Board List | |
Topic | Okay perfect battlers, the final match has started, what did you go with? |
iGenesis 12/19/11 10:13:00 PM #11 |
From: PartOfYourWorld | #007 Straight bet on Link. I thought the odds were pretty much a coin flip on whether Link would fall above or beneath 60%. I thought there would be a slim chance of Link going 1 or 2% below 60%, but never as low as 54. Given Link's performance against Cloud, and the recent release of Skyward Sword, how did anyone see this coming?!
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Topic | ATTN: yoblazer |
iGenesis 12/19/11 10:10:00 PM #5 |
From: PartOfYourWorld | #002 I don't have a crazy secret; I just look at the big trends in the most recent few contests, try to see if any big changes in gaming (new systems, hyped releases, huge news) could affect the way GameFAQs visitors vote, and do my best to go from there. I think that's how everybody does it. Here on Board 8 we have over 200 Gurus who enter each contest with the intent to win. Yet no one else is seeing the same success rates you are. There's got to be more to it than that. Take the last two contests, for example: it's pretty clear that Square has fallen off the map, their only mainline game in years being disregarded by the fanbase and destroyed by Portal. I wouldn't take any Square character (outside maybe Terra and Kefka for some flippin reason) to equal their 2007-2010 strength. Right, but it's hard to quantify exactly how much weaker they've gotten. It's one thing to identify trends, and another to do the kind of numerical analysis on said trends that's needed to win these contests. For example, how did you know that Pokemon was going to beat Ryu/Ken even as 60%+ picked them to win their Round 3 match? How did you foresee that Pokemon would beat Samus, historically a Top 10 character? How did you know that Pokemon was going to lose to Mario/Bowser? You could have seen that Pokemon was getting stronger based on the GOTD performance, but it would have been hard to use any historical data or "trends" to pinpoint exactly where they would end up.
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Topic | Why is this match so much closer than one would expect? |
iGenesis 12/19/11 10:05:00 PM #8 |
From: Janus5000 | #007 Link still hits 60% like it's nothing. The early vote just really wanted to see Mario do well. the vote's stabilising
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Topic | Why is this match so much closer than one would expect? |
iGenesis 12/19/11 9:35:00 PM #5 |
Welp, I think I'm done for in this contest D:
Should have gone with straight pick
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Topic | Why is this match so much closer than one would expect? |
iGenesis 12/19/11 9:33:00 PM #1 |
Usually Link gets at least 60% on Mario with no sweat. I would have imagined Skyward Sword to boost Link's popularity even higher.
Is it because of people anti-voting Link because they're tired of seeing him win? Is it because Bowser is that much more popular than Ganondorf?
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Topic | Spread Betting: Rivalry Rumble - Rules, Results, and Discussion |
iGenesis 12/19/11 9:07:00 PM #227 |
It's all over. Kotetsu never made a bet on Link/Mario, and in doing so, locked in his first place finish.
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Topic | Final Pick: 195300 pts on Link/Ganondorf, 74.00 - 74.99% |
iGenesis 12/19/11 8:34:00 PM #4 |
From: JJH777 | #003 What? There is no way they get that high. Mid 60s is absolute best Skyward Sword factor. Link has been gaining strength every year.
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Topic | Sign if you beat SBAllen in the rival contest. |
iGenesis 12/19/11 8:33:00 PM #2 |
From: a_fartn_Spartan | #001 (Note: ZeldaFaqs is more applicable to the nature of this site, but is just a subsidiary of NintenFaqs) yup.
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Topic | Final Pick: 195300 pts on Link/Ganondorf, 74.00 - 74.99% |
iGenesis 12/19/11 8:32:00 PM #1 |
*Clicks Submit*
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Topic | Fourth-Tenth Prizes: A $20 voucher for GameSpot GameMarket |
iGenesis 12/19/11 8:20:00 PM #2 |
yup. Back when prizes were $50 Amazon GCs I would have gladly taken them. Now, it's kinda pointless to win anything below 3rd prize :(
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Topic | ATTN: yoblazer |
iGenesis 12/19/11 3:24:00 PM #1 |
How many contests have you won* by now (including this one)? Like 6 or 7?
*placed high enough to win a prize
How on earth do you do it?! There's so much luck involved with these contests and it's rare to have one person win so many times.
