Lurker > LusterSoldier

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TopicGame of the Decade 2 Oracle Challenge Discussion + Team Sign-Up Topic
LusterSoldier
05/09/20 9:33:51 PM
#312
Team Rocket Elite posted...
Rikku over Lenneth Valkyrie with 75.00%


That one still haunts me because I had a 74.99% on that match and later got a perfect in the same contest, so I came within 0.01% of having 2 perfects in one contest (which no one has done). Even worse, I didn't make the top 5 for that match because the entire top 5 was filled with perfect predictions, so I had to settle for 8th place despite a 49.99 score.
---
Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as Advokaiser, Guru Champ!
TopicGame of the Decade: 2010-2019 Contest Analysis Crew - Part 6
LusterSoldier
05/09/20 8:25:51 PM
#208
@Master_Moltar

What are you planning to do with guest sign-ups for the last 2 rounds of the contest? I know the sign-ups for the late rounds tend to be held in the actual Crew discussion topic instead of a separate sign-up topic. But we're less than 24 hours away from needing a guest for the next match.
---
Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as Advokaiser, Guru Champ!
TopicContest Stats and Discussion - Part 1359
LusterSoldier
05/09/20 8:22:57 PM
#180
_SecretSquirrel posted...
https://gamefaqs1.cbsistatic.com/images/contest/gotd-r5/w3-Sharinnegan.jpg
https://gamefaqs1.cbsistatic.com/images/contest/gotd-r5/w3-MechanicalWall.png

https://gamefaqs1.cbsistatic.com/images/contest/gotd-r5/sk-_SecretSquirrel.png
https://gamefaqs1.cbsistatic.com/images/contest/gotd-r5/sk-Reala.png

I just didn't know which users Witcher 3 got the pics from, and I'd never guess Sk for Skyrim shorthand.


Yeah, "sk" for Skyrim is something I would never have considered, but I totally considered "w3" as a very real possibility for Witcher. It just happened that both of Witcher's pics came from first time submitters in this contest.
---
Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as Advokaiser, Guru Champ!
TopicGame of the Decade 2 Oracle Challenge - Round 6
LusterSoldier
05/09/20 8:10:07 PM
#6
The Legend of Zelda: Breath of the Wild - 65.59%
---
Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as Advokaiser, Guru Champ!
Topic* Game of the Decade 2020 First Vote Championship! *
LusterSoldier
05/09/20 8:08:08 PM
#138
2nd vote, 2nd for Persona 5
2nd vote, 1st for Dark Souls
---
Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as Advokaiser, Guru Champ!
TopicContest Stats and Discussion - Part 1359
LusterSoldier
05/09/20 7:24:18 PM
#59
Leonhart4 posted...
Are we talking bonus matches? If last time is any indication and we get a full slate of 4, we'll get the semifinal losers paired up. Ultimate vs. Skyrim/Dark Souls would be worth seeing and could at least give us a point of reference for X-Stats adjustments, even if they wouldn't be totally accurate.


The third place match between the 2 games that lose in the semifinals seems like the most obvious candidate for a bonus match. The contest winner vs. Majora's Mask seems like the second most likely bonus match to happen.

After that, it's a wide open discussion for the other 2 bonus matches if we're going to get a full set of 4 matches after the final.
---
Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as Advokaiser, Guru Champ!
TopicGame of the Decade 2 Battle Challenge - Rounds 4 and beyond
LusterSoldier
05/09/20 6:18:50 PM
#55
The Witcher 3: Wild Hunt
The Elder Scrolls V: Skyrim
---
Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as Advokaiser, Guru Champ!
TopicGame of the Decade of the Year ROUND 1: Division 1 [GotDotY]
LusterSoldier
05/09/20 6:17:32 PM
#15
+3 The Legend of Zelda: Breath of the Wild
+2 Sekiro: Shadows Die Twice
+1 Binding of Isaac: Rebirth
-1 Night in the Woods
-2 Radiant Historia
-3 The House in Fata Morgana
---
Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as Advokaiser, Guru Champ!
TopicGame of the Decade 2 Oracle Challenge - Round 5
LusterSoldier
05/09/20 4:35:30 AM
#81
The Elder Scrolls V: Skyrim - 51.38%
---
Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as Advokaiser, Guru Champ!
TopicContest Stats and Discussion - Part 1358
LusterSoldier
05/09/20 3:55:35 AM
#397
Dark Souls vs. The Last of Us
Registered Vote Result:
Dark Souls - 5353 (59.35%)
The Last of Us - 3667 (40.65%)

