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TopicXenoblade Chronicles 3 Mafia: 1-2 Something A Bit Meatier
changmas
01/25/23 12:54:08 PM
#408:


Peace___Frog posted...
Just under 10.5 hours of my math is correct.

I'm staying on chang for now. I really dislike dumey's probabilistic approach to voting and i do think that plum is scum, but i really want to push this chang thing more.

The guy did not list a single scum read in his big catch up post. He called a few people iffy, but then said he was conflicted about everyone that he didn't list? What's the difference between those? It feels like he wanted to try to talk more but lost his own thread.

iffy = scum but i'm not ready to call them scum yet because it's day 1 and I don't have a flip to adjust my bearings to. i find it very difficult to call anyone scum on day 1 while everyone is still pretending to be town and the big shaking and maneuvering on the lynches hasn't really occurred yet. i rarely ever make a habit of doing so. much easier to get my town clears in order and go POE from there.

also i think it's pretty unfair wording to say i was "conflicted" on others - i said i was waiting for more from Han and proceeding cautiously with Edumey, everyone else was a nulltell.

speaking of town clears...

red13n posted...
I'm not going to say I'm not town because that'd be dumb and a lie but I definitely haven't had the will to keep up anything that I'd call a steering force.

i doubt red comes out of the woodwork to clarify he thinks i'm wrong about him if he's not town. he probably just lets this slide. my gut said town on red and this only solidifies it for me.

as for plum / IGCD i think plum's side of things actually is pretty believable. I know he's had frustrations with IGCD in the past and plum is also someone who puts heavy stock into the "spirit of the game / gamesmanship" aspect of things, so his response is totally in line with what I would expect from him. but ultimately that's a nulltell as I think regardless of alignment he would have the same response. still leaning town on him but not sure if he's just lashing out wildly now at Han or whats going on there

as for IGCD himself I think my "scum set play" theory actually makes some sense and it's specifically because he had to announce the shot himself in the the topic. as an anonymous shot you can shoot one of the "strongest" players day 1 but it's a straight up death wish doing that publicly. Going into the game with a set strategy of "okay, i make a little argument with somebody and then shoot them quickly" is totally an executable strategy for IGCD and i see him as more likely to be able to feign cluelessness / incompetence / "i just did it to have fun in a game" than trying to shoot someone for real reasons later and have to lie his way out of that. leaning toward that atm over just being town doing it for shits and giggles


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The Artist Formerly Known as Hannyabal
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