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TopicContest Stats and Discussion - Part 1373
LusterSoldier
10/27/23 3:09:47 AM
#468:


Poll updates and trend charts for yesterday's continent poll:

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1C3ICrSky2a0fQKBYw6Alhi9Z4Kk1FPXflRvonTo_bKM/pub?gid=2

In the overall results, the biggest change from 2013 was Europe doing about 4% better, with North America doing almost 4% worse. South America has also gone up since 2013 as well, while Asia has dropped off slightly and Oceania losing more than 0.5% in the past 10 years.

Asia and Oceania largely have similar trends, faring best during the night vote and dropping off in the morning. Both options fare worst during the ASV. Asia has a less severe drop off in the morning and holds up better during the ASV compared to Oceania, which can be explained by Asia covering a larger number of time zones than Oceania.

Europe fares worst during the board vote and SNV, best during the FNV, slightly below average during the morning. Europe also has a poor ASV. Compared to the previous 3 continent polls, Europe has seen a significant change to its trends. For comparison, these are Europe's trends from all 4 continent polls that I have tracked poll updates for:

Time | 2010 | 2012 | 2013 | 2023
EBV | 2.44% | 2.25% | 3.21% | 7.93%
PHV | 1.98% | 2.99% | 3.25% | 12.01%
FNV | 18.30% | 20.50% | 23.31% | 37.16%
BSV | 41.24% | 40.93% | 38.90% | 20.41%
DSV | 15.78% | 18.08% | 16.65% | 20.86%
ASV | 11.75% | 13.47% | 13.14% | 15.60%
SNV | 2.16% | 3.36% | 4.73% | 7.69%
Final | 15.51% | 17.48% | 17.89% | 22.00%

Although Europe finished around 4% higher in 2023 compared to 2013, it failed to properly translate into a stronger overnight thrashing of North America. Europe's best hours in the 2023 poll failed to exceed 50%, when it had previously achieved a 50%+ hour in both 2012 and 2013. Europe historically did best during the BSV time period, with the FNV as its second best time period. The 2023 poll was a departure from the previous polls where Europe significantly beefed up its terrible board vote and Power Hour (though still below average) and also performing slightly better during the DSV, ASV, and SNV. The biggest change for Europe was a huge drop off in its performance during the BSV, but it still finished about 4% higher than the 2013 poll because it got better in every other time period instead.

In the hourly trends, Europe's best hours happened from 2:00 AM to 6:00 AM during the 2023 poll. In the polls from 2010/2012/2013, Europe's best hours were from 4:00 AM to 8:00 AM. This difference could be explained by the 2023 poll being a weekday poll, so the European voters are waking up earlier than usual. The 2010/2012/2013 polls were all on the weekend instead. Another oddity with Europe in the hourly trends is a huge lull in its early morning performance, before surging again during the early afternoon hours.

North America performs best during the board vote and SNV, and still has an above average Power Hour. It performs worst during the FNV, and has an above average morning vote and ASV. This poll being on a weekday has a huge effect on North America's trends compared to the previous weekend polls. On the weekend, North America holds up far better with the FNV, but does worst during the BSV. A weekday poll favors a greatly improved BSV for North America at the expense of a weaker FNV.

South America performs worst during the board vote and FNV, and best during the BSV, ASV, and SNV. South America's trends do not appear to be significantly affected by whether the poll was on the weekend or weekday like what was seen for Europe and North America.

---
Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
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