Board 8 > NCAA Games II: Week 7 Results and Discussion Topic

Topic List
Page List: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5
LeonhartFour
06/23/11 7:19:00 PM
#1:


NCAA Games II week by week schedules (including past results):

https://spreadsheets.google.com/ccc?key=0AvxHjoIdpiozdEtadTB0dEhmX3JxZkZfdzdhTHF6WGc&hl=en#gid=0

NCAA Games II Conference Breakdowns (including a quicker, faster look at individual games' opponents, wins, and losses):

https://spreadsheets.google.com/ccc?key=0AvxHjoIdpiozdDhfenhraVlvNlk3VkUzb0tFalMtYUE&hl=en#gid=0

This week's top 25:

1. Chrono Trigger (1)
2. Super Mario 64 (3)
3. Pokemon Red/Blue/Yellow (2)
4. The Legend of Zelda: Ocarina of Time (4)
5. The Legend of Zelda: A Link to the Past (5)
6. Metal Gear Solid 3: Snake Eater (6)
7. Super Mario Bros. 3 (7)
8. Super Mario World (8)
9. Resident Evil 4 (9)
10. Super Metroid (11)
11. Super Smash Bros. Brawl (10)
12. Super Mario Galaxy 2 (14)
13. Super Smash Bros. Melee (12)
14. Paper Mario (16)
15. Phoenix Wright: Ace Attorney: Trials & Tribulations (13)
16. Final Fantasy X (19)
17. The Legend of Zelda: Majora's Mask (18)
18. Phoenix Wright: Ace Attorney (20)
19. Metal Gear Solid (23)
20. Super Mario Galaxy (NR)
21. Super Mario World 2: Yoshi's Island (NR)
22. Metroid Prime (25)
23. Tales of Symphonia (21)
24. Final Fantasy VII (22)
25. Final Fantasy IX (17)

Dropped out: Portal (15), Fire Emblem 7 (24)

Also receiving votes:

44 - Mega Man 2
39 - The Legend of Zelda: Twilight Princess
38 - Portal
30 - The Legend of Zelda: The Wind Waker
26 - Assassin's Creed II
18 - Donkey Kong Country 2: Diddy's Kong Quest
18 - Fire Emblem: Path of Radiance
8 - Super Mario RPG: Legend of the Seven Stars
7 - Castlevania: Symphony of the Night
7 - Star Fox 64
6 - Final Fantasy VI
3 - SoulCalibur II
2 - Pokemon Gold/Silver/Crystal
1 - Fire Emblem 7
1 - XD MVP Baseball 2005

Just in case you didn't think we had ENOUGH Mario games in the top 25, here's two more!

Mega Man 2 missed the top 25 by 4 points, for the record.

New matches in a bit.

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th3l3fty
06/23/11 7:21:00 PM
#2:


huh... I'm kinda surprised ToS managed to hold onto a spot!

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Evillordexdeath
06/23/11 7:23:00 PM
#3:


I thought its holding up fairly well against Super Mario 64 validated its position.
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th3l3fty
06/23/11 7:27:00 PM
#4:


I'm not saying it didn't deserve a spot - I voted for it myself!

it's just that stuff usually drops pretty hard when it loses, and doing it against a strong game hasn't stopped that in the past

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paulg235
06/23/11 7:29:00 PM
#5:


Portal should've stayed on. Deserved it way more than TOS.

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LeonhartFour
06/23/11 7:30:00 PM
#6:


From: th3l3fty | #004
it's just that stuff usually drops pretty hard when it loses, and doing it against a strong game hasn't stopped that in the past


Or this week!

R.I.P. Portal

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Evillordexdeath
06/23/11 7:31:00 PM
#7:


We'll see about it by the end of next week- those two will be facing each other!

A good match to determine just how strong Symphonia really is, in my opinion.
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th3l3fty
06/23/11 7:31:00 PM
#8:


MGS is only ranked 19th; totally different situation there!

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LeonhartFour
06/23/11 7:31:00 PM
#9:


From: Evillordexdeath | #006
We'll see about it by the end of this week- those two will be facing each other!

A good match to determine just how strong Symphonia really is, in my opinion.


That's not until next week, actually!

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LeonhartFour
06/23/11 7:32:00 PM
#10:


From: th3l3fty | #008
MGS is only ranked 19th; totally different situation there!


