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Topic	Leonhart Analyzes the Bracket!
LeonhartFour 10/04/18 12:28:36 PM #314:	And it's on to round 3! Division 1 (1) Dante (4) Ganondorf This is the kind of match Dante never wins. He's lost tight matches against Yoshi and Ryu in the past, and I think Ganondorf is stronger than either of them (as much as I hate to say it). Now there's one caveat I'd give here. Round 3 has traditionally been the sprite round, and we know what Ganondorf is likely to get in that case. However, it hasn't always been the sprite round (it was round 4 in 2005, for example, and we didn't have one at all in CBIX), so I don't know if you can pick Dante with the assumption that we'll see Bacondorf there. Winner: Ganondorf Odds: 75% (3) Vivi (2) Leon Kennedy Relevant polls: https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/2886-division-6-round-1-leon-ridley-spyro-vivi https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/2906-division-6-round-2-pikachu-tidus-leon-vivi This match is a good test to gauge exactly how much of what we saw from Vivi in CBIX was legit because Leon Kennedy has been cleanly ahead of him in the X-Stats in every contest they've shared. I imagine Vivi will end up being a heavy favorite because of CBIX, but I wouldn't count Leon out here...unless, as I said before, it's the sprite round, because that RE Gaiden sprite is atrocious. Seriously, we just need to get rid of the sprite round because it's a legit massive disadvantage for some characters. I almost want to take Leon here as an "upset" pick (and I might talk myself into it at some point), but I think Vivi probably is stronger now than he used to be. Either way, I think this will probably be fairly close. Winner: Vivi Odds: 60% Division 2 (1) Zero (5) Noctis Lucis Caelum It may be uncertain as to whom Zero is going to face here, but the outcome will be the same regardless of who it is. Zero is just too strong for any of these characters (barring, of course, a rally). If Zero can beat Zidane, Noctis won't pose any problems for him. Winner: Zero Odds: 95% (3) Yoshi (7) Pikachu This one is tough because we haven't had a clean read on either of these characters in a long time, and they're probably on the same general level of strength. I don't know who the Nintendo hierarchy prefers here. I think Pikachu has the higher ceiling of the two at this point, so I kind of lean toward him, but I think this is legitimately a tossup. I might just see who B8 favors and go with the opposite to make it an "upset" pick. Winner: Pikachu Odds: 50% --- http://i2.kym-cdn.com/photos/images/original/001/080/145/638.png https://imgur.com/WqDcNNq <cite>LeonhartFour posted [p:909946721] in Leonhart A... [t:77062043]...</cite> <quote>And it's on to round 3! Division 1 (1) Dante (4) Ganondorf This is the kind of match Dante never wins. He's lost tight matches against Yoshi and Ryu in the past, and I think Ganondorf is stronger than either of them (as much as I hate to say it). Now there's one caveat I'd give here. Round 3 has traditionally been the sprite round, and we know what Ganondorf is likely to get in that case. However, it hasn't always been the sprite round (it was round 4 in 2005, for example, and we didn't have one at all in CBIX), so I don't know if you can pick Dante with the assumption that we'll see Bacondorf there. Winner: Ganondorf Odds: 75% (3) Vivi (2) Leon Kennedy Relevant polls: https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/2886-division-6-round-1-leon-ridley-spyro-vivi https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/2906-division-6-round-2-pikachu-tidus-leon-vivi This match is a good test to gauge exactly how much of what we saw from Vivi in CBIX was legit because Leon Kennedy has been cleanly ahead of him in the X-Stats in every contest they've shared. I imagine Vivi will end up being a heavy favorite because of CBIX, but I wouldn't count Leon out here...unless, as I said before, it's the sprite round, because that RE Gaiden sprite is atrocious. Seriously, we just need to get rid of the sprite round because it's a legit massive disadvantage for some characters. I almost want to take Leon here as an "upset" pick (and I might talk myself into it at some point), but I think Vivi probably is stronger now than he used to be. Either way, I think this will probably be fairly close. Winner: Vivi Odds: 60% Division 2 (1) Zero (5) Noctis Lucis Caelum It may be uncertain as to whom Zero is going to face here, but the outcome will be the same regardless of who it is. Zero is just too strong for any of these characters (barring, of course, a rally). If Zero can beat Zidane, Noctis won't pose any problems for him. Winner: Zero Odds: 95% (3) Yoshi (7) Pikachu This one is tough because we haven't had a clean read on either of these characters in a long time, and they're probably on the same general level of strength. I don't know who the Nintendo hierarchy prefers here. I think Pikachu has the higher ceiling of the two at this point, so I kind of lean toward him, but I think this is legitimately a tossup. I might just see who B8 favors and go with the opposite to make it an "upset" pick. Winner: Pikachu Odds: 50% --- http://i2.kym-cdn.com/photos/images/original/001/080/145/638.png https://imgur.com/WqDcNNq</quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
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