Lurker > Turtlemayor333

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TopicTikTok ban upheld
Turtlemayor333
12/06/24 5:18:50 PM
#36
Watch this be a whole scheme so Trump can heroically bring back TikTok for populism, and make the centrist Dems who supported the ban look old and stupid

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TopicMusk Gets Rid of Date and Time Stamps in Twitter
Turtlemayor333
12/04/24 6:24:30 PM
#15
Elon is the type who thinks it would be soooo funny if on April Fool's, every other tweet you scroll past is a Rick Roll

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TopicGavin Newsom says he's disappointed by Biden's decision to pardon son
Turtlemayor333
12/04/24 5:49:14 PM
#60
MrMolinaro posted...
No surprise. Its a pretty low risk way to separate himself from Biden and start campaigning for 2028.

Im fine with the pardon, but Biden did it in the most politically inept way possible. It should have been part of a larger package of pardons or dropped on the last day so it wouldnt have been as big of a story.
The only thing Biden should have done different is drop full pardons for thousands of people, anyone who has ever at any time been named as a Trump enemy going all the way down to Rosie O'Donnell

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TopicPorn Star called predator for trying to to sleep with 'barely legal' teen males
Turtlemayor333
12/04/24 5:40:20 PM
#16
The body authoritarians of Australia also think you aren't really a woman unless you have big tits

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TopicJon Stewart calls out just how much of a hypocrite Biden is.
Turtlemayor333
12/03/24 6:28:03 PM
#112
Deej posted...
At this point, I almost look forward to January arriving and the "Biden bad" brigade having to find something else to post about
Hillary Clinton's emails?

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TopicJon Stewart calls out just how much of a hypocrite Biden is.
Turtlemayor333
12/03/24 5:51:20 PM
#93
CountCorvinus posted...
The current president of the United States is aiding and abetting a genocide. To say I "dislike" Joe Biden is an understatement.
I don't know why the guys who keep bringing up Genocide Joe can't see that the media never cared about criticizing him on this. They still aren't your friend.

Instead they were getting him on stuff like "Biden/Harris failed to attend this traditional dinner that's an important event among the D.C. area press! Have they no decency?"

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TopicJon Stewart calls out just how much of a hypocrite Biden is.
Turtlemayor333
12/03/24 5:14:33 PM
#84
77 million people in the U.S. just proved they don't give a shit about limiting pardons by voting for Trump.

At this point Biden would be justified walking out of the White House with a spray tan, maybe instead of answering questions for the press just start talking about Arnold Palmer's penis. That's what wins, baby!

What are you doing, Jon Stewart? I'd expect commentary a little more insightful from him, but this sounds no different than these other old legacy media gasbags identical to the slop you see from New York Times and CNN, finger wagging the Democrats' decorum while Trump is getting the military tribunals ready.

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TopicDo you want to work for Elon Musks DOGE for 80 hrs per week
Turtlemayor333
11/16/24 2:40:09 PM
#33
SocialistGamer posted...
Elon doesn't work even 60 hours let alone 80+ lmao.
He considers shitposting on the internet to be "working"

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TopicMike Tyson vs. Jake Paul -Topic 2
Turtlemayor333
11/16/24 12:31:44 AM
#200
DarthDemented posted...
Tyson needs to stop dancing and get in there and hit dammit
He tried that like three times and Jake sprinted to the other side of the ring each time

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TopicMike Tyson vs. Jake Paul -Topic 2
Turtlemayor333
11/16/24 12:15:23 AM
#107
These announcers overreact more than the mainstream media to Biden

"Mike Tyson is biting his glove, here's why this is good news for Jake Paul."

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TopicMike Tyson vs. Jake Paul -Topic 2
Turtlemayor333
11/16/24 12:08:04 AM
#85
Those expensive shorts already look like they have a little poop running out of them

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TopicMike Tyson vs. Jake Paul
Turtlemayor333
11/15/24 11:22:42 PM
#421
Well I'm not a fight expert but I thought Serrano got whooped in every round after Round 2

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TopicThe time has come, Harris VS Trump 2024 Election Topic part two, final showdown.
Turtlemayor333
11/05/24 10:00:52 PM
#207
kirbyy posted...
NY times needle moved to Trump as narrow but clear favorite. Bad early vibes spreading.
This needle had Trump at 80% in 2020. It's not that reliable.

