Lurker > Xeybozn

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TopicBest recent US President Day 2
Xeybozn
11/03/20 5:42:07 PM
#4
So why did Obama dominate so much yesterday? He's not a bad choice, but I don't really see much reason for him to be so far ahead of everyone else. Is it just because he's the one we all remember firsthand?
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TopicTHE Snake Ranks Anything Horror Related (Vol. 5) *5th Anniversary* *RANKINGS*
Xeybozn
11/03/20 3:57:42 PM
#368
Great topic again this year, Snake. Just one question: Are you the "THE Snake" mentioned in the topic title, or are you a fake and some other Snake is going to start the real write-ups now?
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TopicYour First Thought 151: "2020 American presidential election winner"
Xeybozn
11/03/20 3:55:05 PM
#34
Trump

Ugh
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TopicBiden | 40,962,735 | 57.64% | Trump | 27,258,817 | 38.36% [Ng Election Tracker!]
Xeybozn
11/03/20 10:01:13 AM
#431
Alanna82 posted...
As someone who lives in Nebraska. I live in Lincoln, which is apparently NE district 1? I see Biden/Harris signs everywhere. Way more than I ever saw for Hillary/whoever. I also see barely any Trump signs. (I know district 1 has stuff outside of Lincoln, but no one is thinking this could be competitive, but it could be.)

Lincoln makes up less than half of the 1st district's population, and the rest of the district leans strongly towards the Republicans historically. Nobody's focusing on NE-1st because if Biden does well enough to win there, then he'll be overperforming by enough to win multiple red states nobody expects him to compete in.
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TopicBest Animated Series 2020 - Day 15 -feat.Neon Genesis Evangelion vs. Dragon Ball
Xeybozn
11/03/20 9:04:33 AM
#9
Evangelion
Phineas
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TopicPolitics Containment Topic 334: save_us.pa
Xeybozn
11/03/20 9:01:43 AM
#149
No idea if we're still posting maps, but here's some more predictions:

Senate: https://www.270towin.com/2020-senate-election/M3YYXa
(No winner picked in Georgia special election because it goes to a runoff.)

House: https://www.270towin.com/2020-house-election/j59XnxM
(TL:DR - Dems gain 13 seats, GOP loses 7)
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TopicPolitics Containment Topic 334: save_us.pa
Xeybozn
11/03/20 6:43:18 AM
#125
DeepsPraw posted...


Do people honestly believe this will happen?

If Trump loses, he might leave office without starting any violence. But he will never admit that he actually lost fairly.
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TopicPolitics Containment Topic 334: save_us.pa
Xeybozn
11/02/20 7:14:51 PM
#47
So are there any good reasons to actually watch the live election coverage tomorrow night? It'll be super stressful, there's nothing much we can to change the outcome (even potential protests against Trump shenanigans wouldn't happen until Wednesday), and the media probably won't be able to call a winner before the night ends anyway. Seems better to just do something else and check the results later.
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TopicBest recent US President Day 1
Xeybozn
11/02/20 4:59:45 PM
#6
LordoftheMorons posted...
LBJ is interesting; he very likely is the best president on domestic accomplishments here, but then Vietnam was a huge disaster.

For what it's worth, US involvement in Vietnam started before LBJ took office and any mainstream politician at the time probably screws it up at least that bad. And his domestic achievements might be more impressive than the rest of this list combined.
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TopicPolitics Containment Topic 333: Biden out The Storm [2020 Edition]
Xeybozn
11/02/20 4:05:53 PM
#476
Not_an_Owl posted...
What does it say about my faith in America that I'm actually astonished Republicans failed to steal an election in Texas, of all places?

I feel like Texas might actually have a better shot to go blue this year than Florida and/or Georgia in part because officials in Texas don't have nearly as much practice stealing elections.
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TopicPolitics Containment Topic 333: Biden out The Storm [2020 Edition]
Xeybozn
11/02/20 3:29:42 PM
#457
Homosexuals will overturn Fox News.

