LogFAQs > #905503766

Right i get that. there are 3 gold balls and 1 white. You just picked 1 gold ball. So now there are 2 gold and one white. So two thirds. It seems that simple but there are reasons why people are using paradox's and why people think it's bertrand and think it's 2/3's or the boy girl paradox and think it's 50 percent.

Common sense says it's 2/3's. But it's not actually been proven. There are ways to prove that as factual. I'm not saying through brute force. Intellectual means too. But it seems to me like it hasn't actually been 100 percent proven.

With actual math or through just simulating it somehow and seeing what the percentage is.

People are using theory and not really explaining why in a factual sense.