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Topic2024 Election Trump VS Harris Part 2 Topic: The Moment to Redeem the Future.
Turtlemayor333
11/05/24 9:45:36 PM
#461
Sonixs posted...
How are you getting 274 and not 276.
He has Maine backwards

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Topic2024 Election Trump VS Harris Part 2 Topic: The Moment to Redeem the Future.
Turtlemayor333
11/05/24 9:42:30 PM
#443
I still feel like 2020 sucked a lot more at this point.

Georgia was looking much redder than this
North Carolina was called for Trump (I think the Decision Desk call is iffy)
Trump was hugely ahead in every rust belt state

From what I can see, people mainly seem to be dooming about Virginia. But it still just looks to me like a state where all the red vote was counted first.

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Topic2024 Election Trump VS Harris Part 2 Topic: The Moment to Redeem the Future.
Turtlemayor333
11/05/24 9:33:13 PM
#397
ssjevot posted...
DD has always had a very high acceptable error level for calls. I assume most places call at 95% certainty, maybe DD accepts something like 90% certainty.
It blows my mind that they're calling these states that have reported less than 10 percent from their population centers, but in 2020 it took them days to call states for Biden when it was clear that Trump's leads were not going to hold

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Topic2024 Election Trump VS Harris Part 2 Topic: The Moment to Redeem the Future.
Turtlemayor333
11/05/24 9:18:02 PM
#324
hyperskate65 posted...
Where? That's literally all our blue cities and they're showing up there. I'm watching Fox so I'm probably not getting all the info but it's showing those are counted, no?
I'm seeing the county where Charlotte is reporting only 10%

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Topic2024 Election Trump VS Harris Part 2 Topic: The Moment to Redeem the Future.
Turtlemayor333
11/05/24 9:05:12 PM
#271
creativerealms posted...
I know we are dealing with the red mirage right now. That less populated and safe states are already called and that things will change and get closer later but man is this hard on my nerves.
This is the main reason I'm so weirded out by Ohio and why nobody is talking about it.

Most of their red mirage has already been counted and Harris is still competitive with tons of blue areas left. I wonder if it's actually possible she could win this.

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Topic2024 Election Trump VS Harris Part 2 Topic: The Moment to Redeem the Future.
Turtlemayor333
11/05/24 8:50:55 PM
#215
The more I keep looking at Ohio, the more the Harris numbers look very strong.

Half of the vote is in and the most of the remaining vote seems to be in blue areas.

Why is she running so strong here?

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Topic2024 Election Trump VS Harris Part 2 Topic: The Moment to Redeem the Future.
Turtlemayor333
11/05/24 8:43:54 PM
#177
mybbqrules posted...
They were.

I was here. Endgame was repeatedly telling everyone exactly what was happening and people were still dooming all over the place.

Then Trump came out at midnight or so and declared victory with 20% of the vote counted.
2020 was a million times worse than this.

Like PA was showing Trump ahead by 600,000.

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Topic2024 Election Trump VS Harris Part 2 Topic: The Moment to Redeem the Future.
Turtlemayor333
11/05/24 8:37:17 PM
#144
Tyranthraxus posted...
Unless Gwinnett & DeKalb are done counting Georgia isn't done.
They basically haven't reported anything yet

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Topic2024 Election Trump VS Harris Part 2 Topic: The Moment to Redeem the Future.
Turtlemayor333
11/05/24 8:36:34 PM
#142
Flaming_Fire619 posted...
I don't know...I'm not willing to give up on Ohio just yet.
If it just stayed remotely close at all it would still be a great sign

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Topic2024 Election Trump VS Harris Part 2 Topic: The Moment to Redeem the Future.
Turtlemayor333
11/05/24 8:12:28 PM
#76
Philadelphia is at 87% Harris with 17% in

Biden's total in 2020 was 81%

You could expect that to drop a bit due to being mail but still on target to improve

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Topic2024 Election Trump VS Harris Part 2 Topic: The Moment to Redeem the Future.
Turtlemayor333
11/05/24 7:57:14 PM
#24
littlebro07 posted...
Thats a really fucking good sign, right?
I'm hoping it is. Current vote really doesn't mean too much but right now, Harris is only running about 6 behind Stein. That would be a Harris win.