Anonymous Vote Result:
Dark Souls - 4213 (55.82%)
The Last of Us - 3335 (44.18%)

The Elder Scrolls V: Skyrim vs. Pokemon HeartGold / SoulSilver Version
Registered Vote Result:
The Elder Scrolls V: Skyrim - 5338 (59.16%)
Pokemon HeartGold / SoulSilver Version - 3685 (40.84%)

Anonymous Vote Result:
The Elder Scrolls V: Skyrim - 4635 (61.40%)
Pokemon HeartGold / SoulSilver Version - 2914 (38.60%)

Dark Souls and Pokemon HGSS both did better with registered users. Dark Souls did about 3.5% better with registered users, and HGSS was slightly over 2% better.

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1kFS3SfH6sAhPdS85H7BpuFIkr9SayeF7AhMw-wrEBng/pub
---
Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as Advokaiser, Guru Champ!
TopicHow many +50s do you have in second chance?
LusterSoldier
05/09/20 3:47:24 AM
#13
2

Mass Effect 2 and Persona 5
---
Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as Advokaiser, Guru Champ!
TopicThe Show EP 7 - A Xeno/Persona Classic and Picking the Last Week, w/ azuarc!
LusterSoldier
05/08/20 9:20:00 PM
#34
As of right now, I have started listening to this episode.
---
Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as Advokaiser, Guru Champ!
TopicContest Stats and Discussion - Part 1358
LusterSoldier
05/08/20 9:07:12 PM
#316
HaRRicH posted...


Respect.

How many accounts did you submit this year and what's your range of scores?


15 different accounts for the Second Chance contest. I focused most heavily on Smash/Mario, Dark Souls/Skyrim, and The Witcher 3/Persona 5 as the most important matches to get correct in order to correctly predict the winner of all 15 matches. I also had a few brackets attempt to consider the possibility of RE2 > ME2 and The Witcher 3 winning the entire contest through a rally.

The current range of scores for my Second Chance bracket entries is 278 to 376.
---
Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as Advokaiser, Guru Champ!
TopicContest Stats and Discussion - Part 1358
LusterSoldier
05/08/20 8:47:22 PM
#296
XIII_rocks posted...


*chef's kiss*


Those are 2 of my accounts on the Second Chance leaderboard. I have a few other Pokemon usernames on the leaderboard, but they all have unique entries, so they can't all stay on the leaderboard before the contest ends.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as Advokaiser, Guru Champ!
Topic* Game of the Decade 2020 First Vote Championship! *
LusterSoldier
05/08/20 8:14:34 PM
#132
1st vote, 1st for Mass Effect 2
1st vote, 1st for Super Smash Bros. Ultimate

https://i.imgur.com/XTrC7jO.png
https://i.imgur.com/HXUer6m.png
---
Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as Advokaiser, Guru Champ!
TopicGame of the Decade 2 Oracle Challenge - Round 5
LusterSoldier
05/08/20 7:58:59 PM
#61
Super Smash Bros. Ultimate - 60.22%
---
Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as Advokaiser, Guru Champ!
TopicThe Show EP 7 - A Xeno/Persona Classic and Picking the Last Week, w/ azuarc!
LusterSoldier
05/08/20 6:57:35 PM
#27
Downloading this episode RIGHT NOW

Will listen to it after the next set of matches start.
---
Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as Advokaiser, Guru Champ!
TopicHow many perfect divisions did you have?
LusterSoldier
05/08/20 6:39:44 PM
#10
Division 2 and 5
---
Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as Advokaiser, Guru Champ!
TopicGame of the Decade 2 Oracle Challenge - Round 5
LusterSoldier
05/08/20 5:07:18 PM
#46
The Legend of Zelda: Breath of the Wild - 67.58%
Super Smash Bros. Ultimate - 59.22%
The Witcher 3: Wild Hunt - 55.69%
---
Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as Advokaiser, Guru Champ!
TopicContest Stats and Discussion - Part 1358
LusterSoldier
05/07/20 10:59:56 PM
#114
The Witcher 3: Wild Hunt vs. God of War
Registered Vote Result:
The Witcher 3: Wild Hunt - 5884 (65.14%)
God of War - 3149 (34.86%)

