Lurker > adjl

Krazy_Kirby posted...

so get a debit card

Reigning_King posted...

I lost my debit card

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Zeus posted...

...he literally doubled the number of people who were shot. So while you can sit there and say, "Oh, it's just exaggerated by two victims!," he could have exaggerated by four victims to go from an incident without a shooting to make it a mass shooting.

...did he shoot them with his car? By that logic, you might as well as call Craig Martin Voss, who drove his car into a homeless camp while drunk, a mass shooter.

That's not even getting into the fact that the FBI definition requires 4 fatalities, not just injuries. Not that things like facts matter to Pionear who just wanted an excuse to glibly mock another tragedy with his series of "Another Day, Another Mass Shooting." And now I'm starting to wonder how many more of those "days" weren't mass shootings. Perhaps one or two of those didn't even have anybody shot.

All of this is just you doubling down on showing everybody that you care more about the technicalities of the term "mass shooting" than the fact that some jackass decided to murder a couple of black people in what was apparently a straight-up hate crime. That's really not a good look for you.

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You should be ashamed of yourself for exaggerating the victim count by a whole two people. Obviously the two additional victims that went to hospital don't count, because he just drove into them instead of shooting them.

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If I had my genuine katana made of the finest Nippon steel, I would leap in front of them and instantly disable them with a calculated seven-point strike that left them crippled and trembling in fear while I disappeared into the crowd of astonished onlookers.

If not, I'd ignore them. Not worth getting involved. Might let the owner know if it's a small business, to make reviewing their cameras easier if they go that route.

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ParanoidObsessive posted...

The flip side of that is, the numbers are 49.etc% for people with two doses, but two doses isn't necessarily fully vaccinated. You're still technically supposed to wait 2 weeks after the second shot before you're considered fully vaccinated.

So I'd argue the real number is probably even lower than 49%. I definitely wouldn't round up in that instance.

True. The current "fully vaccinated" stat is whatever the "two shot" stat was two weeks ago, which in this case is 46.61%. That only hits 50 if you round to the nearest 10, and that would be silly.

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Unbridled9 posted...

The Sith philosophies sounded good on paper, freedom and whatnot, but always resulted in despotic systems of government because it relied heavily on the lie that YOU could become a Sith lord when, in reality, all it bred was a bunch of stupidly overpowered brats who abused those with less power and were kept in line by a Sith master who quashed any potential threats before they could become powerful.

Are we talking about Sith philosophies or capitalism?

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ParanoidObsessive posted...

California hasn't even hit 50% for fully vaccinated.

To be fair, it does hit 50% if you round to the nearest whole number. That rounding represents a difference of nearly 140,000 people, so whether or not it's reasonable is a matter of personal opinion, but it's still pretty close to 50.

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VeeVees posted...

Unless they are Middle Eastern, then they used daddy's money to make everything chrome and shit.

That mostly depends on the local international student demographics. I've seen cities where that's mostly asian dudes and others where it's middle eastern ones.

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The Jedi are arrogant and self-righteous, and have done bad things (which they often don't properly regret) as a result, but they at least generally try to do what they think is right and keep the galaxy working well for good people.

The Sith are cartoon villains. The only thing redeeming any of them from being purely evil is the recurring narrative that they fell to temptation instead of voluntarily deciding to be a bunch of dicks, which is pretty flimsy.

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Wanded posted...

that awkward moment when adjl and ben shapiro make the same point

What, that people don't want to get vaccinated because they're thinking in terms of immediate personal benefit and being salty that public policy doesn't reflect that? That's pretty obvious. Anyone that's paying any attention should be aware of that, even Shapiro.

DirtBasedSoap posted...

like 80% of the adult population in California is vaccinated.

https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/us-covid-share-fully-vaccinated?country=USA~California
https://covid19.ca.gov/vaccination-progress-data/#

49.56% overall, 68.4% in the age group that's doing best (which is not the entire adult population). Not exactly 80%.

DirtBasedSoap posted...