I'm not entirely sure what this means, but it does sound like an improvement.
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TopicI'm going to watch a Thanksgiving Movie every day in November
Xeybozn
11/02/20 11:05:35 AM
#19
jcgamer107 posted...
Are you going to watch Planes, Trains & Automobiles 30 times ?

redrocket posted...
There is nothing wrong with this

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TopicPolitics Containment Topic 333: Biden out The Storm [2020 Edition]
Xeybozn
11/02/20 11:00:47 AM
#425
Yet another prediction map:
https://www.270towin.com/maps/XwmOV

Everybody ready for Florida to disappoint us all again?
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TopicBest Animated Series 2020 - Day 14 - feat. Homestar Runner vs. Violet Evergarden
Xeybozn
11/02/20 8:00:19 AM
#4
Magic
Jack
Homestar
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TopicPolitics Containment Topic 333: Biden out The Storm [2020 Edition]
Xeybozn
11/02/20 4:48:43 AM
#400
StealThisSheen posted...

This may have been true in 2016, but I don't think it's true at all anymore. There's a reason their party platform right now is "Whatever Trump wants" and he gets literally no opposition from them whatsoever. I think he ended up being exactly what they actually wanted and they just didn't realize it back then.

Depends on who you mean. Trump is exactly what Republican voters want, but the party leadership is only sticking with Trump because he's more popular than them. The reason their only stated goals are "whatever Trump wants" is because even their own voters hate most of the GOP's real policy goals.
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TopicPolitics Containment Topic 333: Biden out The Storm [2020 Edition]
Xeybozn
11/01/20 8:22:10 PM
#336
So if the federal judge rules to throw out those ballots in Texas, how quickly do they actually get rid of them? Do they keep them for a potential appeal or just put them straight in the trash?
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TopicPolitics Containment Topic 333: Biden out The Storm [2020 Edition]
Xeybozn
11/01/20 5:19:25 PM
#316
Suprak the Stud posted...
https://www.axios.com/trump-claim-election-victory-ballots-97eb12b9-5e35-402f-9ea3-0ccfb47f613f.html

Tuesday is going to be a trainwreck.

Hey, all of this is perfectly normal. Remember how in 2004 we didn't know who the election on Election Night, so W claimed Kerry rigged the election and tried to get his supporters to start a civil war? Heck, I bet Obama was planning even worse things if the deep state hadn't made his fake wins so convincing.
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Topicit's official
Xeybozn
11/01/20 3:53:48 PM
#19
65 is actually pretty young for a dragon, isn't it?
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TopicPolitics Containment Topic 333: Biden out The Storm [2020 Edition]
Xeybozn
11/01/20 3:52:21 PM
#290
Jakyl25 posted...
Well like he says, if they get 5% that actually gets them something moving forward as far as access to the mainstream political stage

Yes, but they have no chance of getting that many votes this year. Gary Johnson in 2016 was by far the most successful Libertarian presidential candidate ever, and even in a year when most vote thought the main party candidates were both garbage he still only got just over 3%. Jorgensen is so weak that she's not even being included in most polls, but the ones that do suggest she's not going to match Johnson's performance.

Sure, I guess throwing your vote away in a state where the winner's a complete lock isn't an awful thing, but let's not pretend like it's going to accomplish anything either.
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TopicPolitics Containment Topic 333: Biden out The Storm [2020 Edition]
Xeybozn
11/01/20 3:36:14 PM
#281
foolm0r0n posted...
Beyond that, I don't see what's more repudiating to Trump than voting for the L in this election, since it's saying you're a conservative that is distinctly anti-Trump.

