Lurker > 3DSRage

I was working on a "Pokemon of the Year - All Time Stats" spreadsheet, for the purpose of comparing Pokemon year-over-year. Came up with the prediction value of all Pokemon for last year's contest. I'm thinking I may need to adjust some of the default values I gave out (non-auto calculated like for top 5, GP round, Marathon round, and for the round where Pokemon had a bye.)

637 Squirtle
594 Lucario
567 Empoleon
515 Metagross
501 Espeon
487 Jolteon
473 Bulbasaur
455 Arcanine
442 Umbreon
442 Houndoom
359 Flygon
358 Galvantula
346 Scyther
344 Chandelure
344 Gengar
333 Blastoise
329 Ninetales
323 Mewtwo
320 Mew
310 Raichu
310 Nidoking
310 Articuno
306 Absol
304 Luxray
302 Krookodile
297 Vulpix
294 Kyogre
293 Ampharos
291 Scizor
285 Charizard
276 Tyranitar
267 Alakazam
262 Greninja
262 Blaziken
261 Breloom
260 Excadrill
259 Weavile
257 Lugia
249 Eevee
248 Tyrantrum
245 Meowstic
243 Gyarados
238 Venusaur
233 Pikachu
217 Charmander
213 Piplup
213 Torterra
209 Staraptor
204 Vaporeon
202 Xerneas
201 Typhlosion
200 Mudkip
200 Sneasel
198 Haunter
196 Latios
196 Jirachi
195 Hawlucha
193 Dragonite
191 Zekrom
190 Lapras
190 Pangoro
189 Cinccino
185 Lilligant
184 Haxorus
183 Feraligatr
182 Mismagius
175 Flareon
173 Fennekin
172 Latias
172 Quilava
172 Zapdos
170 Gogoat
170 Starmie
168 Gardevoir
163 Reuniclus
159 Growlithe
159 Clawitzer
153 Marowak
147 Sandslash
146 Glaceon
146 Totodile
143 Garchomp
143 Dragonair
140 Zangoose
140 Heracross
139 Togekiss
139 Mamoswine
139 Celebi
138 Talonflame
138 Rotom
137 Shinx
137 Camerupt
137 Skarmory
136 Shaymin
136 Joltik
135 Milotic
134 Gallade
133 Raikou
133 Gliscor
133 Darkrai
133 Sawsbuck
133 Snivy
133 Sableye
131 Emolga
131 Scolipede
131 Braviary
131 Snorlax
130 Kingdra
130 Mareep
130 Honchkrow
128 Altaria
128 Minccino
128 Miltank
127 Pancham
126 Xatu
126 Beedrill
125 Volcarona
125 Swampert
125 Donphan
125 Manectric
124 Zoroark
124 Giratina
124 Kadabra
124 Zigzagoon
122 Steelix
121 Jigglypuff
120 Politoed
119 Leafeon
117 Oshawatt
117 Buizel
116 Pichu
116 Noivern
114 Roserade
114 Vileplume
111 Darmanitan
110 Dugtrio
108 Tyrunt
108 Toxicroak
107 Swellow
094 Klefki
056 Lanturn
056 Carracosta
054 Sceptile
052 Suicune
052 Aron
051 Cloyster
050 Rampardos
048 Noctowl
047 Heliolisk
047 Sylveon
047 Zorua
047 Whimsicott
047 Grovyle
046 Shroomish
046 Goodra
045 Armaldo
043 Jumpluff
043 Tepig
042 Magikarp
042 Primeape
041 Murkrow
041 Braixen
040 Chansey
037 Rhydon
036 Diancie
036 Chikorita
036 Sigilyph
034 Phantump
034 Manaphy
034 Lillipup
033 Onix
033 Pyroar
032 Deoxys
031 Lopunny
030 Meloetta
030 Malamar
027 Hitmonchan
026 Farfetch'd
026 Geodude
026 Archeops
024 Audino
022 Electrode
021 Gastrodon
020 Blissey
018 Hoothoot
018 Dewgong
017 Venonat
014 Carbink
014 Furfrou
013 Pineco
011 Ralts
010 Spinda
009 Diggersby
008 Castform
007 Slurpuff
004 Bibarel
002 Lickilicky
001 Klink
001 Regigigas
000 Smoochum

Results are up on the google sheets. Nothing's opening on my end right now! I will post proper review with my breakfast!