Perhaps. It's still a drop of over 10 spots.

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YoboD
06/23/11 7:42:00 PM
#11:


You can never have enough Mario games.

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th3l3fty
06/23/11 7:42:00 PM
#12:


Portal never deserved its high ranking anyway!

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transients
06/23/11 8:20:00 PM
#13:


I want to see this contest without any Nintendo games. just out of curiosity.

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LeonhartFour
06/23/11 8:20:00 PM
#14:


From: transients | #013
I want to see this contest without any Nintendo games. just out of curiosity.


That would be a good way to cut our votership in half!

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AdmiralZephyr
06/23/11 8:21:00 PM
#15:


I'm really surprised Twilight Princess still hasn't gotten on. It beat Wind Waker, which beat Majora's Mask, which is still pretty solidly ranked.

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transients
06/23/11 8:21:00 PM
#16:


we wouldn't be missing anything if all they played was Nintendo games!

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LeonhartFour
06/23/11 8:22:00 PM
#17:


Yeah, but 20-25 votes per match is pretty depressing to look at!

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Janus5000
06/23/11 8:33:00 PM
#18:


I'm really surprised Twilight Princess still hasn't gotten on. It beat Wind Waker

It beat Link's Awakening, not Wind Waker.

TP has looked decently strong, but until it beats someone better I don't see it breaking the top 25 any time soon.

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LeonhartFour
06/23/11 8:35:00 PM
#19:


Well, it got awfully close this week. Probably a loss or two from some of the lower top 25 games could do it.

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LeonhartFour
06/23/11 9:06:00 PM
#20:


And we're guaranteed at least one of them will lose since Majora's Mask faces Yoshi's Island this week!

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charmander6000
06/23/11 9:16:00 PM
#21:


Removing the Nintendo games pretty much gives Chrono Trigger a free win, at least now we're not sure which game would win the contest.

Then again I'd say Chrono Trigger may be the favourite to win a contest right now as it's both loved and something people could rally around to stop Nintendo.

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TsunamiXXVIII
06/23/11 9:24:00 PM
#22:


Hmm...I see we're still refusing to allow top 25 games to be tied. This is the first time that my counts actually added up perfectly and all of the "also receiving votes" were exactly as I counted them, so tell me...exactly what was the point difference between Paper Mario and PW:AA:T&T?

Actually, I've never understood why you don't print the totals for the top 25, period. Not very NCAA-like if you ask me.

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LeonhartFour
06/23/11 9:28:00 PM
#23:


Paper Mario and T&T did tie. I can post the overall totals if you like. I just feel like it'd clutter the opening post and it's pretty cluttered as it is.

But here you go:

438 - Chrono Trigger
425 - Super Mario 64
417 - Pokemon Red/Blue/Yellow
372 - The Legend of Zelda: Ocarina of Time
367 - The Legend of Zelda: A Link to the Past
324 - Metal Gear Solid 3: Snake Eater
320 - Super Mario Bros. 3
306 - Super Mario World
305 - Resident Evil 4
271 - Super Metroid
251 - Super Smash Bros. Brawl
229 - Super Mario Galaxy 2
221 - Super Smash Bros. Melee
215 - Paper Mario
215 - Phoenix Wright: Ace Attorney: Trials & Tribulations
160 - Final Fantasy X
143 - The Legend of Zelda: Majora's Mask
133 - Phoenix Wright: Ace Attorney
128 - Metal Gear Solid
78 - Super Mario Galaxy
64 - Super Mario World 2: Yoshi's Island
63 - Metroid Prime
58 - Tales of Symphonia
51 - Final Fantasy VII
48 - Final Fantasy IX

CT and Mario 64 were never voted lower than 4th on any ballot, only once for CT and twice for Mario 64.

