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TopicLet's discuss the bracket, match by match
Evillordexdeath
10/14/18 6:10:05 PM
#123:


Division 7

Battle 109: (1) Luigi vs. (4) Nathan Drake


Another easy one. Luigi wins with 60%

Battle 110: (3) Tifa Lockhart vs. (2) Mega Man X


Mewtwo could potentially be here too. If he is, either Tifa has fallen off or Mewtwo is the real thing. Only in the latter case can he challenge X - it would be a tossup in that case.

And so is this match. X hasn't been around for long, but he's nearly as strong as the original. In 2008 he held pretty close to Mario - however, Zelda and Luigi were in the same polls, and he still lost. Once Link came into the picture, he finished in 4th, behind Zack Fair.

That certainly indicates that he has a lot of fanbase overlap with Nintendo, like the original Mega Man. And that's significant, because in 2010 he scored higher on Link than Luigi or Sonic did. Then, in 2013, he beat Ryu head-to-head, while Draven crushed them both. In the bonus poll, he finished behind Mario and Crono by enough to make me doubt that he competes with Mega Man proper.

Tifa has finished in or near the top ten in the X-stats for every contest in which she has appeared. She has put up impressive numbers on Samus and Sephiroth in the past, and she's even ranked as #7 in the adjusted 2013 X-stats - above Cloud.

My problem with this match is that both characters' pedigrees contain a lot of things I don't trust. I wouldn't want to read the outcome based on one character getting SFF'd into the ground slightly less badly by Link than a Nintendo character and a fellow 3rd party whose games are now mostly on Nintendo consoles. I wouldn't want to try and predict the results based on Tifa's obviously anomalous ancient match with Samus or the adjusted-to-pointlessness 2013 X-stats either.

This is yet another match that's all about predicting how things have changed in the past ten years. Will FFVII have continued to decline? Will the site's demographic shift reverse its fortunes somewhat? Will Mega Man 11's release help X, and how strong is he compared to the original in any case? I don't really know. I've had them both in my bracket at different times. I think FFVII will do well this year, so far now I'll say that Tifa wins with 50.5%

Division 8

Battle 111: (1) Sephiroth vs. (5) Amaterasu


Veni veni venias, ne me mori facias Sephiroth wins with 65%

Battle 112: (3) Ryu vs. (2) Aqua


No less simple than Sephiroth's match, really. KOS-MOS could very well be here instead, and Ryu wrecked her before. Ryu wins with 65%
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