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Topic | Just gave my availability for a technical interview with Extreme Blue :D |
iGenesis 12/19/11 12:38:00 PM #5 |
From: OmarsComin | #003 I don't know what Extreme Blue is
I have heard of Google and Facebook
so I suspect it is not as prestigious Kids these days! FB and Google are fads of the decade (Google may have bought itself a little more time, but it won't be relevant for anywhere near as long as a CENTURY)
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Topic | [PERFECTS] Man, with the prizes this year, you really have to go big or go home. |
iGenesis 12/19/11 12:35:00 PM #4 |
Besides, as a winner in the Best Series Ever contest, I had to get an affidavit signed and notarized. Living in California, the notary fee is $10, so I made a net profit of $40 on a $50 prize. http://www.punny.org/money/maximum-notary-fees-by-state-dont-get-ripped-off-by-big-fat-notary-guys/Assuming the same procedure applies for winners this year, it's not even worth it if you're 11th prize or higher ($10 - $10 = 0), unless you live in a state where the notary fee is cheaper and/or you have an acquaintance who'd do it for you at no cost.
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Topic | First impression, fellow perfects: are you tempted by the 1% option? |
iGenesis 12/19/11 3:48:00 AM #37 |
From: Winged Supreme | #036 I'm going with the 1% pick, go big or go home. Who the f*** cares if I end up with 0 points? The difference between a $10/$20 video game voucher (which wouldn't be worth it for me after shipping and crap) versus $250? Yeah, I'm going for it. Exactly. Everyone should be picking 1%. Imagine that you bet conservatively to guarantee yourself a GameSpot GameMarket gift certificate. You'll have to get an affidavit notarized in order to receive your prize. In california that's $10 for the notary fee unless you personally know one. $10 notary to receive a $10 prize.
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Topic | What are you doing for the Final Battle Pick? |
iGenesis 12/19/11 12:34:00 AM #13 |
1% bet, 72-72.99%
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Topic | Why do I still have 201600 "at risk" points? |
iGenesis 12/18/11 10:27:00 PM #1 |
Per the contest rules, After the 62nd battle (the second semifinal), all points will be banked
so the leaderboard should have only one "banked" table right now. Hopefully Allen will get to fix this, along with the final pick form update. (This may seem like a trivial distinction but I'm trying to compute the lowest score that can potentially overtake me tomorrow if I don't risk it all on a 1% pick.)
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Topic | So Brian920 is our winner, as long as the LAW and order of these contests holds. |
iGenesis 12/18/11 9:41:00 PM #11 |
From: legendmusketeer | #010 Yep... my alt; it isn't winning any prize. can you please take a screenshot of your entry?
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Topic | So Brian920 is our winner, as long as the LAW and order of these contests holds. |
iGenesis 12/18/11 9:37:00 PM #7 |
has it been confirmed that he's a prize entry?
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Topic | Friendly reminder that Final Fantasy is the superior RPG series |
iGenesis 12/18/11 9:23:00 PM #1 |
FF games vs. Pokemon games
In general, FF games have - superior storytelling - superior characterization (characters actually have personalities) - superior graphics (not sprite based artwork) - superior soundtracks (orchestral music) - more advanced battle strategies - longer main quests and more post-game content - more interesting locales to visit than generic caves and forests - more challenge level in the main quest - and for multiplayer FFs, far more immersive multiplayer with better replay value
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Topic | The leaderboards are completely borked |
iGenesis 12/18/11 9:17:00 PM #1 |
(1) The bracket stats have not updated (2) The battle stats are wrong (195300 should be banked, not potential) (3) The battle entry page has not yet updated (4) The final pick/tiebreaker page is still locked
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Topic | Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1039 |
iGenesis 12/18/11 9:12:00 PM #64 |
From: Sorozone | #054 Too bad the trainers pretty much fall like rocks after 3 hours in. : \ cause "the kiddies" have bed time :3
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Topic | Spread Betting RR - Mario/Bowser vs. Link/Ganondorf (-28) |
iGenesis 12/18/11 9:09:00 PM #2 |
My entire bankroll on Link/Ganon over 0.64.
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Topic | Now, you see, this is a poll result I can get behind. |
iGenesis 12/18/11 9:08:00 PM #3 |
Pokemon still won't win the overall contest.
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Topic | Spread Betting RR - Link/Ganondorf (-8) vs. Cloud/Sephiroth |
iGenesis 12/18/11 9:03:00 PM #17 |
I wonder which of my entries will count, if at all...I changed to Cloud/Seph at the last minute but the new poll had already started (I wasn't aware at the time and did not check the poll results before modifying my entry -- in fact, had I seen the actual numbers it would have been a suicide move.)