Wouldn't it be more effective to vote for the candidate who can, you know, actually beat Trump? I don't think it matters what message is sent by supporting a candidate who'd be insanely lucky to hit 3% of the total popular vote.
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TopicPolitics Containment Topic 333: Biden out The Storm [2020 Edition]
Xeybozn
11/01/20 1:42:59 PM
#262
HeroDelTiempo17 posted...
I dont want to hear the "oh, but third parties would be more successful if only people would vote for them!" whining

Hey, that's just not fair. Third parties would totally be more successful if they were more successful. In fact, they'd win way more elections than the major parties they could just get way more votes than the major parties. You can't call them unsuccessful just because they repeatedly fail in every way.
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TopicPolitics Containment Topic 333: Biden out The Storm [2020 Edition]
Xeybozn
11/01/20 1:24:28 PM
#251
foolm0r0n posted...
They do that but you don't give a shit because you only care about federal elections.

If nobody cares about non-national elections and third parties are so much better, they should be winning a lot of local/state-level elections. They do not, and it's fairly rare to see third-party candidates win any such races. What's going on there?
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TopicBest Animated Series 2020 - Day 13 - feat. South Park vs. The Powerpuff Girls
Xeybozn
11/01/20 8:38:14 AM
#3
Simpsons
Park
Tiny Toons
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TopicPolitics Containment Topic 333: Biden out The Storm [2020 Edition]
Xeybozn
11/01/20 2:40:34 AM
#214
I could see a state being allowed to negotiate a peaceful secession, but the federal government would only agree to terms that would massively hurt the state in question. The US would have to make an example of them to dissuade other states from leaving. For what its worth, this holds even if Biden wins and a red state were to try seceding; it's funny to imagine Wyoming leaving and becoming its own country, but it's much less funny to imagine other states deciding to join them (or being forced) until the US is just the Pacific Coast and Northeast.
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TopicPolitics Containment Topic 333: Biden out The Storm [2020 Edition]
Xeybozn
10/31/20 10:49:59 PM
#181
Paratroopa1 posted...

Slavery

No, the small state advantages were a compromise to get small states to agree to join the union. Otherwise they probably would have chosen to reject the Constitution rather than be ruled over by the larger states.

Also, fun fact: The founders originally thought that most presidential elections would be decided by Congress. They figured nobody would get a majority in the Electoral College most of the time.
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TopicPolitics Containment Topic 333: Biden out The Storm [2020 Edition]
Xeybozn
10/31/20 10:24:48 PM
#174
LordoftheMorons posted...

I think the Dems currently have 23 of the state delegations? From what I've read there's a chance they could take one or two more, but I don't know how likely that is conditional on the presidential race being 269-269.

If they're underperforming that badly in the presidential race, I doubt they're increasing their state delegation count.
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TopicPolitics Containment Topic 333: Biden out The Storm [2020 Edition]
Xeybozn
10/31/20 10:20:19 PM
#168
UshiromiyaEva posted...
Is there actually a situation with the current battlegrounds states on the plate that could actually end in an electoral college tie?

A few ways, yeah. The most likely is Democrats win every state that went for Hillary plus MI/WI/AZ, with Trump taking everything else.

Better question: Is there any chance Trump doesn't win the House vote if there's a tie?
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TopicWhich of these Board 8 recommended anime do you like best?
Xeybozn
10/31/20 9:54:37 PM
#20
Madoka > TTGL > Champloo > FMAB > Bebop >>> Steins;Gate

Might get around to Death Note eventually, no interest at all in HxH/MHA/Trigun.
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TopicPolitics Containment Topic 333: Biden out The Storm [2020 Edition]
Xeybozn
10/31/20 8:50:03 PM
#157
LordoftheMorons posted...
Happening again, this time in PA

https://twitter.com/DJJudd/status/1322690607039598593

I bet a lot of his supporters there love this. Like, if this how Trump treats his friends, imagine how much worse he must be treating their enemies.
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TopicBest Treehouse of Horror Day 10 FINALS
Xeybozn
10/31/20 6:49:26 PM
#6
Now, in case all that smiling didn't cheer you up, there's one thing that never fails: a nice glass of warm milk, a little nap... and a total frontal lobotomy!
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TopicBest Treehouse of Horror Day 10 FINALS
Xeybozn
10/31/20 4:35:17 PM
#4
So what do you think, Marge? All I need is a title. I was thinking along the lines of "No TV and No Beer Make Homer" something something.
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TopicTHE Snake Ranks Anything Horror Related (Vol. 5) *5th Anniversary* *RANKINGS*
Xeybozn
10/31/20 1:39:33 PM
#322
Anagram posted...
I didn't realize it was even Halloween today.