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th3l3fty
06/23/11 9:40:00 PM
#24:


what exactly do you use to break ties

standard deviation? >_>

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transience
06/23/11 9:43:00 PM
#25:


so basically, it's

438 - Chrono Trigger
425 - Super Mario 64
417 - Pokemon Red/Blue/Yellow

372 - The Legend of Zelda: Ocarina of Time
367 - The Legend of Zelda: A Link to the Past

324 - Metal Gear Solid 3: Snake Eater
320 - Super Mario Bros. 3

306 - Super Mario World
305 - Resident Evil 4

271 - Super Metroid
251 - Super Smash Bros. Brawl

229 - Super Mario Galaxy 2
221 - Super Smash Bros. Melee
215 - Paper Mario
215 - Phoenix Wright: Ace Attorney: Trials & Tribulations

160 - Final Fantasy X
143 - The Legend of Zelda: Majora's Mask
133 - Phoenix Wright: Ace Attorney
128 - Metal Gear Solid

78 - Super Mario Galaxy
64 - Super Mario World 2: Yoshi's Island
63 - Metroid Prime
58 - Tales of Symphonia
51 - Final Fantasy VII
48 - Final Fantasy IX

that's kinda interesting.

I always thought it was weird that MGS3 was getting rated so far ahead of RE4. those two games seem equal to me. it's probably just one point on everyone's ballot but when Mario 3/World are between them it looks wrong.

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charmander6000
06/23/11 9:43:00 PM
#26:


Alphabetical?

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LeonhartFour
06/23/11 9:49:00 PM
#27:


I just go with alphabetical order, basically, yeah.

I mean, the difference is purely aesthetics anyway. Not a big difference between two "#14t" spots and a #14 and a #15. Not like it damages their RPI ranking or anything.

From: transience | #025
I always thought it was weird that MGS3 was getting rated so far ahead of RE4. those two games seem equal to me. it's probably just one point on everyone's ballot but when Mario 3/World are between them it looks wrong.


MGS3's average ranking this week was 8th (exactly 8th, actually) and RE4's was almost 9th, so yeah, very little difference on the ballots. But that one point adds up with 15-20 voters.

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charmander6000
06/23/11 10:04:00 PM
#28:


I was looking at the division, Dynasty Warriors 4, Mana Khemia, MVP Baseball 2005 and Umineko no Naku Koro ni are all in the same division and one of them are going to get at least three wins when this is all over.

Speaking of winless/lossless 17 games each still maintain that standard.

The never lose club
Assassin's Creed II
Chrono Trigger
Fire Emblem: Path of Radiance
Mega Man 2
Metal Gear Solid 3
Paper Mario
Phoenix Wright: T&T
Pokemon RBY
Resident Evil 4
Super Mario 64
Super Mario Galaxy 2
Super Mario World 2: Yoshi's Island
Super Metroid
Super Smash Bros. Brawl
The Legend of Zelda: Link to the Past
The Legend of Zelda: Ocarina of Time
The Legend of Zelda: Twilight Princess

The never win club
Ace Combat 5
Dynasty Warriors 4
Gears of War
Gears of War 2
Gitaroo Man
Grand Theft Auto IV
Guitar Hero II
Mana Khemia
Marvel Ultimate Alliance
Mega Man 9
MVP Baseball 2005
Nier
Street Fighter Alpha 3
Super Puzzle Fighter II Turbo
Umineko no Naku Koro ni
Wild ARMs
World of Warcraft

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LeonhartFour
06/23/11 10:08:00 PM
#29:


Most of those should stay intact this week. Yoshi's Island is probably the only undefeated game with a serious chance of losing this week. Maybe AC2 against Diablo 2, it losing that match wouldn't surprise me. I'll be interested to see what Galaxy 2 does against FFVI this week. I expect it to win, but I wonder how close it will be.

Ace Combat 5 and Puzzle Fighter face each other this week, so one of them will get a win! Most of the others don't have a great chance of winning.

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charmander6000
06/23/11 10:10:00 PM
#30:


Also Assassin's Creed II, Fire Emblem: Path of Radiance, Mega Man 2 and The Legend of Zelda: Twilight Princess are not ranked in the top 25.

While they are among the weakest games to have never lose yet you kind of have to consider them eventually, especially if they continue their streak to double digits.

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LinkMarioSamus
06/23/11 10:10:00 PM
#31:


Oh wow Half-Life 2 is currently losing to Kingdom Hearts II despite tripling a game that defeated KH2 earlier in this contest.

Wowzers.

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LeonhartFour
06/23/11 10:12:00 PM
#32:


Well, Mega Man 2 and Twilight Princess were on the brink. 20-25 is pretty volatile and shifts for no apparent reason from week to week, so they could get on just by random variation. AC2 or Path of Radiance will need to win a big match before they even get serious consideration.