I will allow the contest operator (kaonashi) to make the administrative decision whether to count this entry, and whether to assign some kind of a penalty.
This kind of error will not happen again.
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Topic | Spread Betting RR - Red/Blue vs. Cloud/Sephiroth (-8) |
iGenesis 12/18/11 8:38:00 PM #14 |
20% on Cloud/Sephiroth.
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Topic | For the final battle, Bacon should allow you to make a pick of ANY percentage |
iGenesis 12/18/11 2:53:00 PM #2 |
bump
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Topic | Remember: if you appreciate good games, you'll vote Trainers tomorrow. |
iGenesis 12/18/11 2:49:00 PM #3 |
I will vote for Cloud.
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Topic | Odds of -12 score making bracket leaderboard? |
iGenesis 12/18/11 2:46:00 PM #1 |
I will finish with 180/192 points.
Both mistakes were thanks to Pokemon (I had them losing to Ryu/Ken), leading to a -4 in the 3rd round and a -8 in the 4th round.
The current leaderboard cuts off at -8. 10 / 50 (20%) of the leaderboard have a final winner other than Link/Ganon. There are currently 176 accounts tied at -8 (four of which are shown in the top 50), but there's a guy with over 100 alts and they are counted separately in the distribution.
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Topic | yeah, I think it's time to stop doing GameFAQs contests |
iGenesis 12/18/11 1:30:00 AM #244 |
From: UItimaterializer | #200 Stating a fact =/= trolling
Most people on this board are virgins with nothing better to do on a Saturday night than whine about Link winning a poll. HURR DURR says the guy who spends so much time making match pics for the site from Gamefaqs/CBS' perspective, the money they spent on your Best Game Ever prize has paid off more than 100fold.
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Topic | So. Link destroying Cloud. What % is he gonna get on Mario? |
iGenesis 12/18/11 1:26:00 AM #3 |
Quite frankly I wouldn't be surprised to see it go as high as 80.
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Topic | [PERFECTS] Man, with the prizes this year, you really have to go big or go home. |
iGenesis 12/18/11 1:24:00 AM #3 |
From: Achromatic | #002 Didn't I see you say you were going to do a 10% bet lol. I've changed my mind. It's pointless to go through all this and end up with a $10 GameMarket voucher. There's nothing good that can be bought off of GM for $10 anyway.
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Topic | [PERFECTS] Man, with the prizes this year, you really have to go big or go home. |
iGenesis 12/18/11 1:21:00 AM #1 |
4th prize and below win GameSpot GameMarket vouchers, of all goodies that could possibly be awarded.
This means you basically have to bet your bankroll on a 1% or 5% pick to have a legitimate shot at winning anything good. Anything lower and you'll likely end up with a GameMarket voucher or worse yet, no prize at all.
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Topic | The fact that GameFAQs is dying is depressing the hell out of me |
iGenesis 12/18/11 12:33:00 AM #7 |
Video walkthroughs and built-in walkthroughs (Super Guide etc.) will eventually replace this site.
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Topic | Spread Betting RR - Link/Ganondorf (-8) vs. Cloud/Sephiroth |
iGenesis 12/17/11 8:20:00 PM #12 |
30% on Link/Ganondorf > 54%.
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Topic | Whatever happened to "the kiddies waking up" on this poll? |
iGenesis 12/17/11 5:43:00 PM #1 |
Aren't they supposed to wake up and mass-vote for Pokemon?
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Topic | Am I the only guy here who finds Mario games FUNNER than Pokemon? |
iGenesis 12/17/11 12:01:00 AM #12 |
From: The_Djoker | #010 Pokemon effin sucks now. Only a fanboy would say the series is better than mario. At least mario has evolved over the last few decades and provided us with genius gameplay what pokemon done? Absolutely nothing apart from a couple of lame new pokemon. but there's a CONTINUOUSLY EVOLVING METAGAME! ZOMG! also, B/W had lots of changes, such as PREVIOUS GEN POKEMON NOT BEING AVAILABLE UNTIL YOU'VE BEATEN THE MAIN GAME. Mind-blowing innovation right there. ZOMG!
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Topic | Am I the only guy here who finds Mario games FUNNER than Pokemon? |
iGenesis 12/16/11 11:16:00 PM #6 |
From: KamikazePotato | #003 The worst game in the Pokemon main series is better than the best game in the Mario main series.