New topic will probably be up early today. Have a badminton match! Other topic still lasts until 24 hours have passed!

And you monsters are going to take out my baby, Furfrou :(

DIV D
35 Houndoom
20 Garchomp
20 Tyranitar
8 Shinx
3 Aegislash
3 Chesnaught
-12 Wishiwashi
-------------------------
-19 Misdreavus
-22 Tepig
-36 Diggersby

Houndoom shows the rest of the group why it made it into top 10 last year. It beat Squirtle's performance with less votes! The two pseudo legendaries round out the top 3. Misdreavus lets its guard down to let Wishiwashi advance. Tepig proves to be one of the worst starters ever. Bunny-in-a-barrel doesn't do too hot.


DIV E
21 Vulpix
20 Cloyster
13 Butterfree
8 Rotom
2 Zoroark
-3 Octillery
-5 Lilligant
-------------------------
-7 Palossand
-20 Manaphy
-29 Conkeldurr

The three gen 1s take the top three spots in what seems like a weak division in retrospect. Derpy Machamp just could get enough speed to do anything. Palossand nearly takes 4th last in a close race between three Pokemon. Lilligant perhaps underperformed if last year was any indication of skill. Manaphy thinks more people should have watched its movie!

Newest feature of prediction sheet: Highlights the person's points who is in the lead! Loving conditional formatting!!!!!

For comparison's sake:

Smoochum PPV 2016: -1.70
Lickilicky PPV 2017: -2.00

mnkboy907 posted...

profDEADPOOL posted...

What the hell is wrong with B8 for BUZZSWOLE to go out so early

I know, he's great! Just look at those poses!

https://68.media.tumblr.com/c6bcb24b411f09aeea53ddf0758a3183/tumblr_okexfxt3mh1r4666qo1_400.gif

If only I saw this earlier!

All points are entered into divisions and rankings. Pay little attention to Prediction Points so far. Those will change depending on the highest and lowest scores of the round.

mnkboy907 posted...

I didn't pick Incineroar because I thought it'd be more middling. Lots of fans but also lots of detractors.

We'll have to see in different formats! I thought the same!

RESULTS

DIV A
26 Excadrill
21 Scyther
17 Haunter
9 Heracross
4 Sawsbuck
2 Lanturn
-3 Charmeleon
-------------------------
-6 Lurantis
-23 Roserade
-47 Malamar

Wow! Excadrill starts very strong! We unfortunately loser the only Gen 7 of the day. Lurantis was a vote away from taking out Charmeleon early! I'm fairly sure Charm underperformed. One of my favorite Pokemon got taken out in mad fashion (Malamar.) Scyther and Haunter round out the top 3.


DIV B
27 Galvantula
26 Articuno
18 Suicune
17 Lapras
6 Clawitzer
-6 Reuniclus
-6 Durant
-------------------------
-7 Persian
-11 Buzzwole
-64 Lickilicky

Is this going to be a trend? Gen 7 taken out and it was sort of close? Reuniclus and Durant hang on for dear life and take down Persian by a hair! Another Gen 5 on top of the division. Articuno barely barely receives any negative points and gets a respectable 2nd over his icy buds, Suicune and Lapras. And...Lickilicky has set a strong low score. That's gonna be tough to beat!


DIV C
32 Squirtle
27 Incineroar
26 Breloom
4 Leafeon
3 Politoed
1 Zygarde
0 Altaria
-------------------------
-21 Lopunny
-24 Mesprit
-48 Mandibuzz

Last year's champion rises again! Incineroar did awesome, though! Looking good for anyone who picked in the Prediction Challenge! Breloom also did great and after that the scores fall off a cliff! Lopunny, Mesprit and Mandibuzz face elimination with no questions asked. Not looking good for names with "buzz" in them!

