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TopicKP's (In-Depth) 2018 Contest Analysis
KamikazePotato
10/11/18 11:32:14 PM
#31:


Division 3 Match 4
Big Boss vs. Ridley


https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/5232-character-battle-ix-division-3-round-2-luigi-vs-big-boss-vs
https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/5184-character-battle-ix-division-5-round-1-dancin-vs-zidane-vs

Will Ridley look bad in this, considering he might actually benefit a bit from Smash Ultimate hype? No. Does he have any chance of winning? Not even remotely. Big Boss is on another level and has been ever since he started getting Naked Snake pics.

I don't feel like making up a result percent for this, so...xstats! Do my work for me!

Big Boss (2013c) has a strength of 34.72 against Base Link.
Ridley (2013c) has a strength of 26.21 against Base Link.

Big Boss62.26%33,593
Ridley37.74%20,367

Big Boss has a 100% chance of winning

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Division 3 Match 5
Alucard vs. Princess Peach


https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/3731-hyrule-division-round-1-alucard-vs-magus
https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/5171-character-battle-ix-division-4-round-1-alucard-vs-falcon-vs

https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/3793-jenova-division-round-1-gordon-freeman-vs-princess-peach

Alucard has always been weirdly strong. He's more or less become the face of Castlevania on GameFAQs. SotN has this enduring popularity and his character design is really good, so he always does well. Peach...the only time we've ever gotten a good read on Peach is in her 2010 match against Gordon, where she did alright. She had a lot of 2006 Female Bracket matches but man are those unreliable. She also lost to Meta Knight in a 2007 4-way match, which is a bit of a bad look for her.

Simply put: I think Alucard would easily beat Gordon, so I don't see any reason why he won't beat Peach. The dude is just too consistent at putting up performances where you go "hey, not bad, Alucard." It won't be a crushing but I don't think Peach has the results or intangibles (very few people like Peach to any large degree) to make a strong case for her winning.

Result:
Alucard - 55%
Peach - 45%

Alucard has an 80% chance of winning

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Division 3 Match 6
Yuna vs. Godot


https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/5204-character-battle-ix-division-7-round-1-chief-vs-yuna-vs
https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/3694-cb8-vote-in-day-4-which-character-would-you-most-like-to-see

Take Edgeworth and make him way weaker. That's Godot.

Result:
Yuna - 70%
Godot - 30%

Yuna has a 100% chance of winning
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Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
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