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TopicKP's (In-Depth) 2018 Contest Analysis
KamikazePotato
10/11/18 10:59:56 PM
#23:


Division 2 Match 5
Yoshi vs. Shantae


https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/3788-jenova-division-round-1-yoshi-vs-jak

Quick question: who's a more popular character, Jak, or Shantae? If that took you more than 2 seconds to mentally answer, then your bracket is already dead. Shantae is a character who only got in due to being a Smash Ultimate character some people are trying to get in, and even then only because - as Zen put it - her entire popularity comes from porn. She could get the biggest rally possible for her character and still lose because there's no way the Smash fanbase sides with her against freaking Yoshi.

Result:
Yoshi - 85%
Shantae - 15%

Yoshi has a 100% chance of winning

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Division 2 Match 6
Velvet Crowe vs. James Sunderland


What a 'screw you' match to people who use stats and past results to predict matches. Both of these characters are going to be fodder incarnate and neither has ever been in a poll. No, wait, James has! Sort of!

https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/4482-which-of-these-rivalries-would-you-most-like-to-see-in-the

His rivalry barely ranked above Luke's. Maybe that implies he'll beat Velvet, who is another Tales character. How did Luke do again?

https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/3245-division-1-round-1-link-luke-shadow-zidane

Oh.

Okay so maybe Luke isn't the best stat to use. How about Pyramid Head?

https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/5203-character-battle-ix-division-7-round-1-dragonborn-vs-tom

That's...not terrible? I don't think Velvet comes close to Nook honestly, so if James is as strong as PH, he'll win. But he won't be. Not even close. PH is the face of the series and has an awesome monster design and he's still weak. James is a normal looking dude on the GameFAQs front page, and I cannot overstate how much of a death sentence that is. Silent Hill 2 has actually looked pretty good in the recent Games Contests, but I think that's more of a growing respect for the game than for James as a character specifically.

Velvet is an anime girl on the front page, and Berseria is a JRPG that had a strong reception. That's probably enough to win. Probably. Tales is historically weak but Lloyd and Yuri looked okay in 2013 so whatever.

Result:
Velvet - 55%
James - 45%

Velvet has a 65% chance of winning
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Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
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