Im not wearing it anymore.

If you're fully vaccinated, you don't have to. Nobody's disputing the CDC's assessment on the matter. The issue is not the science, the issue is idiots using the science the justify conclusions that the science does not in any way support.

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Mike Xtreme posted...

BMW - people who can't use a turn signal

I just thought BMW didn't make turn signals. Figured it was because they started out making planes, and never got a handle on that particular car-specific feature.

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wpot posted...

Right. Of course my focus on 50/50 tricks my brain into expecting to get a drop around 178 tries for my 1/256 odds and makes me mad when I hit 400 without seeing anything, even though 400 tries is far from rare for 1/256. To calm myself down (and out of boredom) I multiply it out:

75% odds after 178 x 2 = 356 tries.
87.5% odds after 178 x 3 = 534 tries, etc etc.
...which is more or less the same as standard deviations without using the formal terms.

Sometimes that makes me feel better. Other times... :)

Yeah, most of the time when I calculate the odds of not having seen it yet, it's because I want to determine just how unlucky I've been. It doesn't change anything, but it can be nice to realize that I'm not actually that unlucky (or if I am, that my frustration is justified).

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Blightzkrieg posted...

Probably not

Indies have spent two decades raising the bar for metroidvanias and Nintendo simply hasn't kept up.

Silksong will likely be ten times as good for a fraction of the price.

This is going to make it a bit of a tough sell. By taking so long to produce a 2D Metroid (similarly, Konami's kind of abandoned traditional Castlevania and there hasn't been one of them since OoE in 2008), they've let the standards for the game be set by indie devs, who charge much less for comparable products.

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ParanoidObsessive posted...

The CDC may have accurately reported the medical science, but they blatantly ignored the psychological/sociological side of the issue, and in that moment did far more harm than good. Which is sort of the opposite of the entire purpose of their existence in the first place.

To be fair, I strongly suspect that one of the main reasons they made the announcement was to give people an incentive to be vaccinated. The sentiment of "why should I bother getting vaccinated if I'm still going to have to wear a mask?" has been a very common reason for vaccine hesitancy, and while I'm sure many of the people saying that are staunch anti-vaxxers that will just move on to the next excuse for not getting the shot now that that's gone, it could reasonably have been expected to get a decent number of people off the fence.

Of course, that ignores the fact that businesses were only ever going to treat this as an excuse to abolish mask mandates, given that the only reason most of them hadn't already is because it was illegal to. However many people were encouraged to get vaccinated by the announcement, it was inevitable that it would result in unvaccinated people doing away with masks (which actually eliminates its ability to encourage people to get the shot), and failing to take that into account was hopelessly naive.

BlockWatcher posted...

Haha its been over

By what metric?

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wpot posted...

As a video gamer, I find the only thing I really need to know is that there's a 50/50 chance of getting a drop that I want after I try 69% of the "1 in ___" times. (Which is a specific usage of the equation in the above post)

For example, if something has one of those old 1 in 256 drop rates I'll have a 50/50 chance of getting what I want after killing 178 of them. (I wish I didn't know that off the top of my head)

For 1 in 9 odds you'll need to try 6.25 times ON AVERAGE. Of course, you might get it on your first try...or 50th.

This is pretty much how I apply it, too. It's never a sure thing, by the nature of random chance, but this is all you really need to do to be able to say "it'll probably take me about this long." If you want to be really thorough about that, you can figure out the standard deviation on that and get an even better idea of how long it'll probably take (it follows a normal distribution, so you've got a 68% chance of being within one SD of the 50% mark and a 95% chance of being within two), but all you really need is to evaluate whether or not farming a given drop is going to be worthwhile, and you don't need really detailed probabilities for that.

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If the odds of something happening are X, and you're looking for the odds of it happening in N tries, the formula for that is 1-((1-X)^N). 1-X gives the odds of it not happening, then (1-X^N) gives the odds of it never happening in N tries, and subtracting that from 1 gives you the odds of it happening at least once.

