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TopicWhat's the best game you played this decade that didn't make the bracket?
Kotetsu534
04/09/20 12:57:49 PM
#40
Catherine - enjoyable style and concept.

I guess VC4 too (but it's no VC1).

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Topic~GotD10s Spread Betting~ Day 15 feat. Skyrim (-72), FFXIV(-38)
Kotetsu534
04/09/20 12:55:46 PM
#9
Change! Cancel both bets

Half parlay on Subnautica, Journey and Mario Kart 8

I just saw the Crew's analysis absolutely slam Fate/GO for being a mobile gacha game and I'm persuaded this site will take the same view. Journey may be crap, but at least we'll see it as a legitmate video game!

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Topic~GotD10s Spread Betting~ Day 15 feat. Skyrim (-72), FFXIV(-38)
Kotetsu534
04/09/20 12:47:31 PM
#7
HALF parlay on Subnautica and MK8
25% on Fate/Grand Order

  1. 86% is crazy! Not even The Witcher and BOTW managed that. Only poor Obra Dinn got pushed so low against Mario.
  2. MK8 should win easily over UC4. It's series has declined and even at its peak kept disappointing. Shame because it's a really fun plot-driven series!
  3. Journey was absolute hot trash in the last contest, unable to break 15% on FFVII (one of the all-time most anti-voted games). Fate/GO is almost certainly comparable trash, but it should be able to get over 40% on it... right?
  4. FFXIV/CotN could finish anywhere between high 50s and mid 70s and I wouldn't be surprised. CotN's developers made that Zelda tie-in that makes me very nervous that it isn't complete crap like some other indies.

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Topic~Game of the Decade Spread Betting~ Results/Discussion
Kotetsu534
04/09/20 10:40:11 AM
#84
Who else is checking in every 30-45 minutes to see if Diablo is still rising?

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TopicGame of the Decade: 2010-2019 Contest Analysis Crew - Part 2
Kotetsu534
04/09/20 10:01:28 AM
#422
direshall posted...
Not sure if Skyrim will beat Dark Souls. It will be a battle between two game design philosophy, one centered on roleplaying and storytelling and the other centered on tight gameplay and patterns. The GOTD will probably be one of these two.

The GOTD will be determined according to the LAW, unless anarchic revolutionaries overwhelm us.

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TopicContest Stats and Discussion - Part 1337 *leet edition*
Kotetsu534
04/09/20 8:24:35 AM
#215
FFX v Melee would have been pretty close based on Melee 55/45 over KHII. Probably narrow win for Melee. Plus ca change.

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TopicGame of the Decade: 2010-2019 Contest Analysis Crew - Guest Sign-ups for Round 2
Kotetsu534
04/09/20 8:22:33 AM
#10
The Legend of Zelda: Breath of the Wild vs. Halo: Reach -
Final Fantasy XV vs. Hollow Knight - MetalmindStats
Monster Hunter: World vs. Sekiro: Shadows Die Twice -
Bastion vs. Dragon Quest XI: Echoes of an Elusive Age -

Mass Effect 2 vs. Fallout 4 -
Borderlands 2 vs. Horizon Zero Dawn - Kotetsu534
Resident Evil 2 vs. DOOM - Sniperdog117
Fire Emblem: Awakening vs. Bloodborne -

Super Smash Bros. Ultimate vs. The Legend of Zelda: A Link Between Worlds -
Marvel's Spider-Man vs. Minecraft - SuperNiceDog
Octopath Traveler vs. Shovel Knight - SwiftyDC
Devil May Cry 5 vs. Super Mario Odyssey -

Grand Theft Auto V vs. Cuphead - Luster Soldier
Persona 4 Golden vs. Red Dead Redemption - DoomTheGyarados
Xenoblade Chronicles vs. Overwatch - BT
Ori and the Blind Forest vs. Fire Emblem: Three Houses -

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TopicContest Stats and Discussion - Part 1337 *leet edition*
Kotetsu534
04/08/20 8:54:17 PM
#100
Advokaiser posted...
Who actually said Batman had no chance against Xenoblade 2?

And Xenoblade 1 is still stronger by a longshot.

The guru was 132-10 in favour of Batman. Maybe there was a vocal minority...