Terastodon posted...

I think anyone who listens to Luster's opinions on how to run a board contest is an idiot.

LOL

Poor guy.

I don't see how any Ultra Beasts will do well! Marshadow too...

Truth!

Thanks boss.

ROUND ONE is officially underway!

POTY 2017 Rankings / Round Results: https://goo.gl/Xcb9af

This will update after each day. Rankings tab will show the scores and rankings throughout the competition. You can see prediction points for each Pokemon on here. These numbers are fluid and won't be set in stone until the end of the round when all Pokemon have weighed in, but it might still interest you to look at.

Check the tabs at the bottom for round-by-round score-tracking. You might find updated stats for the current day here. )I'll usually put a note "up to [x]'s post"


Prediction Challenge: https://goo.gl/IXyVEW

See everyone's predictions here! I won't update the scores on the left until the end of each round!

Is three (or even two) too much?

Just premade the topic and it's like 30 Pokemon and it takes the focus off of each division? Maybe I'm too intense and people don't care that much? Let me know!

We'll start with 3 for the first day. If it seems like 2 will be too many, we will go back to 1 instead of 2.

mnkboy907 posted...

I say three because I won't be tracking anything and starting with a bang sounds better than a whimper.

Great suggestion!

Do we want to start with three divisions or one? We will be doing two per day, but there is an odd amount!

Contest begins in 22 hours! Get ready!

Of course!

Still looking for more participation in the prediction contest!

I think to ban rallying altogether, people will just rally smarter. I would rather not host a contest for fun and constantly be paranoid and having to run after people, etc.

I only don't support same-user accounts, but as long as individual humans want to come in vote, they have that right as a human being. It's really lame to say "um excuse me, you don't get to vote because somwone told you to vote."

Let the discussion begin.

It didn't seem like a big deal last time! How do you prove/disprove anyways?

Oricorio is in an unfortunate group, I think. Definitely my favourite gen 7! I think my favourite gen 6 is in trouble too!

Dragonair
Fennekin
Flygon
Furfrou
Goodra
Mewtwo
Passimian
Sceptile
Torracat
Toucannon

Nice analysis, Luster! Don't underestimate Starmie!

Is the evening crowd around now?

up!

Random did very good splitting up gen 7 Pokemon. Almost one per division!

PREDICTION CHALLENGE IS UP!
http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/8-gamefaqs-contests/74894376#2

Good luck. I've added in another prize! Should be fun :)

And I just realized that we failed to get Smoochum into the competition, which means last place is up for grabs again!

Here we go! Things are finally getting underway. Our 250 Pokemon have been selected and the divisions have been created. I used a random method to create the divisions, but I went through them all to see if any were too stacked. Having divisions very in stack-ness is okay, as it creates some drama early on. Please keep the discussion rolling as discussion keeps the contests alive and exciting.

DIVISIONS and results can be seen here:
POTY 2017: https://goo.gl/Xcb9af
POTY 2016: https://goo.gl/91e98Z

I could post divisions in the topic, but I think it creates too much to scroll through. Let me know if you think otherwise, and I can post them here!


PREDICTION CHALLENGE:
I've learned from last year. Last year was a lot of work to keep up with, only 10 people participated, and it was overall a hassle to remember to put in your predictions. This year, it will require effort only at the beginning and then you can monitor your progress throughout the competition. There will be bonus points for voting each day, but you are certainly not out if you miss days.

The winner of the PREDICTION CHALLENGE will receive a special momento, created and signed by yours truly, and be in the official POTY Hall of Fame. Runner-up will also be mentioned, but no special momento for them!

Keep an eye out for the PREDICTION CHALLENGE in about 2-3 hours!


OFFICIAL start date will be Friday, January 27 at 9pm EST. May the best Pokemon win!

We took the easy way out!

http://imgur.com/a/kNe5A

HaRRicH posted...

This is actually Nappaning.

#TheNappaning

LOL!!!