suggest you also take her to win the contest.

Wario wins with 65%
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