Board 8 > Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1319

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XIII_rocks
12/09/18 5:11:23 PM
#1:


Haven't made one of these in about a decade!

~*creativename's contest site (all things contest!)*~
http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/drupal/

~*The Board 8 Wiki (lots of useful contest and board information, including all past Post-Contest Analysis from Ulti, transience, Ed Bellis, and others)*~
http://board8.wikia.com/

~*List of All Polls (a search bar is at the bottom)*~
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html

~*NGamer64's Archive Sites (good stuff!) and (LOL) X-Stats Sim*~
http://www.thengamer.com/
http://thengamer.com/xstats

~*GameFAQs Contests Hall of Fame*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/GameFAQs_Contests_Hall_of_Fame
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/GameFAQs_Contests_Match_Hall_of_Fame

~*Character Contest Histories*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Category:Contest_Histories

~*Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings*~
A = Strongest Character
B = Character Weaker than A
C = Character Weaker than B
To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA
To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB
To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA

~*All the Match Pics*~
http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery/index.php

~*Leonhart4's Trend Charts*~
https://spreadsheets.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?hl=en&key=tOGmynfNIiNy5VukpEF-PdA&hl=en#gid=0

~*Daily Vote Trends - An Explanation for Dummies*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Daily_Vote_Trends
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AxemRedRanger
12/09/18 5:13:41 PM
#2:


what is up with the mega man franchise and close matches this contest
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garetha200
12/09/18 5:15:04 PM
#3:


Except for Zero who got the literal most boring predictable path imaginable
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_SecretSquirrel
12/09/18 5:16:57 PM
#4:


garetha200 posted...
Except for Zero who got the literal most boring predictable path imaginable

There were some that thought he could beat Pikachu/Yoshi, though.
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LeonhartFour
12/09/18 5:27:40 PM
#5:


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FinalFantasyVll
12/09/18 5:33:43 PM
#6:


Yuri, do you like Crono?
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Luigiman59
12/09/18 5:35:13 PM
#7:


Samus is the clear #2 on this site.
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Yuri_LowelI
12/09/18 5:36:05 PM
#8:


FinalFantasyVll posted...
Yuri, do you like Crono?


Who are you talking to?

Its relative. Top 10 isn't a great performance for MM's standards when he has literally always been top 10.

1) MM was above Crono in 2013
2) MM just recently got MM11
3) MM is in Smash Ultimate which is on day 3 of release and Crono is not

Its pretty bad for
MM to lose to Crono under these conditions


Youre forgetting crono is stronger than MM outright right now. Makes sense with low votals. So MM maybe is being boosted. Just not enough to beat Crono.
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Yuri_LowelI
12/09/18 5:36:41 PM
#9:


Luigiman59 posted...
Samus is the clear #2 on this site.


Indirectly yes.

As proven by today Zelda is on a bandwagon and will most likely lose to samus if they meet.
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Link versus Cloud
12/09/18 5:42:49 PM
#10:


Yuri_LowelI posted...


Youre forgetting crono is stronger than MM outright right now. Makes sense with low votals. So MM maybe is being boosted. Just not enough to beat Crono.


I mean its possible, but Crono didn't really look that impressive failing to break 55 on Bowser and barely cracking 43 on Cloud. Remember Megaman was 5th in the (lol) X-stats in 2013. I find it hard to believe MM boosted and still lost to Crono here, seems more likely MM just didn't boost.
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FinalFantasyVll
12/09/18 5:43:06 PM
#11:


Yuri_LowelI posted...
FinalFantasyVll posted...
Yuri, do you like Crono?


Who are you talking to?

Its relative. Top 10 isn't a great performance for MM's standards when he has literally always been top 10.

1) MM was above Crono in 2013
2) MM just recently got MM11
3) MM is in Smash Ultimate which is on day 3 of release and Crono is not

Its pretty bad for
MM to lose to Crono under these conditions


Youre forgetting crono is stronger than MM outright right now. Makes sense with low votals. So MM maybe is being boosted. Just not enough to beat Crono.


I was talking to you.
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jacko_vdz
12/09/18 5:43:58 PM
#12:


So how the hell can you explain why Snake did better on Zelda than Mario, but is getting blown up by Samus?? Zelda must be boosting in between rounds or there is some weird hierarchy going on.
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Jman_maximum
12/09/18 5:47:22 PM
#13:


some people were saying Crono is defying his trends this match

he isnt really all that much. Crono is no longer significantly weaker in the day. just look at his two matches against Bowser, he held his percentage almost entirely. in 2010 (i think that was the year he faced Bowser before this?) he fell like a rock from 62% all the way down to 57%
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LinkMarioSamus
12/09/18 5:47:42 PM
#14:


Yes Zelda likely caught a bandwagon.

