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TopicSuddenly Trump leads PA Polling
LightSnake
10/25/24 12:07:49 PM
#63:


ReiRei89 posted...
Today we have fools dooming over the final NYT national poll having Kamala and Trump tied. While ignoring that the poll shows a lot of undecideds and said undecideds favoring Harris over Trump.

So we're going to have more fools dooming over polls they don't bother reading into because it's easier to panic and cry than it is to spend five minutes to do the bare absolute minimum to see why a poll the way it is.

People believe anything Trump is a Trump + whatever advantage. Even Harris being ahead (even comfortably) would result in some close/tied/Trump ahead polls with the MoE....

But holy hell, people need to dive into crosstabs. So much of this is panicking liberals/leftists needing to have anxiety assuaged and like...I get it, I'm anxious, too! But there would need to be a catastrophic polling error for Trump to be ahead. Sure, POSSIBLE, but not likely.

My conspiracy theoy is I don't actually believe there are that many undecideds.

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Ring the bells that still can ring/Forget your perfect offering/There is a crack in everything/That's how the light gets in."- RIP, Leonard Cohen
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