Example: X=25%, N=6
1-.25 = 75% chance of not happening each time
.75^6 = 17.80% chance of never happening
1-0.1780 = 82.20% chance of happening at least once

If you're looking to calculate how many tries you need to have a given chance of seeing it happen, you need to rearrange that formula (Y=1-((1-X)^N)) to solve for N instead of Y, which means using a logarithm (the inverse of an exponential function).

Y=1-((1-X)^N)
1-Y=(1-X)^N
N=log(1-Y)/log(1-X)

Example: X=25% chance to happen, y=83% chance to happen overall

log(1-.83)/log(1-.25)=6.16 attempts to have an 83% chance.

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MartianManchild posted...

Lmfao. Get rekt.

Is he wrong? Melodramatic, sure, but wrong?

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If it were served to me, since that's only polite, but I'd probably start thinking of excuses to get out of that person's next dinner party.

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Zeus posted...

Because it doesn't fit the definition in any way, shape, or form:

Definition of a job: "A paid position of regular employment."

Definition of employment: "Employment is an agreement between an individual and another entity that stipulates the responsibilities, payment terms and arrangement, rules of the workplace, and is recognized by the government."

Paid? Check.
Regular? Check, at least as much as anyone with self-directed hours (arguably most people these days, with all the WFH) is.
Agreement with another entity? Check.
Responsibilities, payment terms, rules? Check.
Recognized by government? Check, at least to enough of an extent to charge them taxes on the income.

Generally speaking, "it doesn't fit the definition in any way, shape, or form," means you can't rattle off every single part of the definition and find that it does fit each of them in some way, shape, or form. The only actual point you seem to have is the lack of a W2, and defaulting to whether or not the government - an entity notorious for being slow to recognize emerging social trends - considers it to be a "normal" job is both intellectually lazy and utterly useless for evaluating the concept.

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Technically, you're not fully vaccinated for another two weeks. All the poinking is done, but the immunity hasn't fully kicked in yet.

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Zeus posted...

No, the definition of a job is the definition of a job. Whether or not you feel certain things fit within that framework -- beyond the stuff that clearly doesn't -- is up to you. While we could quibble all day over what does or doesn't constitute "work," a job has a pretty straightforward definition.

I'm still not seeing how professional gaming doesn't fit into that mold. You work within the framework Youtube, Twitch, or whatever has established for you, produce money for them by doing so, and they pay you accordingly. All that's missing is - as you said - a W2, which means it comes purely down to paperwork, and that's a pretty narrow, arbitrary way to define such a broad concept.

Zeus posted...

As for the self-employed, keep in mind that a lot of them have contracts (ie, a document that stipulates the responsibilities, payment terms and arrangement, rules of the workplace, and is recognized by the government) with the people they perform work for (technically all of the WWE's wrestlers are self-employed). That said, you have to use the term "job" very loosely with the self-employed because many self-employed persons only work when they feel like it.

So... they have jobs when they are working, and do not have jobs when they are not. Just like everybody else.

Zeus posted...

And not all business owners actually work at or for their business. However, for some who do, the business is structured in such a way to provide them a fixed salary (and then they can take the profits as a shareholder at a lower tax rate)

If you can consider the abstract concept of "the business" to be a secondary entity, that broadens the definition enough that there's no reason to exclude gaming from it.

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CDC: Fully-vaccinated people don't have to wear masks anymore
*45% of Americans are fully vaccinated*
Everyone: Nobody has to wear masks anymore!

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Zeus posted...

Definition of a job: "A paid position of regular employment."

Definition of employment: "Employment is an agreement between an individual and another entity that stipulates the responsibilities, payment terms and arrangement, rules of the workplace, and is recognized by the government."

In the case of most content creators, there's no secondary entity or arranged terms. They're not getting a W-2 from YT, although if they have a normal employer they will get one from that.