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Topic | For the final battle, Bacon should allow you to make a pick of ANY percentage |
iGenesis 12/16/11 11:09:00 PM #1 |
With a 60-way tie, everyone's going to be betting his entire bankroll, so there are effectively only 4 possible outcomes for the winners: 195300 * (100% + 200%) = 585900 [successful 1% pick] 195300 * (100% + 150%) = 488250 [successful 5% pick] 195300 * (100% + 125%) = 439425 [successful 10% pick] 195300 * (100% + 100%) = 390600 [successful straight pick]
Common sense suggests that there will be a giant multi-way tie at 439425, and another colossal multi-way tie at 390600.
Instead, you should be able to choose any number you wish from 0% to 50%, in 0.01% increments. The corresponding multipliers (100%, 125%, etc.) would be interpolated between the values Bacon had set. This would allow for a effective tiebreaker that truly scatters the distribution of scores.
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Topic | Am I the only guy here who finds Mario games FUNNER than Pokemon? |
iGenesis 12/16/11 10:53:00 PM #2 |
Nope. I still enjoy almost every main line Mario game.
I got bored with Pokemon at Ruby, 10 years ago. Since then, every iteration has been 90% identical in terms of structure & gameplay.
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Topic | Semi-Final 1 |
iGenesis 12/16/11 10:52:00 PM #2 |
Voted for Mario, no second thoughts.
Mario vs. Bowser is the first rivalry I think of when asked to name video game rivalries. They've been in 20+ games.
Pokemon is no longer relevant to me as a franchise.
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Topic | Spread Betting RR - Mario/Bowser (-11) vs. Red/Blue |
iGenesis 12/16/11 7:46:00 PM #12 |
20% on Pokemon.
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Topic | First impression, fellow perfects: are you tempted by the 1% option? |
iGenesis 12/16/11 7:04:00 PM #25 |
If the buckets are fixed by Allen (60-64.99, 65-69.99) I'll go with 10%.
If we can pick our own min&max bounds (ex. 61.19 - 66.19), I'll go with 5%.
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Topic | Info on Final Battles |
iGenesis 12/16/11 6:55:00 PM #28 |
Since it's pretty much a given that, barring any freak upset, (1) only folks who have perfect entries up to this point will be competitive; and (2) the folks with perfect entries will have to bet everything in order to win
why not just make things simple and have the battlers define their own bounds [min, max] ? Assuming the entrant picked the correct winner with the actual percentage within [min, max], the tiebreaker would then be the value of (max - min).
So for example, if Link beats Mario with 61.55%, - someone who set the bounds [60.00, 63.50] would have a tiebreaker score of 3.50. - someone who set the bounds [50.00, 70.00] would have a tiebreaker score of 20.00. - someone who set the bounds [50.00, 100.00] would have a tiebreaker score of 50.00 where lower is better.
on a score basis, you can normalise it so that (max - min) = 50.00 has a multiplier of 100%, (max - min) = 1.00 has a multiplier of 200%, (max - min) = 0.00 has a multiplier of 1000%
with the current setup there are going to be a lot of ties at the 10% level and another load of ties for straight pick. with flexible granularity up to 0.01 on either bound, there will be a lot fewer ties.
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Topic | Info on Final Battles |
iGenesis 12/16/11 6:25:00 PM #26 |
Oh boy. Now we got a real tiebreaker (groan)
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Topic | Whoever submitted this match pic is either awful, or hates Pokemon (aka awful) |
iGenesis 12/16/11 6:22:00 PM #3 |
awesome pic.
Mario/Bowser deserve to win this one.
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Topic | Skyward Sword is probably the closest thing to a perfect Zelda game. |
iGenesis 12/15/11 10:39:00 PM #6 |
In before OOT/ALTTP nostalgia fanboys enter this topic & kill you
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Topic | Rovio gearing up for 2013 Hong Kong & New York IPOs at $65 billion valuation |
iGenesis 12/15/11 9:29:00 PM #1 | |
Topic | Spread Betting RR - Cloud/Sephiroth (-45) vs. Squall/Seifer |
iGenesis 12/15/11 9:20:00 PM #22 |
From: Kotetsu534 | #020 Welp. If you lose this one, at least you know that you've got the top 3 spread betters to keep you company in the process of getting wiped out. :3
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Topic | Somebody banked on Link/Ganon vs. Alucard/Dracula, of all matches O_o |
iGenesis 12/15/11 9:12:00 PM #6 |
Oh whoops. It was the alt.
Argh. So no reduction in competition after all (sigh)
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