Anonymous Vote Result:
The Witcher 3: Wild Hunt - 5328 (63.07%)
God of War - 3120 (36.93%)

Persona 5 vs. Portal 2
Registered Vote Result:
Persona 5 - 5159 (57.11%)
Portal 2 - 3874 (42.89%)

Anonymous Vote Result:
Persona 5 - 4921 (58.24%)
Portal 2 - 3528 (41.76%)

Portal 2 did about 1% better with registered users, but you can blame that on the Persona 5 rally. Persona 5 did better with registered users in round 1 and 2, but that was not the case here. I estimated the rally brought in around 300 to 500 votes based on the percentage of registered users in these matches. That ends up being a fairly small rally that won't save Persona 5 against The Witcher 3 if its natural strength is well below The Witcher 3. The Persona fanbase is going to have to step up their rallying efforts even more just to compete against The Witcher 3.

Extra info and past results - https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1kFS3SfH6sAhPdS85H7BpuFIkr9SayeF7AhMw-wrEBng/pub
---
Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as Advokaiser, Guru Champ!
TopicIs the second chance bracket it's own thing for prizes?
LusterSoldier
05/07/20 10:43:30 PM
#2
The Second Chance bracket has its own set of prizes.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as Advokaiser, Guru Champ!
TopicGame of the Decade 2 Battle Challenge - Rounds 4 and beyond
LusterSoldier
05/07/20 8:50:10 PM
#35
The Legend of Zelda: Breath of the Wild
Super Smash Bros. Ultimate
---
Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as Advokaiser, Guru Champ!
TopicGame of the Decade 2 Oracle Challenge Discussion + Team Sign-Up Topic
LusterSoldier
05/07/20 8:23:46 PM
#306
Second time in less than 3 days that I was 0.01% off from having a perfect prediction. This time, I was off by 0.01% on Persona 5.

Still trying to chase my second career perfect prediction.
---
Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as Advokaiser, Guru Champ!
TopicGame of the Decade: 2010-2019 Contest Analysis Crew - Part 6
LusterSoldier
05/07/20 8:12:05 PM
#105
Dark Souls over 60%. Maybe the backlash factor is actually real here. Though I expect TLoU rises during the night vote since the game is known to have a good Europe vote based on past matches.
---
Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as Advokaiser, Guru Champ!
Topic* Game of the Decade 2020 First Vote Championship! *
LusterSoldier
05/07/20 8:06:07 PM
#127
3rd vote, 3rd for Dark Souls
3rd vote, 3rd for Pokemon HeartGold / SoulSilver Version
---
Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as Advokaiser, Guru Champ!
TopicGame of the Decade 2 Oracle Challenge - Round 4
LusterSoldier
05/07/20 6:13:53 PM
#136
Dark Souls - 57.47%
---
Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as Advokaiser, Guru Champ!
TopicGame of the Decade: 2010-2019 Contest Analysis Crew - Part 6
LusterSoldier
05/07/20 5:24:38 PM
#98
LeonhartFour posted...
man what were the odds pre-contest that the highest Skyrim prediction here would be 55%


Not too different from what I picked in my Second Chance bracket, which was 54%. But it's quite possible that HGSS is a lot closer to MK8 than to Skyrim.
---
Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as Advokaiser, Guru Champ!
TopicRate That Pokemon DAy 1 - Kanto starters
LusterSoldier
05/07/20 3:12:44 AM
#18
Bulbasaur - 9
Ivysaur - 5
Venusaur - 6
Charmander - 8
Charmeleon - 5
Charizard - 9
Squirtle - 9
Wartortle - 4
Blastoise - 8

Mega Venusaur - 7
Mega Charizard X - 9
Mega Charizard Y - 6
Mega Blastoise - 9
---
Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as Advokaiser, Guru Champ!
TopicContest Stats and Discussion - Part 1357
LusterSoldier
05/07/20 3:08:08 AM
#289
Super Smash Bros. Ultimate vs. Super Mario Odyssey
Registered Vote Result:
Super Smash Bros. Ultimate - 5054 (56.62%)
Super Mario Odyssey - 3872 (43.38%)

Anonymous Vote Result:
Super Smash Bros. Ultimate - 4867 (54.57%)
Super Mario Odyssey - 4052 (45.43%)

Persona 4 Golden vs. Xenoblade Chronicles
Registered Vote Result:
Persona 4 Golden - 4405 (49.33%)
Xenoblade Chronicles - 4524 (50.67%)

Anonymous Vote Result:
Persona 4 Golden - 4524 (50.71%)
Xenoblade Chronicles - 4397 (49.29%)

Smash Ultimate had the advantage with registered users, but only by about 2%.

