LogFAQs > #985657963

Also I did manage to find a spreadsheet on the Stats Archives that has both the Guru predictions and the Board Odds Project predictions on it for SC2K5, so that's handy.

I'll share some predictions for the Mushroom Division as a preview of what we were thinking as we get ready for this retrospective in a couple weeks.

Round 1

Mario - 100% for both
Carl Johnson - 87.50% for BOP, 93.50% for Guru
Zero - 100% for both
Lloyd - 98.03% for BOP, 100% for Guru

Round 2

Mario - 100% for both
Zero - 98.03% for BOP, 99.19% for Guru

Round 3

Mario - 98.68% for BOP, 100% for Guru

Pretty straightforward! Very few people believed in Ness, and even fewer believed in Wesker after his Villains Contest bomb. Honestly, you can really see how influenced we were by the X-Stats in this contest because most matches had overwhelming favorites, even the ones that seemed debatable and had the potential to be good.

There was only one Round 1 match that had under 80% of users on one side or the other, and that was Kefka/Vercetti, where Vercetti had 60% of the picks. There's only one true 50/50 toss-up match in the entire bracket in both the BOP and Guru stats, and that was Alucard/Sora in Round 2. Every other match has a clear favorite, in most cases a heavy (75%+) favorite. It's kind of wild looking back on these stats.