Also it seems either Crono got stronger since last contest somehow, or Magus leeched him pretty badly in 2013. Or Pikachu is weaker somehow, which could be possible.
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LeonhartFour
12/09/18 5:48:52 PM
#15:


Jman_maximum posted...
in 2010 (i think that was the year he faced Bowser before this?) he fell like a rock from 62% all the way down to 57%


2006

but yeah the trends are different this year because of the starting time and lower vote totals anyway
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Link versus Cloud
12/09/18 5:49:34 PM
#16:


jacko_vdz posted...
So how the hell can you explain why Snake did better on Zelda than Mario, but is getting blown up by Samus?? Zelda must be boosting in between rounds or there is some weird hierarchy going on.


I think the best explanation is that Zelda beat Snake via natural strength and then used Hentai rallies to beat Mario.

Hentai Zelda > Mario > Zelda > Snake

Then hentai rally spillover into Samus today.
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_SecretSquirrel
12/09/18 6:05:40 PM
#17:


https://gamefaqs.akamaized.net/images/x/user/cloud-f-ulti-6.png
https://gamefaqs.akamaized.net/images/x/user/cloud-b-ulti-6.png

https://gamefaqs.akamaized.net/images/x/user/crono-f-squirrel-6.png
https://gamefaqs.akamaized.net/images/x/user/crono-b-ange-6.png

https://gamefaqs.akamaized.net/images/x/user/mario-f-ulti-6.png
https://gamefaqs.akamaized.net/images/x/user/mario-b-ulti-6.png

https://gamefaqs.akamaized.net/images/x/user/samus-f-squirrel-6.png

Coming up blank on Samus's background with everyone I know, so it's either someone I'm just spacing on or it's a first timer this season.

Also not seeing any new Mega Man submissions, so it looks like Allen has called this match.
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Denzokuken
12/09/18 6:15:31 PM
#18:


Gee whiz, those hentai rallies for Crono have really sealed this match up, huh?

Strange that yet again Mega Man shows the same trends as X against Tifa, but it remains the received knowledge that Tifa won with hentai rallies. And now we talk of Zelda winning with the same method.

I could write a fair discourse on why the antiquated board 8/stats topic uses hentai and TJF to rationalise female characters winning close matches against their established order, but it would take too much time and I can't be bothered so I will just say... lol board 8
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tgs2
12/09/18 6:16:50 PM
#19:


Crono's ability to pull out mini rallies for these clutch wins throughout the years is always a wonderful thing to witness.
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Averia
12/09/18 6:20:38 PM
#20:


Denzokuken posted...
really sealed this match up, huh?

Strange that yet again Mega Man shows the same trends as X against Tifa, but it remains the received knowledge that Tifa won with hentai rallies. And now we talk of Zelda winning with the same method.

I could write a fair discourse on why the antiquated board 8/stats topic uses hentai and TJF to rationalise female characters winning close matches against their established order, but it would take too much time and I can't be bothered so I will just say... lol board 8


To be fair, there are rallies topics with hundreds of upvotes.
Now, they might not convert into votes but if you have the choice between a boring and a funny explanation, you should pick the funny one.
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_SecretSquirrel
12/09/18 6:21:59 PM
#21:


Averia posted...
Denzokuken posted...
really sealed this match up, huh?

Strange that yet again Mega Man shows the same trends as X against Tifa, but it remains the received knowledge that Tifa won with hentai rallies. And now we talk of Zelda winning with the same method.

I could write a fair discourse on why the antiquated board 8/stats topic uses hentai and TJF to rationalise female characters winning close matches against their established order, but it would take too much time and I can't be bothered so I will just say... lol board 8


To be fair, there are rallies topics with hundreds of upvotes.
Now, they might not convert into votes but if you have the choice between a boring and a funny explanation, you should pick the funny one.

Yeah, we won't know this is the case unless Allen decides to come forth with the traffic stats, but it's not like there isn't evidence of hentai rallies for Tifa and Zelda at all.
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KamikazePotato
12/09/18 6:24:22 PM
#22:


The Chrono Trigger day vote once again seals a victory for the franchise.

Wait...
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FinalFantasyVll
12/09/18 6:24:31 PM
#23:


Yuri....

