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TopicKari Lake's (R) path to AZ Governor shrinking rapidly
Zero_Destroyer
11/13/22 9:15:31 PM
#1:


https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1591967710782668800

The quick rundown: There's a lot of mail-in ballots & drop offs and Maricopa County releases them in batches. Kari Lake's team has been insistent these would be very good for her; many of them haven't been, and the excuses began to pile on, until tonight's 97k drop from a lot of red precincts gave her only 54% of the vote batch when she needed at least 57%. She remains behind by about 26,000 votes, with more good numbers likely for Hobbs from Pima County and Lake's drops being well under expectations for three nights in a row.

Hasn't been called since it will be close and Hobbs' lead will likely shrink, but Friday and Sunday's drops were pretty devastating for Lake, with them elimination Finchem & Masters entirely. Betting markets were cautious on this but odds have gone from 80-20 Hobbs' favor to 95-5 on PredictIt and 97-3 on PolyMarket. I would imagine the only protracted race in AZ at this point will be the AG race since Hamadeh is faring the best.

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