So your basis for defining "job" is whether or not they have the right paperwork (since that's really the only thing you've identified that separates content creators from the definition given)? That seems... pointlessly narrow. Heck, by the definition given, business owners and other self-employed people don't have jobs, and that's just a silly thing to say.

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Judgmenl posted...

How much money is "enough money to never need to work again"?

Depends where you are and what sort of goals you have, but I would expect $10 million to pretty much guarantee that unless you go out of your way to try to use more (or have no idea how to invest and therefore try just living off of that money instead of generating income with it). With more modest living, even $1 million can do the job.

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Zeus posted...

It would make things simpler, but there's probably some logistical issue besides it?

Obviously, any time you try to stop using a commonly-used word, it'll take some time to get people on board with that. It certainly wouldn't work overnight. The Oscars being as high-profile as they are, though, would be a decent place to start trying to effect that cultural shift.

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Kotenks posted...

There's a law that says husbands must be consulted before a hysterectomy? Is that a federal or state law?

I don't believe it's a formal legal requirement (not in the US, anyway), but it is fairly common for doctors to refuse to perform the procedure on a woman without her husband's permission. While I haven't confirmed this, that most likely means some guy has successfully sued a doctor for giving his wife a hysterectomy without his permission (since avoiding malpractice suits is a very common motivator for doctors refusing procedures they have no obvious reason to refuse), which in turn means there's legal precedent for encouraging doctors to get that permission.

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SKARDAVNELNATE posted...

Male and Female actor suggests they both identify as men. Best male/female performer would leave gender out of it entirely and differentiate solely by biological sex.

The idea here is pretty obviously to do away with gendering actors' job title.

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Zeus posted...

That's kind of a failure to understand what jobs are.

Then what is a job?

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OhhhJa posted...

I mean, I would definitely ask my wife what her feelings are if i wanted to do that and I think most men would

They would (and should, in any healthy relationship), but a doctor won't refuse to perform the procedure if you don't have her approval. That's the key difference.

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Zedonra posted...

You shouldn't need your HUSBAND'S approval if you want a hysterectomy? Jeeze that means you really disrespect your husband if you can't even try to have consensus on that, or if you strongly didn't want kids beforehand that should've been something you talked about BEFORE YOU GOT MARRIED.

People in relationships should absolutely be discussing decisions like sterilization before proceeding with them, because that's just the healthy way to do things, but that doesn't mean anyone should need their partner's approval to proceed with it. The law is not responsible for fixing relationship problems.

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Judgmenl posted...

Playing a game for 10,000+ hours is kinda unhealthy.

Why? If you enjoy doing it and you aren't doing so at the expense of more important facets of your life, what's so wrong about that?

Judgmenl posted...

Creating memes about it and glorifying streamers / content creators who do this, just makes gaming look bad and set unnecessary bars and creates an environment where if you want to enjoy a game, it has to be your full time job.

It really doesn't. Unless you are actually trying to compete with those people for some reason (usually because you want to similarly play professionally), there's absolutely no need for you to be similarly dedicated. If knowing that other people are playing more than you prevents you from enjoying a game, that's entirely a you problem.

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mooreandrew58 posted...

As said before.im not gonna argue anymore we aint gonna sway each others opinions.

You really dont see this level of stupid as often outside a prison but few know that cause most aint willing to work here.

I don't doubt that that's accurate (there's obvious potential for bias there, but I'm fine with trusting it for the purposes of this discussion), but using felony status as a proxy for implementing a minimum intelligence standard for voting still doesn't make much sense. If there's going to be an intelligence standard (which is a highly debatable idea in the first place, but we'll accept it as a premise), that should be clearly defined so it can be uniformly applied to all people that don't meet it, as well as being held to specific scrutiny to make sure it isn't abusive. Using felony status instead of directly assessing intelligence is just going to weed out some people that aren't too stupid to vote, while leaving plenty that are able to do so freely.

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Zeus posted...

Yeah, the last holdout often makes a killing.

