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TopicContest Stats and Discussion - Part 1270
LusterSoldier
05/09/17 10:58:56 PM
#26:


Trends in general are becoming less pronounced lately now that we don't have the younger voters necessary to support an ASV. The strong trends we used to have prior to 2011 were often produced by a combination of Age based trends and Geolocation trends.

There are 3 known ways of producing trends in polls:

Age based trends - The concept that a person's age strongly affects how they vote. The best known example of age based trends would be the age poll itself, but even that poll's trends have become less noticeable as the site's average age has continued to increase.

Time based trends - The concept that trends can vary quite a bit depending on what time of the day you vote. These trends should not be confused for age based trends or Geolocation based trends because Time based trends apply to all parts of the world. If a person's age makes them unlikely to vote at a particular time of the day, this type of voting does not fall under Time based trends.

Time based trends don't really appear in contest matches. The best known example of Time based trends is a poll asking what time of the day you usually wake up every day. In that kind of poll, a person who generally wakes up at 7:00-7:59 AM wouldn't be voting for that option at 3:00 AM as you would expect them to be sleeping at that time (and this applies to voters of all regions, not just North America).

Geolocation based trends - The most common form of trends that appear in polls now that Age based trends are mostly dead at this point. These trends reflect the voting differences between different regions. It is now considered the primary driver of trends over the course of a poll, since the geographic distribution of votes can change very sharply over the course of a poll. The continent poll best represents Geolocation based trends.
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