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charmander6000
06/23/11 10:19:00 PM
#33:


That's true, but seeing a 10-0 record would probably turn some heads no matter what games they've faced, or at least enough of them to get enough points to crack the top 25.

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Janus5000
06/23/11 10:55:00 PM
#34:


Well, ACII faces FFVIII in week 8. If it can win that convincingly, I might buy into it having strength and rank it.

That said, I don't expect it to win at all!

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th3l3fty
06/23/11 11:01:00 PM
#35:


I would not even consider ranking a 10-0 game if all its opponents were weak

well, unless it absolutely destroyed them all

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KCF0107
06/23/11 11:02:00 PM
#36:


Says the person who said in an earlier topic that he wasn't going to punish teams for their schedule

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transience
06/23/11 11:08:00 PM
#37:


AC2 beat Silent Hill 2 by one vote. that ain't gettin' ranked unless there's a damn good reason for it to get votes.

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th3l3fty
06/23/11 11:12:00 PM
#38:


if a game were 10-0 against weak opponents and struggled to beat them all, I wouldn't rank it

if it smashed them into oblivion, then yeah, it would deserve ranking, though it would be hard to tell exactly where it deserved to be

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red sox 777
06/23/11 11:22:00 PM
#39:


If a game faces only weak games, then I have to continue giving a lot of weight to my preseason estimation of that game's strength.

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LinkMarioSamus
06/24/11 8:50:00 AM
#40:


I'll say this in advance.

Lol Half-Life 2, again. What happened anyway? Did this board suddenly feel the need to anti-vote any shooter? Heck, it's not like RE4 has been doing all that well.

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charmander6000
06/24/11 9:09:00 AM
#41:


There's having a weak schedule and then there's still winning all of your matches.

If you're the 25th strongest game there's a 21% chance that you'll be perfect by week 10 and the percents keep dropping hard; 30th drops to 15% etc.

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KamikazePotato
06/24/11 10:03:00 AM
#42:


This is our Top 25 when we take out the Nintendo.

1. Chrono Trigger (1)
6. Metal Gear Solid 3: Snake Eater (6)
9. Resident Evil 4 (9)
15. Phoenix Wright: Ace Attorney: Trials & Tribulations (13)
16. Final Fantasy X (19)
18. Phoenix Wright: Ace Attorney (20)
19. Metal Gear Solid (23)
23. Tales of Symphonia (21)
24. Final Fantasy VII (22)
25. Final Fantasy IX (17)

This is our Top 25 when we take out the Nintendo and Square.

6. Metal Gear Solid 3: Snake Eater (6)
9. Resident Evil 4 (9)
15. Phoenix Wright: Ace Attorney: Trials & Tribulations (13)
18. Phoenix Wright: Ace Attorney (20)
19. Metal Gear Solid (23)
23. Tales of Symphonia (21)

Now Square, Nintendo, and Capcom.

6. Metal Gear Solid 3: Snake Eater (6)
19. Metal Gear Solid (23)
23. Tales of Symphonia (21)

Now Square, Nintendo, Capcom, and Konami.

23. Tales of Symphonia (21)

Tales of Symphonia: fighting the good fight for better contest diversity.

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th3l3fty
06/24/11 10:05:00 AM
#43:


nobody likes Namco though!

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WarThaNemesis2
06/24/11 10:06:00 AM
#44:


Pfft, we both know that Tales of Symphonia is only as popular as it is because of Nintendo, KP!

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KCF0107
06/24/11 10:11:00 AM
#45:


If everyone voted exactly like me, we would be seeing MVP Baseball 2005 and Assassin's Creed II up there, so if you want diversity, follow my lead

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KamikazePotato
06/24/11 10:20:00 AM
#46:


WarThaNemesis2 posted...
Pfft, we both know that Tales of Symphonia is only as popular as it is because of Nintendo, KP!

When fighting monsters, sometimes you must become a monster yourself.

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WarThaNemesis2
06/24/11 10:22:00 AM
#47:


But what about Dwarven Vow #7?

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LeonhartFour
06/24/11 10:44:00 AM
#48:


From: WarThaNemesis2 | #047
But what about Dwarven Vow #7?


I hate that one.