Xenoblade did have a registered user advantage, but it was less than a 1.5% difference. Even though there were rallies for P4G, the reason why P4G didn't do better than it should have with anonymous users is because Xenoblade also seemed to have a successful rally of its own. Both games appeared to have rallies, and they kind of canceled each other out. I estimated there were between 800 and 1200 rallied votes between both games combined, based on the percentage of registered users in these matches.

P4G also barely won the overall raw vote (by 8 votes), but it was the registered user bonus that prevented the rallies from being successful.

Extra info and past results - https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1kFS3SfH6sAhPdS85H7BpuFIkr9SayeF7AhMw-wrEBng/pub
---
Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as Advokaiser, Guru Champ!
TopicThe Show EP 6 - Winning the Official $500 Oracle Challenge, w/ Nick and TPLink!
LusterSoldier
05/06/20 8:18:59 PM
#142
Total number of Second Chance bracket entries - 5207

That's actually higher than I expected. For the last contest, we got 5712 entries for the Second Chance bracket.
---
Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as Advokaiser, Guru Champ!
TopicContest Stats and Discussion - Part 1357
LusterSoldier
05/06/20 8:14:25 PM
#142
Total number of Second Chance bracket entries - 5207

That's actually higher than I expected. For the last contest, we got 5712 entries for the Second Chance bracket.
---
Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as Advokaiser, Guru Champ!
Topic* Game of the Decade 2020 First Vote Championship! *
LusterSoldier
05/06/20 8:03:25 PM
#123
3rd vote, 2nd for The Witcher 3: Wild Hunt
6th vote, 4th for Persona 5

My vote for the first match went through at 8:00:13 PM EST, which is the latest time that I've seen new matches start outside of poll delays.
---
Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as Advokaiser, Guru Champ!
TopicGame of the Decade 2 Oracle Challenge - Round 4
LusterSoldier
05/06/20 7:57:00 PM
#121
The Witcher 3: Wild Hunt - 57.92%
Persona 5 - 57.46%
---
Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as Advokaiser, Guru Champ!
TopicContest Stats and Discussion - Part 1357
LusterSoldier
05/06/20 7:29:40 PM
#25
Team Rocket Elite posted...
If Xenoblade wins here it will be due to doubled registered voters, right?


Yeah, since P4G is actually winning based on just the raw votes alone.
---
Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as Advokaiser, Guru Champ!
TopicContest Stats and Discussion - Part 1356
LusterSoldier
05/06/20 4:04:21 AM
#267
X-Stat based rankings for the 2 most recent "favorite 5 game polls":



A couple of games have clearly gotten weaker, such as MGSV and Civ V.

Persona 5 and FFV are games that I think have gotten stronger, but how much of that is actually due to Skyrim getting weaker is unknown.

Skyrim looks to be the clear loser here. It got 28.31% in a 10-way poll back in 2018, but could only get 27.31% in an 8-way poll which looks like a clear drop in strength to me.

GTAV looks to have remained fairly stable, which is rather unfortunate for it as P4G just happened to be a lot stronger than we gave it credit for. GTAV looking better against Skyrim in 2020 is solely due to Skyrim dropping in strength.

---
Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as Advokaiser, Guru Champ!
TopicThe Show EP 6 - Winning the Official $500 Oracle Challenge, w/ Nick and TPLink!
LusterSoldier
05/05/20 10:28:11 PM
#136
LusterSoldier posted...
ME2 and RE2 are both pretty good with registered users. However, using the registered/anonymous user results are tricky here due to rallies affecting the final result in both round 2 and round 3 as both games shared a match day with Bloodborne which rallied in both rounds. There's also the problem of predicting who will end up with the registered user advantage once the 2 games finally do meet up in a direct match.

We did get to see ME2 go up against another Resident Evil game earlier in this contest where it had a registered user advantage over RE7. If that holds true against RE2 as well, you have to give ME2 a better chance of winning this match.