That, or they make a pittance because the area is developed such that nobody has any interest in the house, so when they do eventually sell, the only potential buyer is whoever owns the surrounding developments. Developments like this have a tendency to drive competition out of the area, which tanks property values because the developer can then hold out for the cheapest sale price they can get. That's not to say people like this guy should settle for the first offer they get without trying to negotiate, but it generally isn't a good idea to hold out indefinitely in hopes that the developer gets desperate. Past a certain point, they're more likely to just push ahead and make his life as miserable as possible until he decides to move of his own accord, then offer him hardly anything because they know he won't be able to get anything more than that.

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Sahuagin posted...

(see for example the gamecube and wii fire emblem games. on the gamecube one, normal and hard are as you'd expect. but on the wii one, normal is the same as the previous game's hard, and easy is the same as the previous game's normal.)

And then 13 flipped that and Normal was incredibly easy compared to prior games and it was widely recommended that series veterans play on Hard for their first playthrough.

Revelation34 posted...

Nah I don't think I could have done some of those even on easy. Maybe if it was something like 15 years ago I could have.

Oh, I meant the achievement hunting mentality in general. Whatever the game and however hard the achievements are, I don't think anyone should expect to be able to get the hardest ones on their first time experiencing the game. The point of achievements is to provide replay value and an incentive to keep playing after beating the game. If you can get them all on the first pass, that makes them pretty pointless.

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Kyuubi4269 posted...

It's literally just because people buttmad the date restrictions would be lifted got pushed back last minute, don't twist things.

Oh yeah, I remember Winter talking about there being a set date for lifting restrictions in the UK, and me thinking that was a bad idea because of how volatile the situation is and how hard it is to say for sure that things will be where they need to be on a specific date. Guess they didn't meet the deadline. We ended up with a similar situation here, where there were last-minute changes to the plan to reopen travel with our neighbouring province because they changed how restrictive they were being to the rest of the country, and some people were so upset they blockaded the only highway in and out of the province for ~36 hours.

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Glorifying how? Praising them as the foundation of a just and pure society? Yeah, that's dumb (not necessarily "trite," though). Saying that they have a legitimate job and any attempts to insist otherwise amount entirely to some mix of jealousy and a failure to understand how the entertainment industry works? That's perfectly accurate.

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Revelation34 posted...

A lot of people like myself get in the "get all achievements" mentality. I at least realize that some achievements are literally impossible for me to get like certain ones from the Arkham games.

And that's fine, but if you need more practice to be good enough to get all the achievements, it's better to play the game on a manageable difficulty so you enjoy that process instead of burning yourself out trying to pretend you're better than you are.

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Revelation34 posted...

Just buy them now if the price is good and then get a PS5 later.

It's unlikely that they won't see similar (if not better) sales again later. There's little incentive to go for it now, if he can't play them yet.

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Mead posted...

what if you just, didnt think of it that way? Its a single player game, who are you trying to impress? Does anyone else actually care how you play games?

Pretty much. Difficulty in games is a way for players to customize the experience to be most enjoyable for them. If Hard is too hard for you to have fun, play on Normal.

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Mead posted...

Meanwhile shortsighted conservatives in the senate are blocking an infrastructure bill that they insist is just too much money to spend on the country

That probably won't have any effects on inspections and maintenance of private properties, which is the issue here. It's more focused on public infrastructure.

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OhhhJa posted...

No s***. I've seen the stats. You're refusing to accept it. 7 states reported ZERO child deaths from covid. In the states that reported child deaths, the range was 0.00-0.03% of total covid deaths. It's barely non-zero. The risk of a child dying from covid is so astronomically rare that it hardly makes sense to vaccinate them when they're still in testing phase for children.

You keep presenting the conclusion from a risk analysis involving two statistics, but only providing one of those stats. I'm not sure why you're so averse to bringing the vaccine stats into the comparison so you're actually comparing something and not just intuiting.

OhhhJa posted...

So I'll ask, what's your obsession with forcibly innoculating children with a vaccine that hasn't even been studied for a whole year?