The polls showing Trump tied or winning in NC were showing more than 10% splitting their vote.

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TopicThe time has come, Harris VS Trump 2024 Election Topic part one, final showdown.
Turtlemayor333
11/05/24 7:42:59 PM
#472
ssjevot posted...
Watching NBC stream in Japan and they keep saying Trump is overperforming margins in a lot of counties. These are states that don't matter for the most part, but that might be driving betters to assume it will be true across the board.
Their problem is likely looking at Florida and thinking it will apply everywhere

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TopicThe time has come, Harris VS Trump 2024 Election Topic part one, final showdown.
Turtlemayor333
11/05/24 7:33:32 PM
#440
North Carolina coming soon

This is my highest interest state. If Harris wins the rest of the night is stress free.

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TopicThe time has come, Harris VS Trump 2024 Election Topic part one, final showdown.
Turtlemayor333
11/05/24 7:25:53 PM
#422
The only gains on the entire map for Trump right now are in Florida which surprises no one

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TopicThe time has come, Harris VS Trump 2024 Election Topic part one, final showdown.
Turtlemayor333
11/05/24 7:24:36 PM
#415
StarFighters76 posted...
How is this huge? If Trump has indeed won Indiana, then the info in this tweet is moot.
No

It means Trump has probably lost significant ground in similar type counties

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TopicThe time has come, Harris VS Trump 2024 Election Topic part one, final showdown.
Turtlemayor333
11/05/24 7:15:01 PM
#387
Douglas County, Georgia with 75% in

2020: Biden 62%
2024: Harris 66%

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TopicThe time has come, Harris VS Trump 2024 Election Topic part one, final showdown.
Turtlemayor333
11/05/24 7:12:55 PM
#377
singleplayerguy posted...
20 point shift towards Trump with Independents in Georgia....
This is not from real votes, it's from exit polls which are junk

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TopicThe time has come, Harris VS Trump 2024 Election Topic part one, final showdown.
Turtlemayor333
11/05/24 7:12:11 PM
#374
Boone County, Indiana with 91% of the vote in

2020: Trump +18.5
2024: Trump +10.5

Again this is just for reference on how Trump is doing overall, it's not about the outcome in Indiana

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TopicThe time has come, Harris VS Trump 2024 Election Topic part one, final showdown.
Turtlemayor333
11/05/24 7:01:42 PM
#348
South Carolina too early to call

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TopicWill we know the results tonight?
Turtlemayor333
11/05/24 6:43:47 PM
#6
I think Harris winning will be apparent but the media might be too scared to call it

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TopicThe time has come, Harris VS Trump 2024 Election Topic part one, final showdown.
Turtlemayor333
11/05/24 6:40:31 PM
#311
I don't have a way around that login but another thing you can do is pull up the current results map from whatever news site you prefer, and then compare it with the detailed 2020 results here:

https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2020-elections/indiana-president-results/

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TopicThe time has come, Harris VS Trump 2024 Election Topic part one, final showdown.
Turtlemayor333
11/05/24 6:34:31 PM
#298
Use this map to see voting shifts

https://www.washingtonpost.com/elections/interactive/2024/11/05/compare-2020-2024-presidential-results/

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TopicThe time has come, Harris VS Trump 2024 Election Topic part one, final showdown.
Turtlemayor333
11/05/24 6:32:51 PM
#294
BunkerBoy posted...
You're talking about Florida specifically, right? I really think kamala is going to win overall
In that post I'm just talking in general about rural areas across the U.S.

Florida is a weirdo state and their results won't mean much anywhere else.

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TopicThe time has come, Harris VS Trump 2024 Election Topic part one, final showdown.
Turtlemayor333
11/05/24 6:29:25 PM
#287
The energy isn't there anymore in the rurals. He's still going to win of course but I won't be surprised by a drop across the board.

I fortunately don't live there, but I go to these neck of the woods to visit family and it's so different from 4 years ago. There used to be a Trump sign at every third house. Now I can barely find his signs. This story has been missed by mainstream news who would never go to these places.

People act like the yard signs thing doesn't matter, and for traditional politicians that wisdom may have been true but Trump is not traditional. The pathetic rallies and lack of signs were my clue weeks ago about how tonight was going to turn out.