Even though ME2 had the registered user advantage over RE7, that was not the case against RE2. RE2 did about 2.5% better with registered users. The best explanation for this that a game like RE2 was better equipped to get a registered user advantage since this site likes nostalgia and RE2 is a remake of a game that falls into the prime "nostalgia zone" time period for this site. That's one thing that RE7 doesn't have going for it.
---
Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as Advokaiser, Guru Champ!
TopicContest Stats and Discussion - Part 1356
LusterSoldier
05/05/20 10:24:54 PM
#174
The Legend of Zelda: Breath of the Wild vs. Dragon Quest XI: Echoes of an Elusive Age
Registered Vote Result:
The Legend of Zelda: Breath of the Wild - 6270 (70.66%)
Dragon Quest XI: Echoes of an Elusive Age - 2604 (29.34%)

Anonymous Vote Result:
The Legend of Zelda: Breath of the Wild - 5162 (69.18%)
Dragon Quest XI: Echoes of an Elusive Age - 2300 (30.82%)

Mass Effect 2 vs. Resident Evil 2
Registered Vote Result:
Mass Effect 2 - 4593 (51.71%)
Resident Evil 2 - 4290 (48.29%)

Anonymous Vote Result:
Mass Effect 2 - 4050 (54.27%)
Resident Evil 2 - 3412 (45.73%)

Breath of the Wild did about 1.5% better with registered users, although Dragon Quest has also been pretty good with registered users in earlier rounds.

Resident Evil 2 did about 2.5% better with registered users, which makes it very unlikely the RE2 rally on Reddit had any noticeable impact on this match. ME2 did better with registered users against RE7, but RE2 ended up with the registered user advantage here. It could be that a game like RE2 was better equipped to get a registered user advantage since this site likes nostalgia and RE2 is a remake of a game that falls into the prime "nostalgia zone" time period for this site.

The percentage of registered users was higher than usual for a match that took place after round 1, with roughly 54.33% registered users as a whole for these 2 matches. That was probably to be expected with this being the first day of matches after returning from the 6 day break, which was going to hurt anonymous users more than registered users.

Extra info and past results - https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1kFS3SfH6sAhPdS85H7BpuFIkr9SayeF7AhMw-wrEBng/pub
---
Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as Advokaiser, Guru Champ!
TopicContest Stats and Discussion - Part 1356
LusterSoldier
05/05/20 9:28:25 PM
#157
Team Rocket Elite posted...
There's no way SSBU actually reaches 59.79%, right?


Europe is going to prevent that from happening, since Smash is very weak in Europe. One of the few times Mario will have a good night vote.
---
Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as Advokaiser, Guru Champ!
TopicGame of the Decade: 2010-2019 Contest Analysis Crew - Guest Sign-ups for Round 4
LusterSoldier
05/05/20 8:58:32 PM
#13
Dark Souls vs. The Last of Us - Luster Soldier
The Elder Scrolls V: Skyrim vs. Pokemon HeartGold / SoulSilver Version -
---
Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as Advokaiser, Guru Champ!
TopicContest Stats and Discussion - Part 1356
LusterSoldier
05/05/20 8:45:28 PM
#128
lordjers posted...
You think FF5 will get past GTAV just in time???


GTAV is currently winning today's regular poll, and this is after at least one person commented on FF5 winning over GTAV at the time of the post. Since then, GTAV has flipped the tables and has consistently beaten FF5 in all 3 "favorite 5 game" polls.
---
Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as Advokaiser, Guru Champ!
TopicGame of the Decade 2 Oracle Challenge Discussion + Team Sign-Up Topic
LusterSoldier
05/05/20 8:25:33 PM
#299
Oh yeah, I noticed that I was exactly 0.01% off from having my second career perfect prediction in the Oracle Challenge yesterday. Mass Effect 2 has failed me.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as Advokaiser, Guru Champ!
Topic* Game of the Decade 2020 First Vote Championship! *
LusterSoldier
05/05/20 8:11:44 PM
#120
5th vote, 2nd for Super Mario Odyssey

As for the other match, I might have gotten the first vote, but I am unsure because I accidentally pressed the backspace button to go back one page and submitted another attempt on the same tab. So I have a tab that shows 2nd vote, 2nd for Xenoblade Chronicles but with the message "A vote from your account has already been registered. You can only vote a single time in any given poll."