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Topic~Game of the Decade Spread Betting~ Results/Discussion
Kotetsu534
04/08/20 8:52:18 PM
#79
Diablo and TLOU aren't giving up - keep on going up! My guess is TLOU will get over 80 but D3 will fall short.

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Topic~Game of the Decade Spread Betting~ Results/Discussion
Kotetsu534
04/08/20 8:41:36 PM
#77
Well if TLOU can't recover I'm out.

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Topic~Game of the Decade Spread Betting~ Results/Discussion
Kotetsu534
04/08/20 8:16:22 PM
#75
Diablo you turd.

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TopicContest Stats and Discussion - Part 1336
Kotetsu534
04/08/20 8:10:01 PM
#473
Oxbridge posted...
Why would Xenoblade win the board vote? 90% of Gurus took Batman and we all know how much bracket voting B8 does in the 1st 5 minutes.

The first two minutes Batman blasted it, then the last three minutes XBC2 stalled it. I'd guess most of us vote right at the start.

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TopicContest Stats and Discussion - Part 1336
Kotetsu534
04/08/20 8:09:11 PM
#470
I bet the game to underperform its average Oracle prediction in R1 is The Witness.

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TopicContest Stats and Discussion - Part 1336
Kotetsu534
04/08/20 8:06:44 PM
#455
Batman didn't extend its lead the last 3 minutes till the freeze. XBC2 probably has a good board vote, but it may be in trouble.

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Topic~GotD10s Spread Betting~ Day 14 feat. Batman (-28), The Last of Us (-60)
Kotetsu534
04/08/20 8:03:35 PM
#30
That Diablo start is not encouraging.

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TopicGame of the Decade 2 Oracle Challenge - Round 1 Divisions 7-8
Kotetsu534
04/08/20 7:56:44 PM
#44
The Last of Us - 84%

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Topic~GotD10s Spread Betting~ Day 14 feat. Batman (-28), The Last of Us (-60)
Kotetsu534
04/08/20 7:56:06 PM
#27
I can't afford to leave money on the table... all-in!

33% on TLOU > 80%

So I have two bets on.

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TopicContest Stats and Discussion - Part 1336
Kotetsu534
04/08/20 7:43:23 PM
#420
I'm really interested to see how Terraria does actually. It could completely bomb and get easily doubled by a pretty weak game, or it could do respectably, or it could even challenge for the win. I really have no feel for the extent this kind of "slow burn" indie with a huge playrate would pentrate GameFAQs (my guess is "not very much"). Minecraft got a bit of strength, but it's a global phenomenon (the kind of game that is known even by non-gamers).

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TopicGame of the Decade: 2010-2019 Contest Analysis Crew - Part 2
Kotetsu534
04/08/20 7:38:25 PM
#395
Oh of course! There's so many matches in this contest I keep forgetting!

TLoU with 82% of the vote (I promise I scrolled straight past you guys' scores so I'm not cheating!)

Crusader Kings II is one of those games that on a different part of the internet is revered. Here, it's been in one poll where it got 2%, quintupled by FTL and absolute destroyed by the mighty XCOM. Yeah. The Last of Us was around in 2015 and did reasonably well - it doubled Halo 3 and got 60/40'd by KHII, which was disappointing at the time but KH2 did surprisingly well against Melee. Since then TLoU's sequel has received continued hype at big conferences and it just gets a lot of respect generally. It should crush CKII.

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TopicContest Stats and Discussion - Part 1336
Kotetsu534
04/08/20 7:05:22 PM
#413
If you'd take Terraria over Minecraft it'll probably win here - Minecraft got mid-40s on Halo: Combat Evolved, which should be stronger than Bioshock Infinite (which lost to Fallout: NV in 2015).

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Topic~GotD10s Spread Betting~ Day 14 feat. Batman (-28), The Last of Us (-60)
Kotetsu534
04/08/20 5:42:16 PM
#14
Change:

66% parlay on Xenoblade Chronicles 2, Diablo III and The Last of Us

Got cold feet on Bioshock - just no info on Terraria and it's probably pretty strong as far as indies go.

