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| Topic | Leonhart Analyzes the Bracket! |
| LeonhartFour 10/04/18 1:00:23 PM #323: | Division 3 (1) Sora (4) Big Boss As an aside, Sora must be really popular with casual nominators because this isn't the first time he's gotten a 1 seed. Perhaps coincidentally, when he had a 1 seed in 2010, this is the round when he lost...! I don't know who I favor here. I think if you're looking to hedge your bets, Big Boss is the safest pick because you know for sure he's going to be here, but we don't know who's going to be here between Sora and Red. That being said, if you're really confident in Sora or Red winning that match, you probably think highly of them, so you might want to keep rolling with them. Anyway, I personally like Big Boss here, but I admit I tend to lean toward my favorites if they have a real chance to win. Big Boss looked good in CBIX, edging out Luigi (with some help from Ness, to be fair) and putting up a really good number despite coming in last against Sephiroth and Kirby. Admittedly, Red probably looked better, and he put up a good number despite finishing last against Samus and Mega Man after taking advantage of LFF to beat Vivi and Squall. I think Big Boss's performance is a little more trustworthy because we've seen him put up performances of that caliber before while that was the first time for Red doing that (aside from RR, I guess). Sora lost despite having an LFF advantage against Pikachu and Blue, but he has the most reason to be stronger this year. There are good arguments for all three to win, but as I said, I think Big Boss's strength level is the most reliable, so I'd lean toward him. of course I'll include the caveat of that accursed sprite round because Big Boss has no chance if he gets a Metal Gear sprite augh Winner: Big Boss Odds: 40% (6) Yuna (7) Kefka Relevant polls: https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/3751-mushroom-division-round-1-zack-fair-vs-yuna https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/5178-character-battle-ix-division-4-round-1-kefka-vs-zack-vs-ryu I think Kefka is pretty clearly stronger than Yuna at this point based on those two polls. I know some people will cite FFVII decline, but gauging him through Kefka's performance on Snake the next round indicates that if he was weaker, it wasn't by much (and LFF means he's probably a little better than his final number suggests). Of course, you could also argue that Zack inflicted some minor SFF on Yuna, too, so maybe she's better than she looked. I won't say Yuna has no shot because, again, it's Kefka, but I think the numbers clearly favor him at this point (unless someone pulls a paulg and sabotages him with a Lettuce pic or something) although if this is the sprite round Yuna DOES have no shot because sprite Kefka will rock her Winner: Kefka?!?!?!?!?!? Odds: 40%???? Division 4 (1) 2B (4) Bowser Regardless of which Nintendo reptile you've got here, they should win this without too much trouble. I think 2B has the potential to be a decent midcarder, but Bowser and Charizard are a little out of her league even with the most liberal assessment of her strength. Winner: Bowser Odds: 50% (3) Phoenix Wright (2) Kirby This match will be a good chance to see just how strong Phoenix is at this point, so I'm hoping he gets here so we can find out because if Ike is here, I'd expect at least some minor SFF to obscure the numbers. But yeah, Kirby wins easily either way. He should get to the division finals without really being challenged too much barring some weirdness. No one in his half of the division really has any rally potential as far as I can see either, so he's the closest thing to a sure thing to win three matches. Winner: Kirby Odds: 95% --- ... Copied to Clipboard! |
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