Answer damnit.

I want to know for your sig.

Do you like the character Crono?
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The Owner of FF9
12/09/18 6:25:28 PM
#24:


Averia posted...
Denzokuken posted...
really sealed this match up, huh?

Strange that yet again Mega Man shows the same trends as X against Tifa, but it remains the received knowledge that Tifa won with hentai rallies. And now we talk of Zelda winning with the same method.

I could write a fair discourse on why the antiquated board 8/stats topic uses hentai and TJF to rationalise female characters winning close matches against their established order, but it would take too much time and I can't be bothered so I will just say... lol board 8


To be fair, there are rallies topics with hundreds of upvotes.
Now, they might not convert into votes but if you have the choice between a boring and a funny explanation, you should pick the funny one.

I don't know, I wouldn't find boring discussions about why female characters are more popular now, or how Zelda's role in Breath of the Wild elevated her status.
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INTERWEBUSER
12/09/18 6:27:58 PM
#25:


The Owner of FF9 posted...
female characters are more popular now

Me Too + Hentai rallies

The Owner of FF9 posted...
Zelda's role in Breath of the Wild elevated her status.

This is a good question. She's still damsel in distress, just with a little more personality.
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Jman_maximum
12/09/18 6:30:45 PM
#26:


i think people are overrating the effect of Zelda's "role" on BotW

BotW itself made Link and Zelda much stronger, just by existing and being one of the most critically acclaimed games of all time. it doesn't really matter what they do in the story. most of it is fully optional anyways. do you think most players got all the memories?
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_SecretSquirrel
12/09/18 6:31:49 PM
#27:


Jman_maximum posted...
i think people are overrating the effect of Zelda's "role" on BotW

BotW itself made Link and Zelda much stronger, just by existing and being one of the most critically acclaimed games of all time. it doesn't really matter what they do in the story. most of it is fully optional anyways. do you think most players got all the memories?

Then why isn't Ganon through the roof as well? I mean, this is GameFAQs. This site lives to help people do stuff like get all the memories.
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Janus5k
12/09/18 6:33:07 PM
#28:


Jman_maximum posted...
most of it is fully optional anyways.

I mean

The first Noble Nine breaker in contest history was fully optional
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INTERWEBUSER
12/09/18 6:33:44 PM
#29:


_SecretSquirrel posted...

Then why isn't Ganon through the roof as well? I mean, this is GameFAQs. This site lives to help people do stuff like get all the memories.

Or just watch the ~30m of cutscenes on Youtube to save yourself 80 hours of walking.
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tgs2
12/09/18 6:34:46 PM
#30:


People only care for OoT/WW Ganon. He's hijacked the plot so many times that any boost he gets is nulled by annoyance of seeing him again.
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red sox 777
12/09/18 6:35:08 PM
#31:


This isn't a Crono style rally. This has been going on gradually for 20 hours.
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Yuri_LowelI
12/09/18 6:52:39 PM
#32:


_SecretSquirrel posted...
Jman_maximum posted...
i think people are overrating the effect of Zelda's "role" on BotW

BotW itself made Link and Zelda much stronger, just by existing and being one of the most critically acclaimed games of all time. it doesn't really matter what they do in the story. most of it is fully optional anyways. do you think most players got all the memories?

Then why isn't Ganon through the roof as well? I mean, this is GameFAQs. This site lives to help people do stuff like get all the memories.


Because ganon fucking sucks. He was terrible in TP only briefly appeared at the end as a final boss And was anonymous in BOTW until the very end which imo was lackluster boss fight.

Hes barely in any recent Zelda games bar WW and OoT in which he has a real presence. Didnt even appear in SS.

Its not a surprise he looked weak this contest.
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Yuri_LowelI
12/09/18 6:55:53 PM
#33:


tgs2 posted...
People only care for OoT/WW Ganon. He's hijacked the plot so many times that any boost he gets is nulled by annoyance of seeing him again.


TP sums your statement up. He just appears because zant is a weak mother fucker and all of a sudden ganon is here

Same with the oracle games where you just summon him from the death after beating both games as a final final boss. Absolutely shoehorned in what was two great games.
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The Owner of FF9
12/09/18 6:58:07 PM
#34:


Fucking Mega Man
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FinalFantasyVll
12/09/18 6:59:51 PM
#35:


Ok.... now that it's impossible for him to lose anymore.