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TopicGame of the Decade 2 Oracle Challenge - Round 1 Divisions 7-8
Kotetsu534
04/08/20 5:32:36 PM
#19
Batman: Arkham City - 57%
BioShock Infinite - 64%
Diablo III - 72%
The Last of Us - 82%

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Topic~GotD10s Spread Betting~ Day 14 feat. Batman (-28), The Last of Us (-60)
Kotetsu534
04/08/20 4:54:58 PM
#13
HALF parlay on Xenoblade Chronicles 2, Bioshock Infinite, Diablo III and The Last of Us

Let's see, XBC2 v Arkham City. XBC2 managed to get 10% with SMO and BOTW in the poll - it shouldn't struggle to avoid being doubled by AC if it can do that. I think there's even an outside shot it wins this match!

Bioshock Infinite v Terraria. There was a lot of hype and a bit of backlash as I recall for Infinite (I certainly enjoyed it much less than I expected), but it still did alright in the 2013 GOTYs. Terraria lost easily to Bastion. I'll risk Bioshock getting the doubling here, but it might flop.

Diablo III v Zero Escape. I'm a little bit scared by this one. Zero Escape got 21% on ME2 and even if ME2 underperformed there's no way it won't do several points better on D3. D3 was also one of Blizzard's more controversial games so it'll probably get antivoted somewhat - I could see a KH3 style percentage. Still, it's x-stat from 2015 is absolutely awful.

The Last Of Us v Crusader Kings II. CKII was in one poll in this site's history and it got 2%. FTL got 10% and XCOM got 34%. TLoU is probably stronger than when it was doubling Halo 3. Think it joins the 80% club tomorrow.

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TopicContest Stats and Discussion - Part 1336
Kotetsu534
04/08/20 5:38:29 AM
#314
We were all going "woah The Witness is weak" when it was getting tripled in the first 10 minutes.

It is now struggling not to be quadrupled.

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Topic~GotD10s Spread Betting~ Day 13 feat. Dark Souls (-62), MGSV (-48)
Kotetsu534
04/08/20 5:35:43 AM
#41
MGSV looks like it's stalling out at 72%. I think Dark Souls/DBZ/Yakuza/MGSV are home and dry!

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TopicContest Stats and Discussion - Part 1336
Kotetsu534
04/07/20 8:18:28 PM
#101
That whole, er, dropping 2% in one update thing you did there, Dark Souls... please stop it.

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TopicContest Stats and Discussion - Part 1336
Kotetsu534
04/07/20 8:16:27 PM
#96
That's the move where Goku lands a clean punch on Rocket League's head and we get a slomo. We're gonna see the same clip over and over and over...

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TopicContest Stats and Discussion - Part 1336
Kotetsu534
04/07/20 8:07:45 PM
#62
KamikazePotato posted...
Was hoping for a bit better of a performance from Dark Souls.

Still time - indie games have tended to start well then drop. [Says the guy desperately hoping Dark Souls makes 81% for his spread bet.]

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TopicContest Stats and Discussion - Part 1336
Kotetsu534
04/07/20 8:04:36 PM
#47
The Witness is going to be an all time weak entry. It still amazes me that there can actually be blowouts with games this weak.

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Topic~GotD10s Spread Betting~ Day 13 feat. Dark Souls (-62), MGSV (-48)
Kotetsu534
04/07/20 8:03:03 PM
#39
Oh man I'm excited I might actually hit my 4-way!

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TopicContest Stats and Discussion - Part 1336
Kotetsu534
04/07/20 8:01:49 PM
#29
Goku showing up early.

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Topic~GotD10s Spread Betting~ Day 13 feat. Dark Souls (-62), MGSV (-48)
Kotetsu534
04/07/20 8:00:04 PM
#38
Also yes I intentionally switched from Hotline Miami.

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TopicGame of the Decade 2 Oracle Challenge - Round 1 Divisions 3-8
Kotetsu534
04/07/20 7:58:49 PM
#417
Rocket League - 54%

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Topic~GotD10s Spread Betting~ Day 13 feat. Dark Souls (-62), MGSV (-48)
Kotetsu534
04/07/20 7:58:04 PM
#37
Change

Half parlay on Dark Souls, Dragon Ball FighterZ, Yakuza 0 and Dead Cells

I'm getting cold feet on Rocket League... how many people here give a damn about it?