You show me yours and I'll show you mine.

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OhhhJa posted...

I'd say the risk of death from the vaccine is greater for children than covid itself.

You don't have to "say." That's an assessment you can make empirically. Statistics are available for both figures you're trying to compare; there's no need to apply any sort of intuition or reasoning to determine which number is bigger (and, in fact, you shouldn't, because introducing subjectivity into the comparison will only interfere with it).

So again, I ask: How do those statistics compare?

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OhhhJa posted...

But the risk of death from covid is like 0.000000001% for children

adjl posted...

And how do those statistics compare to deaths from Covid vaccines? Everyone's always so quick to point out how low the risk is for younger people, but those same people never seem to follow through by also citing how low the risk is for the vaccines, which is an essential piece of information for performing that risk analysis.

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Zeus posted...

Janssen wins every time! (Unless you're a woman in certain age groups, which I kinda suspect might be an interaction with birth control meds rather than just the demographic.)

Do you really think a potential link to birth control meds wouldn't have already been reported on, if there were evidence that that might be the cause? That your idle speculation on the matter is somehow more credible than the actual data available to actual scientists studying the highest-profile scientific issue the modern world has ever encountered?

Zeus posted...

Considering that the Janssen is more cost effective, doesn't require the same storage conditions, and is a one-dose vaccine, that should logically be the priority if you're trying to vax minors.

It's generally got much lower efficacy than the alternatives (comparable to what you get from a single Moderna/Phifzer shot) and the same side effect profile as AZ, which offsets the extra convenience by quite a bit. It's still better than nothing, but we're at a point where there are other viable alternatives (that nobody's taking, but that's another issue).

Zeus posted...

I love the gall YT (at the behest of the US government) has in claiming that the inventor of a technology isn't qualified to speak about the very thing he invented.

He invented these vaccines the same way the first caveman to figure out the wheel invented cars. He does not have comprehensive knowledge of every application of the technology. In particular, his claim that the spike proteins for which the mRNA codes are cytotoxic is not substantiated and seems to be largely false based on available literature, which is ample cause for YT to shut him down for spreading misinformation.

Zeus posted...

The number of deaths within that age group are tiny (on a percentage basis, the deaths of persons aged 0-18 from COVID are 0%) and the long-term deaths from any side-effects are currently unknown.

And how do those statistics compare to deaths from Covid vaccines? Everyone's always so quick to point out how low the risk is for younger people, but those same people never seem to follow through by also citing how low the risk is for the vaccines, which is an essential piece of information for performing that risk analysis.

Zeus posted...

That's literally untrue, in that it's now a requirement for certain jobs

And as you're so fond of saying whenever issues of workplace abuse or sub-living wages are brought up, nobody's forced to work in those jobs.

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Zeus posted...

Why do you say "Do you have Twin?" instead of "Do you have a twin?" And why is "Twin" capitalized?

https://www.walmart.ca/en/ip/sugar-twin-calorie-free-sweetener/6000188769586

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JOExHIGASHI posted...

Why not just play on a computer?

Because novelty value and disposable income.

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Close friends? No. But then I've got a pretty limited set of close friends, so it's a given that they wouldn't tick all the boxes. People with whom I'm acquainted and generally get along well enough to describe our relationship as "friendly"? I think so. It's not really something I pay attention to.

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deoxxys posted...

Because I think the top priority is that a character should look like they are portrayed in their source material, I dont think thats much to ask for?

The *top* priority? Above acting ability? And in a transition where you're already guaranteed to get somebody that doesn't look much like the source material because real humans aren't cartoon characters?

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Bugmeat posted...

Those people chose to do something that they knew had the consequence of losing the ability to vote.

That does nothing to argue that they should lose the ability to vote over it, though. That is entirely the government's decision, as was the implementation of the law in the first place.

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I'd argue that if you don't manage both, you're doing it wrong. There's obviously a time and place for each, but treating them as being mutually exclusive is going to cause problems.

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