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TopicThe time has come, Harris VS Trump 2024 Election Topic part one, final showdown.
Turtlemayor333
11/05/24 6:12:16 PM
#266
If anybody plans on dooming about Florida results in about an hour or so, do me a favor and delete your account instead.

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TopicExit polls about to come in at 10 minutes
Turtlemayor333
11/05/24 4:55:58 PM
#2
Getting this on the record before they're posted

These are always worthless

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TopicDixville Notch, New Hampshire results
Turtlemayor333
11/05/24 12:46:02 AM
#15
TheGoldenEel posted...
https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/a/forum/7/7eb84d93.png
interesting that it seems all six voted Haley in the primary (idk if it was the same six)
Harris getting half the Haley vote oh yeah it's all coming together

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TopicFormer Obama campaign manager: Early voting numbers 'scary' for Harris.
Turtlemayor333
11/04/24 10:00:19 PM
#34
I can't tell if we're all just memeing or if this really needs to be explained.

He's using "scary" in an artificial sense of the word, like how it was scary in 2020 that most states counted Trump's votes first making it look like he was winning big. But that wasn't actually true.

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Topicuhhhh you should bote now
Turtlemayor333
11/04/24 5:41:11 PM
#5
Kony 2012!

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TopicWas Biden a bad president?
Turtlemayor333
11/04/24 5:36:28 PM
#36
TendoDRM posted...
He's the best president we've had in my lifetime (I'm 36).
https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/a/forum/4/4e2bda32.jpg

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TopicEarly voting is way the fuck down this year compared to 2020
Turtlemayor333
11/04/24 5:11:21 PM
#28
lilORANG posted...
Do you honestly seriously believe any meaningful number of people are choosing to vote on election day for this reason, or are you just huffing hopium?

This seems very unlikely
Yes, it is common knowledge that Trump tried to invalidate millions of mail-in votes in 2020.

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TopicEarly voting is way the fuck down this year compared to 2020
Turtlemayor333
11/04/24 5:07:29 PM
#24
Kalk posted...
Some people want to wait in line to vote. To them ot feels more real and their vote matter more.
It also speeds up the vote count and gives Trump less time to pull any bullshit.

Obviously vote by mail is better than not voting at all, but it makes perfect sense why so people waited beyond just preference.

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TopicMusk's lawyer says million winners are spokespeople not chosen by chance.
Turtlemayor333
11/04/24 4:46:04 PM
#12
I'm sorry but this was totally advertised as a lottery

lmao

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TopicEarly voting is way the fuck down this year compared to 2020
Turtlemayor333
11/04/24 4:40:14 PM
#12
I would say especially Democrats have been hesitant with the mail vote with how giddy the Republicans were to trash those votes 4 years ago.

I voted early in-person.

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TopicNate Bronze still thinks Harris isn't ahead
Turtlemayor333
11/03/24 9:53:27 PM
#15
aarrgus posted...
He's being complimentary to the pollster, even if he doesn't believe it's accurate because his model apparently expects outliers and there have been very few
I get it but it's a flawed way of thinking about the industry. These people consider themselves scientists, but they aren't acting like scientists. Imagine if a weather forecaster said snow was likely, then it rained. Maybe it even happens twice in a row.

So from now on, because their reputation is at stake, they'll just say it's a 50/50 chance of happening even if they have data suggesting 12 inches of snow is possible next week.

If that analogy doesn't make sense, I'm just complaining that they are putting their thumbs on the scale and manipulating the data instead of letting the data speak for itself, which is also what Selzer has been saying about her peers.

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TopicTrump Disregards Campaign Advice, Promotes Stochastic Terrorism
Turtlemayor333
11/03/24 8:27:28 PM
#5
Instead he claimed that Trump was suggesting that reporters were in great danger themselves, and should have had a glass protective shield, also. There can be no other interpretation of what was said. He was actually looking out for their welfare, far more than his own!

https://youtu.be/uq-v1TTUyhM

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TopicHerschel Walker: Vote for Donald Trump Jr. Donald Trump. Jonald J. Trump
Turtlemayor333
11/03/24 8:05:39 PM
#10
It's Jonover

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