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TopicWho do you think will win this presidential election?
Zero_Destroyer
05/08/24 5:02:31 PM
#46:


Special election data is solid for Dems but if you buy the premise that high-propensity voters have dramatically shifted to the left and low-propensity voters are very Trump-favored then I don't think it matters much. There's reasons to think Biden walks it but his approvals are terrible and his polling is pretty bad in swing states.

We're locked in at this point but the only thing keeping Biden in anything resembling a "might win" position is just how awful Trump is, and that idea has backfired horribly before, so I imagine it's close either way.

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