LogFAQs > #887860882

Ooh. I was considering allowing 3 double-digit favorites instead of 2, and looking at this week's slate, this may have been more unforgiving than I thought! I made my picks by combing through all games, picking out single-digit favorites that I liked, then looking at which conferences lacked picks and highlighting all games with single-digit spreads...and in three out of the four conferences where I hadn't made a pick, there was only one option! In the end, it came down to whether I trusted a 4.5-point road favorite in a Group of Five conference (same number of wins but in more games played) or a 3.5-point home favorite in a Power 5 (worse raw record by one full game, but seemingly stronger SoS). Ah, well, at least I'm not taking any Thursday or Friday games so I can drop my least comfortable pick if by some miracle Michigan drops to a 9.5-point favorite by Saturday (currently favored by 10.5). Or, um...Middle Tennessee State, currently a 10-point favorite over a team with a record 1.5 games better than theirs? ...Well, at least that makes the decision on which low-confidence team to take a bit easier.

Level 7:

American: Navy
ACC: Miami-FL
Big Ten: Ohio State (30.5-point favorite)
Big 12: Texas Tech (17-point favorite)
C-USA: Florida Atlantic
MAC: Akron
MWC: Hawaii
Pac-12: Colorado
SEC: Kentucky
Sun Belt: Idaho

...Huh. My gut instinct once I'd decided on the conferences for my two big favorites was to go with Oklahoma (28-point favorite), but then that left me with my most comfortable Big Ten team as...Michigan, which is barely even a double-digit favorite and feels like a waste of a "big favorite" pick as a result. I mean, yes, Iowa feels rather safe as well, but...TTU over Kansas, even on the road, feels safer than either of them.
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BKSheikah has the power. He is the one.