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TopicDo you think WW3 is inevitable at this point?
tankboy
10/26/24 8:57:58 AM
#20:


I think WW3 is less likely than it has been for years.

The Middle East conflicts are contained. The current Israel/Gaza+ conflict is sadly not of interest to anybody with any kind of power. Consider that the Syrian Civil War is ongoing for 10+ years, and killed more people than the ENTIRE Arab-Israeli conflict, and nobody seems to care that much. Yemen is ignored, except when they lash out. Pan-Arabism died a long time ago.

The ongoing wars in Africa (e.g., Burkina Faso) are ignored, as usual.

Russia/Ukraine will eventually end with Putin (having exhausted the Russian military) declaring victory with whatever the current borders happen to be. Ukraine will then join NATO (with a ton of aid flowing in to rebuild), ensuring future border stability.

I think the biggest threat is climate-driven instability and resource scarcity.

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