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TopicWhat do you think is the most revolutionary game you've ever played?
Kotetsu534
04/07/20 6:04:33 PM
#19
MGS or OoT (released very close together and both - for different reasons - made most of their contemporaries look a half-decade behind).

For single player gaming anyway. For online multiplayer probably DOTA2.

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TopicGame of the Decade 2 Oracle Challenge - Round 1 Divisions 3-8
Kotetsu534
04/07/20 2:51:14 PM
#388
Dark Souls - 79%
Rocket League - 60%
Yakuza 0 - 63.5%
Metal Gear Solid V: The Phantom Pain - 66.66%

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Topic~GotD10s Spread Betting~ Day 13 feat. Dark Souls (-62), MGSV (-48)
Kotetsu534
04/07/20 12:23:22 PM
#13
Half parlay on Hotline Miami, Rocket League, Yakuza 0 and Dead Cells

On reflection, the only games to break 80% so far are:

LoZ: BOTW (85% on The Outer Worlds)
SMG2 (87% on Obra Dinn)
God of War (85% on The Talos Principle)
Witcher 3 (84% on Assassin's Creed Odyssey)
SMO (83% on MK11)
SSBU (83% on Tekken 7)
RDR2 - vs. Dying Light (fractionally over 81% v Dying Light, still running)
Horizon (81% on Fortnite)
Bloodborne (80.5% on Black Ops)

So so far you've either needed to be Big N, you were the Star of the Round (Witcher 3) and probably benefitted from SFF, or you scrape over 80% against something that gets mass antivoted (Horizon/Bloodborne), or you are against something truly unknown and you're very strong (God of War, maybe RDR2). 81% is really bloody hard to hit, even with all the blowouts we've had.

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TopicWhat did you have for breakfast this morning? A daily topic.
Kotetsu534
04/07/20 11:27:28 AM
#26
Egg mashed in a cup and toast.

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TopicFinal Fantasy VII Remake Review Zone
Kotetsu534
04/07/20 11:26:25 AM
#82
Wasn't the PC version of FFXIII a bit of a mess or am I misremembering another game? I know XIV was a shambles on release.

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TopicContest Stats and Discussion - Part 1335
Kotetsu534
04/07/20 10:37:33 AM
#464
I think this is more of a turd performance by KH3 than Portal. There's at least a chance that Tomb Raider has managed to get a little bit of strength with the fairly decent reception Rise of the Tome Raider got... I don't think I could even try to convince myself that GameFAQs cares about Disco Elysium at all.

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Topic~GotD10s Spread Betting~ Day 13 feat. Dark Souls (-62), MGSV (-48)
Kotetsu534
04/07/20 9:10:33 AM
#10
Change:

Half parlay on Dark Souls, Rocket League, Yakuza 0 and Dead Cells

Let's see...

Dark Souls doubled Civ V back in 2015, and Dark Souls III blew out Dishonored. I'd obviously take both of those games to blast Hotline Miami so it should be joining the 80%+ club here. Maybe it misses fractionally.

Rocket League is actually a game with some respect and a massive playrate. It went even with Shovel Knight in 2015 and that's probably a reasonable read on its strength. DBZF is just living on franchise value, which isn't likely to be enough (it lost to Ni No Kuni 2... I didn't even know there was a Ni No Kuni 2).

Yakuza 0 is probably really weak, but The Witness managed to lose to INSIDE. Weakest match in the bracket?

There's no reason why Dead Cells shouldn't get tripled by MGSV based on their polling histories, but I have a weird feeling respect for MGS has just fallen off what with the mess Konami have been since its release and Kojima's weird Death Stranding project probably hasn't helped either. I see a weird underperformance that probably drops it into the high 60s/low 70s.