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Haste_2
06/24/11 12:40:00 PM
#49:


RE4 clearly has proved its worth more than MGS3 has so far. Looking at their matches, RE4 looks convincingly stronger to me, too. Compare them yourself.

For the unranked undefeated games, I would rank them in the following order:
1)Mega Man 2
2)Twilight Princess
3)Assassin's Creed II
4)Path of Radiance

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LeonhartFour
06/24/11 8:49:00 PM
#50:


Yesterday's results:

Kingdom Hearts II (Fanservice Conference) (2-5) – 26 (48.15%)
Half-Life 2 (Sonic Overload Conference) (5-2) – 28 (51.85%)
--Kingdom Hearts II looked like it was on its way to victory, but Half-Life 2 had other plans. It took care of business in the second half of the match to get the win.

Disgaea: Hour of Darkness (Nintendo Objections Conference) (3-4) – 33 (68.75%)
Cave Story (Twilight Barrel Galaxy Conference) (2-5) – 15 (31.25%)
--Disgaea has no problems beating Cave Story.

Super Mario RPG: Legend of the Seven Stars (Smackdown Hotel Conference) (6-1) – 32 (57.14%)
Super Smash Bros. (Smash Trigger Conference) (4-3) – 24 (42.86%)
--This match was close early on, but Mario RPG just slowly but surely kept pulling away as the match went on.

Umineko no Naku Koro ni (Metroid Eater Conference) (0-7) – 12 (24.00%)
Dark Cloud 2 (Smash Trigger Conference) (4-3) – 38 (76.00%)
--Another Logic Error for Umineko.

Starcraft (Fanservice Conference) (5-2) – 25 (46.30%)
Mega Man 3 (Patriot Time Portals Conference) (3-4) – 29 (53.70%)
--This one went back and forth, and it was Mega Man 3 who finished ahead in the end.

Legend of Legaia (Thousand-Year World of Sunshine Conference) (1-6) – 14 (28.00%)
#11 Super Smash Bros. Brawl (Brawl for Broke Conference) (7-0) – 36 (72.00%)
--Brawl puts a hurting on Legend of Legaia.

#13 Super Smash Bros. Melee (Fanservice Conference) (5-2) – 44 (80.00%)
Professor Layton and the Unwound Future (Brawl for Broke Conference) (2-5) – 11 (20.00%)
--Melee puts an even bigger hurting on Layton.

Earthbound (Games of the Decades Conference) (6-1) – 30 (54.55%)
GoldenEye 007 (Tanooki Blitzball Conference) (1-6) – 25 (45.45%)
--Poor GoldenEye. Six straight losses now, every single one of them to a Nintendo game. Just can't catch a break.

Hotel Dusk: Room 215 (Smackdown Hotel Conference) (4-3) – 28 (54.90%)
Resident Evil 2 (Smash Trigger Conference) (2-5) – 23 (45.10%)
--Hotel Dusk jumped out to a big lead and then just held on for dear life as RE2's comeback attempt came up short.

Secret of Mana (Brawl for Broke Conference) (4-3) – 15 (30.00%)
#19 Metal Gear Solid (Zelda Overload Conference) (6-1) – 35 (70.00%)
--If there's a secret, Solid Snake can figure it out.

Super Mario Sunshine (Thousand-Year World of Sunshine Conference) (3-4) – 28 (OT, 9-8) (50.91%)
Ogre Battle 64 (Cult RPG Galaxy Conference) (1-6) – 27 (49.09%)
--Sunshine got the first seven votes of the match, led by as many as 13, and was up by double digits as late as 24-14, and it still needed overtime to beat Ogre Battle 64.

#23 Tales of Symphonia (Cult RPG Galaxy Conference) (6-1) – 35 (67.31%)
Super Street Fighter IV (Nintendo Objections Conference) (1-6) – 17 (32.69%)
--Symphonia rebounds from last week's tough loss with a doubling of SSFIV.

Viewtiful Joe (Brawl for Broke Conference) (3-4) – 26 (54.17%)
Demon's Souls (Zelda Overload Conference) (1-6) – 22 (45.83%)
--Although the final margin was close, Viewtiful Joe was in front for pretty much the entire match.

Psychonauts (Fanservice Conference) (3-4) – 30 (61.22%)
Halo 2 (Metroid Eater Conference) (2-5) – 19 (38.78%)
--Psychonauts gets an easy win over Halo 2.

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