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Tyranthraxus
07/22/18 1:03:35 AM
#91:


kg88222 posted...
If i average out 2/3 and 1/4. The answer is then something else. And I could be looking at it wrong. So could all of you. People could be doing the math in the proper way or they couldn't be.

You are picking from the same box. 2/3 makes the most sense to me. But again an argument could be made that is a hopeful estimate.

If a simulation was done somehow to see what the actual percentage is you could then try to figure out why that is. Or vice versa and just actually prove it somehow through mathematical reasoning.

I get why people think it's bertrands because you have to remove the balls themselves. And then there are basically a certain number of outcomes. It's 2/3 and that probably is the right answer. We could all me morons too. When you first look at it it's different than that. Why it's called bertrands paradox. But people also think it's the boy girl paradox if you take it a step further.

The only difference between this and the boy girl paradox is that there are only 3 total possibilities as opposed to 4 for the boy girl paradox.

If you redo the boy girl paradox assuming that because a genie said so that GB didn't exist, only BB, BG, GG, you end up with the same results.
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