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Topic~GotD10s Spread Betting~ Day 13 feat. Dark Souls (-62), MGSV (-48)
Kotetsu534
04/07/20 9:00:38 AM
#8
HALF parlay on Dark Souls, Rocket League, Yakuza 0 and MGSV

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TopicPost Final Fantasy songs for me to rate.
Kotetsu534
04/07/20 12:42:17 AM
#362
From the punctual to the jovial

FFX-2 - Rikku's Theme
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CPjT_UgmqNI&list=PL0F07A6AAE78073A5&index=39

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TopicGame of the Decade 2 Oracle Challenge - Round 1 Divisions 3-8
Kotetsu534
04/06/20 11:23:20 PM
#374
Dark Souls - 80%
Rocket League - 62.5%
Yakuza 0 - 57%
Metal Gear Solid V: The Phantom Pain - 63%

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Topic~GotD10s Spread Betting~ Day 12 feat. Red Dead Redemption 2 (-56)/Portal 2 (-34)
Kotetsu534
04/06/20 10:28:08 PM
#32
Nintendogs posted...
Portal is largely considered to have underperformed in the 2015 contest.


Hmm, let's see... it did about 13 points worse than KHII on Melee?! I can see why people thought that then. I remembered KHII as being worth 41-43% on that level of near elite at its peak, but I guess it went up.

Need some KH day vote magic to pull this spread off, and Portal to rise a bit (possible!).

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Topic~GotD10s Spread Betting~ Day 12 feat. Red Dead Redemption 2 (-56)/Portal 2 (-34)
Kotetsu534
04/06/20 5:28:16 PM
#14
HALF parlay on Portal 2, Animal Crossing, Kingdom Hearts 3 and Red Dead Redemption 2

Reasoning:

Portal 2: Portal games did pretty well in 2015 - 32% on Melee and >45% on Sonic 2 is no joke. Back in GOTD I remember Portal hilariously crushing FFXII in a debated match. Portal's never really had a huge blowout win, but Tomb Raider has looked very soft in most of its polls over the last decade and I'm really not convinced this site is going to care about it much - Uncharted is pitched more squarely at this site's audience and it's never been very strong. Not much to go on but I feel good about Portal 2 doubling TR.

Animal Crossing: New Leaf got a tripling off SMW in a SFF match. SFV got 1.8% in one of those ridiculous 9 way polls - you can say they're worthless, but still 1.8%! Another poll it was in saw it get 2.5%. Maybe it can avoid the doubling off franchise value, but I think modern fighters not named Smash are just not getting a hearing here, while AC has a recent release going for it (certainly didn't hurt Nioh or Ori).

Kingdom Hearts III: There's some danger here, but DE is probably too niche to capitalise on the weak reception for KH3. Doubling Baba Is You is one thing, but it went and let an anti-vote magnet like GTA hit 80%. The only post-release KH3's ever been in saw it beat DMC5 - which did none too bad against Donkey Kong Country, so I'm encouraged.

RDR2: Nothing obvious to stop it from joining the 80%+ like so many other big names in this contest when put up against ultra fodder.


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TopicContest Stats and Discussion - Part 1335
Kotetsu534
04/06/20 5:02:48 AM
#286
I'm sure I remember some wild warring after that 2008 poll where RBY and GSC got 50% combined against Majora's Mask and MGS. Was PokeFEAR real? Well...

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TopicGame of the Decade: 2010-2019 Contest Analysis Crew - Part 2
Kotetsu534
04/06/20 3:43:18 AM
#266
I have a bit of a theory (which hasn't been substantiated) that these same-y sequels that don't improve anything actually hurt the original game more than bad sequels. What made the original game cool and unique fades with each sequel, while all the bad things get repeated and make people wonder why they liked the original game at all; this is a sentiment I often see when talking about the TR reboot trilogy. At least a bad sequel makes people clamor for the good ol' days...

This is pretty insightful I think. The approach of many big western devs when they hit on something with mass market appeal is to play it extremely safe with repeated releases, which tends to result in games that are frankly a bit boring, even if well made and not rushed out the door. Whereas our old friends Square and (to a lesser but still noticeable extent) Nintendo tend to make pretty significant changes to their big IPs over the years, building nostalgia for the elements we remembered enjoying.

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TopicContest Stats and Discussion - Part 1335
Kotetsu534
04/05/20 9:47:59 PM
#228
I don't think you need to have strength to beat something like The Talos Principle.

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TopicPost Final Fantasy songs for me to rate.
Kotetsu534
04/05/20 9:46:58 PM
#353
From the wistful to the punctual

FFX - The Summoning
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=48ftZWil5C4

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