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TopicPolitics Containment Topic 444: Panic! At the Ballot
red_sox_777
11/06/24 3:45:04 AM
#495:


That New Hampshire poll from Dartmouth was even worse. When I saw it I felt there must be something wrong with the methodology since they are apparently a new pollster (despite being affiliated with a prestigious university).

I'm roughly estimating that the final popular vote ends at Trump +2. That would give a polling error for the national poll aggregation of 3 points. Slightly less erroneous than 2020 and Brexit. Hopefully we won't have to hear any more about pollsters being biased in favor of Republicans when the aggregation has undershot Trump 3 consecutive elections.


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