LogFAQs > #977072205

Predictions:

Dems keep VA Senate, lose VA House again narrowly

Kentucky too close to call for quite a while; Dem internals only have Beshear up 2, so I think Cameron inches it out, but it'll be within 1-2%. The race has tightened a lot, abortion is a marquee issue, and it's a southern state where that might not play as well as it does in the Midwest for Dems. The vote on changing the constitution last year to enable abortion bans was close enough that I don't think a Dem can be comfortable here. Beshear could win b/c of high favorables tho

Reeves wins MS, but Pressley probably keeps it within 5-7%, capturing some of the white vote

Ohio abortion protections pass, probably by 5-10%. Could be more of a margin here given how badly the Ohio amendment failed this summer.

NJ isn't competitive at all; holds for Dems, probably by pretty wide margins compared to 2021.

I think Biden's unfavorables might sink Dem popularity/sentiment this cycle honestly but I doubt it translates to single issue stuff like abortion that's benefitted from high suburb turnout.