Least spooky Halloween ever?

However spooky Halloween is this year, it can't really stand out because every day is so spooky this year.
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TopicPolitics Containment Topic 333: Biden out The Storm [2020 Edition]
Xeybozn
10/31/20 1:17:44 PM
#118
trdl23 posted...

I can't really make out what's happening in the video -- can someone point out what I'm missing?

It's a thread, most of the story is in the next few tweets. I'll save you the trouble of actually going to Twitter:

See all these pickup trucks with Trump flags? They were sitting along I-35, waiting to ambush the Biden/Harris campaign bus as it traveled from San Antonio to Austin. These Trump supporters, many of whom were armed, surrounded the bus on the interstate and attempted to drive it off the road. They outnumbered police 50-1, and they ended up hitting a staffers car. The police refused to help. When I flagged down one officer, he said his hands were tied: not my jurisdiction. He was wearing a blue stripe bandana. Understandably, though nobody was hurt, the rest of the tour was cancelled.

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TopicPolitics Containment Topic 333: Biden out The Storm [2020 Edition]
Xeybozn
10/31/20 12:25:54 PM
#114
Suprak the Stud posted...
Warnock will win for sure, but it is extremely dubious that he'll break 50%

Hopefully you guys can stay motivated for the inevitable run off!

I wonder how much Trump refusing to concede would help Democrats in the Georgia Senate runoff election(s). Opposing Trump is the biggest motivator for Democratic voters this year, after all. If Trump clearly loses to Biden and Senate control comes down to the Georgia runoff election, it might be better for the GOP to unite against whatever insanity Trump tries to pull. (They probably won't, but they should.)
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TopicBest Animated Series 2020 - Day 12 - feat. Death Note vs. The Fairly Oddparents
Xeybozn
10/31/20 10:28:50 AM
#10
Boondocks
Ducktales
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TopicYour First Thought 149: "Best movie to watch on Halloween."
Xeybozn
10/30/20 9:23:09 PM
#29
Evil Dead 2
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TopicBest song about: a Ghost
Xeybozn
10/30/20 8:03:42 PM
#12
Ghostbusters - Ray Parker Jr.
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TopicPolitics Containment Topic 333: Biden out The Storm [2020 Edition]
Xeybozn
10/30/20 2:52:50 PM
#30
Tom Bombadil posted...
I think this is going to happen no matter how or when results come in (well, not if he wins, but)

Probably, but he'll get more support for it if the election is actually close (or at least looks close). Like, if the election is a huge blowout and the media calls Texas and Ohio for Biden before most people wake up on Wednesday, would anyone who matters argue that Trump was cheated out of a victory? If Biden can hit 270 EC votes by Wednesday night or so, Trump's odds of lawyering his way to a win are almost zero.

Also, Trump will totally complain that the election was rigged against him even if he wins. He still whines about how 2016 results were illegitimate.
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TopicPolitics Containment Topic 333: Biden out The Storm [2020 Edition]
Xeybozn
10/30/20 2:29:58 PM
#26
Dancedreamer posted...
If Biden wins Florida, though, I think it's safe to say he'll win Michigan.

But if Trump's leading in MI on Election Night (unlikely, but not impossible) and the election isn't 100% clinched, then he'll probably try to stop the count, challenge the final results, and just do everything he can to drag things out even longer. Add in the fact that the courts are stacked in his favor and I doubt anyone would feel super confident about Biden's chances.
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TopicPolitics Containment Topic 333: Biden out The Storm [2020 Edition]
Xeybozn
10/30/20 1:37:10 PM
#21
Suprak the Stud posted...
If you're hoping for a quick, definitive night you're basically hoping for...