So there's a chance that I could have gotten the 1st vote, but I don't know unless TRE knows what vote he got on that match.
---
Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as Advokaiser, Guru Champ!
TopicGame of the Decade 2 Battle Challenge - Rounds 4 and beyond
LusterSoldier
05/05/20 7:59:19 PM
#25
Change Super Mario Odyssey to Super Smash Bros. Ultimate
---
Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as Advokaiser, Guru Champ!
TopicContest Stats and Discussion - Part 1356
LusterSoldier
05/05/20 7:40:53 PM
#58
Where ME2 ends up finishing is important in my case since I picked it with 52% in my Second Chance bracket, so it need it to finish at 52.49% or lower for the perfect prediction.
---
Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as Advokaiser, Guru Champ!
TopicGame of the Decade: 2010-2019 Contest Analysis Crew - Part 5
LusterSoldier
05/05/20 7:33:39 PM
#486
Master Moltar posted...
#1 GameFAQs doesn't care about multiplayer anymore

Check this poll:

https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/7872-do-you-play-more-single-player-or-multiplayer-games

80% of the site doesn't play multiplayer. That is a lot. It's also a change of 10% from the previous version of this poll (2013). Let's be real, we don't have time to get a bunch of friends in our house to play smash anymore. Or if we do, most of our friends don't, even they are even living in the same city as we are. I have Brawl in my home and I've touched it maybe twice because, when I finally got Brawl, all the people I could play Smash with like in the old Melee times were living in other places. Online Ultimate is also kind of bad from what I hear, because Nintendo doesn't know how to make online multiplayer. Now, Smash single player is fun, but you know what is also fun? MARIO single player. I have a feeling Ultimate is this game everyone got excited about, maybe played a little of its single player, but then went back to MARIO, or ZELDA.


That may be true for local multiplayer, but it doesn't explain why online multiplayer has become less popular on this site.

Online multiplayer has gotten weaker for different reasons, the biggest of which is centered around the average age of the site's users being over 30 and many people now have full time jobs that make scheduling online multiplayer sessions even harder now. Finding one specific date and time for an online multiplayer session that works for the greatest number of people is very difficult because any specific date and time you can come up with will have at least some people who can't play at that time for various reasons (currently working, visiting family or friends, etc). Given the logistical difficulties that now factor into scheduling online multiplayer sessions, it's no wonder a lot of the site has scaled back or even completely eliminated online multiplayer from the time they spend playing video games.

I suppose the ongoing coronavirus situation makes it easier than usual to schedule online multiplayer sessions with other people, but that's only a temporary thing and would return to normal in the future.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as Advokaiser, Guru Champ!
TopicThe Show EP 6 - Winning the Official $500 Oracle Challenge, w/ Nick and TPLink!
LusterSoldier
05/05/20 6:27:09 PM
#128
I think what this poll is showing is that you can have somewhat reliable x-stat comparisons between the top games in this poll, but they became far more unreliable when you try to make comparisons involving at least one game near the bottom of the poll. You could make x-stat comparisons between any of the top 4 games from this poll and expect that they would be fairly close to what would happen in a contest. The bottom 4 games in the poll aren't good for any kind of x-stat comparisons due to their low percentages.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as Advokaiser, Guru Champ!
TopicGame of the Decade 2 Oracle Challenge - Round 4
LusterSoldier
05/05/20 6:20:42 PM
#90
Super Smash Bros. Ultimate - 51.20%
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as Advokaiser, Guru Champ!
TopicContest Stats and Discussion - Part 1355
LusterSoldier
05/05/20 10:53:14 AM
#490
Lolruz posted...
how is the amount of votes tracking compared to previous rounds? could we get to 30k votes?


We're currently about 2000 votes ahead of the first day of the contest. At this pace, we would be expected to break 25000 votes today,

We haven't even gotten above 30000 votes during this entire contest so far.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as Advokaiser, Guru Champ!
TopicContest Stats and Discussion - Part 1355
LusterSoldier
05/05/20 12:17:51 AM
#445
Team Rocket Elite posted...
Does Skyrim have a bad board vote in PotDs as well?


Looking at the previous versions of this poll, it doesn't seem like that's the case. However, FFVII has been documented to have a bad board vote in PotDs, which supports the fact that its bad early vote isn't caused by anti-votes but from early voters being less likely to have played the game.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as Advokaiser, Guru Champ!
TopicContest Stats and Discussion - Part 1355
LusterSoldier
05/05/20 12:01:05 AM
#437
Favorite "5" game poll today:

https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/8081-

This could be interesting to see where Skyrim stands in relation to the previous 2 times we had this poll.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as Advokaiser, Guru Champ!
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