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TopicLet's discuss the bracket, match by match
Evillordexdeath
10/13/18 8:38:53 PM
#114:


I think Riku's odds against Bayonetta are pretty good. Even after his bad match in 2013, he's projected to win with 60% against her - unfortunately, since Bayonetta hasn't been in any other contests, those are the only numbers we have.

Bayonetta made it into Smash and has seen the release of her second game since then. On Riku's end, KHIII is closer now. I wouldn't be too surprised if both characters boosted - though Bayonetta might attract some anti-votes from competitive Smash players because her design is really unhealthy for that game. That shouldn't be a big factor. Ultimately I think that Bayonetta is the type of semi-mainstream character who won't really do that well on this site - 2013 kind of makes it look that way - and she had a solid amount of ground to make up for before she reached Riku's level, so I would favor him. I also think that the results of Dedede, Pit, Lucas, Wario, Lucario, etc. show that being in Smash doesn't power characters up that much. I think it's related to the effect that I mentioned earlier with Chrono Trigger. Any given Smash 4 character is only one among like 50, so a lot of people who played the games won't have spent much time with them. Bayonetta was a DLC character in 4, on top of that, which reduces the number of people who were exposed to her through it even further.

One thing I failed to mention with respect to Riku: He and Ryu H. had two direct matchups in 2007. Ryu H won handily the first time around, because Roxas was in the poll as well - he actually surpassed the KH boys' total. Then Riku won in round 2, with Snake and Nightmare added in. That's a really weird result, and it probably doesn't tell us much except that they're close to one another in strength. I guess that's why the potential rematch was set up.
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