...

Florida.

Actually, winning Florida wouldn't necessarily clinch things for Biden. You really want to be scared, try imagining a map where Biden takes Florida but is still just short of victory thanks to slow counting states.

https://www.270towin.com/maps/6pEkN
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TopicBiden | 40,962,735 | 57.64% | Trump | 27,258,817 | 38.36% [Ng Election Tracker!]
Xeybozn
10/30/20 10:26:47 AM
#95
masterplum posted...
I voted Gary Johnson in 2016. Had nothing to do with Clinton being female. It was her last name and the fact that the entire Democratic Party rolled over to give her the nomination. I always thought Bill was kind of a sleezy dude (Not from lewinsky, but his adamant lying and defense about it among other things) and I always thought Hillary stayed married to him for political reasons.

So I voted Gary Johnson. This year I have no reason not to vote for Biden

I could see an argument that Johnson would have been a better president than Hillary, but he had no chance to actually win the election. Voting for him in any remotely competitive state was a terrible idea unless Hillary and Trump would be equally bad as president.
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TopicBest Animated Series 2020 - Day 11 - feat. Megas XLR vs. FLCL
Xeybozn
10/30/20 10:15:05 AM
#11
Garden
Spectacular
FLCL
Kill
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TopicYour First Thought 148: "Best Halloween candy."
Xeybozn
10/29/20 3:52:09 PM
#17
ninkendo posted...
Candy Corn

it isn't Candy Corn

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TopicYour First Thought 147: "The hottest Halloween costume of 2020."
Xeybozn
10/28/20 8:33:20 PM
#17
Sexy Coronavirus
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TopicPolitics Containment Topic 332: Pence Ignores Aide's Virus
Xeybozn
10/28/20 6:33:42 PM
#316
LordoftheMorons posted...
https://twitter.com/stevenmazie/status/1321563621470707713

JFC

At least it looks like Kavanaugh isn't 100% committed to openly stealing the election? Really, it seems dangerous for the court to interfere with election results unless it's literally too close to call like 2000. If the Democratic Party isn't allowed to win elections anymore, I have to imagine some of their supporters would turn to more disruptive means of gaining political power.
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TopicPolitics Containment Topic 332: Pence Ignores Aide's Virus
Xeybozn
10/28/20 2:49:13 PM
#299
PerfectChaosZ posted...
What kind of brain scientist decided that someone gets to stay in charge for two months after they know they lost.

Back when the Constitution was written, it could take that long just to figure out who won and get them to the capital. (Longer, actually. Until the 20th Amendment passed the lame duck period went until March.) And since it's impossible to change the Constitution, we're stuck with it now.
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TopicPolitics Containment Topic 332: Pence Ignores Aide's Virus
Xeybozn
10/28/20 2:39:49 PM
#292
Dancedreamer posted...
So if Trump loses, what terrible things do you think he'll do during his lame duck period?

He'll probably do the exact same terrible things he would do if he won, but maybe he'll try to be faster since he won't have as much time.
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TopicDo you like this character? Day 1243: Annie Wilkes (Misery)
Xeybozn
10/28/20 2:06:22 PM
#7
Yes
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TopicBiden | 40,962,735 | 57.64% | Trump | 27,258,817 | 38.36% [Ng Election Tracker!]
Xeybozn
10/28/20 2:03:23 PM
#19
Was there ever an explanation from 538 why Clinton's odds went up so much the last two days before the 2016 election? There was virtually no movement in the polls, but her odds still went up about 7% (with Trump's odds going down the same amount). I remember a lot of other political predictors were mocking them for having Trump's odds so high, so it almost seems like they just went in and manually played with the model until they got "better" results.
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TopicBest Animated Series 2020 - Day 9 - feat. TMNT 1980s vs. Digimon Adventure 01
Xeybozn
10/28/20 9:22:41 AM
#6
Avatar
Tick
Venture
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