I'm
Taking credit for this Crono win. 100% of it. (If we had a competent admin it would be 0%)

MegaMan was BLATANTLY and UNQUESTIONABLY vote stuffing for 17 fucking hours.

And not one of you jackasses called it out, despite the fact that FOUR different times Crono got it within 20 or so, and every single time MM responded with an "out of nowhere" vote spike and would run it back out to 50-70 again, then Crono would close, then MM would cheat.

It was literally like GTA "barriers" but then again most of you didn't call out that blatant cheating either so go fig...

In the dead or Europe vote MM followed at mid 40s hour with a mid 50s hours, which was sandwiched by other 40's hours, and one more "wow" 50s hours when Crono got close again.

Then Crono spends the entire day catching up, does so, barriers again. At this point in time I finally call it out, by name. Crono takes the lead. Crono runs the lead to 30, incall before it even happens "random cuts incoming" MM cuts the next 4 times.

I call him for his blatant vote stuffing one last time pointing out of course that happened, there was never any doubt, and talk of how no lead is safe (less than 250 anyway) when they can cheat at least 10 votes an update....

And low and behold that's it.

The stuffing stops. Because of course it did, once I said Allen should B7 him.

Thank you Crono. Contest done
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KamikazePotato
12/09/18 7:01:56 PM
#36:


Woah, bad start for Crono.
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SlugSh0t
12/09/18 7:02:26 PM
#37:


KamikazePotato posted...
Woah, bad start for Crono.

again..
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_SecretSquirrel
12/09/18 7:02:32 PM
#38:


https://gamefaqs.akamaized.net/images/x/user/samub-b-ulti-6.png

Samub is sure doing a good job right now!
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Then00bAvenger
12/09/18 7:04:27 PM
#39:


Cloud going to beat Crono with 57% again? What a shock
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WarThaNemesis2
12/09/18 7:04:54 PM
#40:


Then00bAvenger posted...
Cloud going to beat Crono with 57% again? What a shock


You have a lot of faith in Crono not losing any % to Cloud after the freeze!
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_SecretSquirrel
12/09/18 7:05:07 PM
#41:


And 13 on the leaderboard! My personal best, even if it probably won't last long...
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INTERWEBUSER
12/09/18 7:05:11 PM
#42:


FinalFantasyVll posted...

Thank you Crono. Contest done

Crono was the one that got stuffed votes
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LusterSoldier
12/09/18 7:06:05 PM
#43:


Samus doing very well with the board vote could be bracket voting. Most people probably would have Samus at this spot in their bracket and probably don't have Mario here as well if they took Mario to reach Link in the Legends Bracket.
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Yuri_LowelI
12/09/18 7:07:29 PM
#44:


Samus/Zelda is the match we want to see

Then again mario/cloud is nostalgic

Remember 2002?
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FinalFantasyVll
12/09/18 7:08:35 PM
#45:


Yuri_LowelI posted...
Samus/Zelda is the match we want to see

Then again mario/cloud is nostalgic

Remember 2002?


I do remember 2002...

Crono got cheated hard.

Incidentally....

DO YOU OR DO YOU NOT LIKE CRONO!????
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haloiscoolisbak
12/09/18 7:09:14 PM
#46:


Thank you crono. Back in the top 50
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Yuri_LowelI
12/09/18 7:09:16 PM
#47:


FinalFantasyVll posted...
Yuri_LowelI posted...
Samus/Zelda is the match we want to see

Then again mario/cloud is nostalgic

Remember 2002?


I do remember 2002...

Crono got cheated hard.

Incidentally....

DO YOU OR DO YOU NOT LIKE CRONO!????


Yeah I like crono

Much more than MM

But I still voted for MM because I dont want to see duplicate boring matches.
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FinalFantasyVll
12/09/18 7:09:46 PM
#48:


Yuri_LowelI posted...
FinalFantasyVll posted...
Yuri_LowelI posted...
Samus/Zelda is the match we want to see

Then again mario/cloud is nostalgic

Remember 2002?


I do remember 2002...

Crono got cheated hard.

Incidentally....

DO YOU OR DO YOU NOT LIKE CRONO!????


Yeah I like crono

Much more than MM

But I still voted for MM because I dont want to see duplicate boring matches.


Thank you. Much appreciated
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_SecretSquirrel
12/09/18 7:10:28 PM
#49:


Looks like Mario doesn't want to give this one up without a fight.
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KamikazePotato
12/09/18 7:10:34 PM
#50:


Mario gained but at this point last match he had 53% on Samus
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