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Topic	Character Battle X Contest Analysis Crew - Part 3
MasterMoltar 10/31/18 5:11:34 PM #459:	Round 1 King Dedede vs. Revolver Ocelot Moltars Analysis Alright MGS has not looked great so far. The Boss and Big Boss has mid-50% wins over their opponents, but they also faced stronger competition than Dedede. Dedede made one contest and never came back until now. He, like Rosalina, is way down on the Nintendo totem pole. Weve seen Ocelot a fair bit, and he can hold his own against opponents like this. Yeah Nintendo has looked good this contest, but theres only so much of a gap that Dedede can make up here, and that gap is wayyyyy to big. Moltars Bracket: Ocelot Moltars Prediction: Ocelot 57% transiences Analysis Man, what a trap match. There's probably people hyping up the smash direct that's coming on Thursday too which hits halfway through the match. It's pretty easy to roll over on Ocelot here. I mean, this is the guy who went down to Pac-Man in a fairly famous end-of-the-round rollover. He also lost a nailbiter to Red that wouldn't be anything close to close today. He doesn't have Magus's rep, but if you throw in the old villain contest letdown he probably should. At least he didn't drop the Wily match. But King Dedede... I mean, first, I don't think the direct matters here unless it draws tons of people to talk Smash afterwards. I guess we can measure that one in real time. Dedede is about as low on the smash pole as you can get, I think. Yeah, he's there, but I can't remember anyone being particularly excited about him being there. He was the King K Rool of Brawl announcements: very whatever. I get people abandoning Ocelot by the dozen because of Ocelot, but not because Dedede is particularly notable. The Boss held up okay vs. Metal Sonic - not the greatest barometer, but enough to tell me that Metal Gear should be OK. This isn't a new character like Drake or Joker. This is an old classic from a well-loved series. Ocelot can hang on here. I think. transience's prediction: Ocelot with 55.64% Leonharts Analysis I really dont understand why Board 8 wanted Dedede back in here. I guess you could say he had an unfair draw in 2008 getting stuck in a match with Pit, but he still lost to Pit and that was pre-Uprising. What reason does Dedede have to be stronger now? Hes facing a notorious choker and underachiever in Ocelot though, so you cant totally rule out his odds here. Im not a fan of Ocelot getting an MGSV pic either. I still think hed do noticeably better if he got MGS3 pics, but the Villains Contest is the only time hes ever gotten one. I wonder if the boards opinion of this match has changed after seeing how well Nintendo has done thus far, but its not like theyre invincible. Weve still seen them lose easily against characters clearly stronger than them. I dont know if that applies to Ocelot of all people, but Ill stick with him and hope his doppelganger Restallver Lossalot doesnt show up instead! Leonharts Vote:: Revolver Ocelot Leonharts Prediction: Revolver Ocelot with 53.50% --- no space all business <cite>MasterMoltar posted [p:911536975] in Character ... [t:77136067]...</cite> <quote>Round 1 King Dedede vs. Revolver Ocelot Moltars Analysis Alright MGS has not looked great so far. The Boss and Big Boss has mid-50% wins over their opponents, but they also faced stronger competition than Dedede. Dedede made one contest and never came back until now. He, like Rosalina, is way down on the Nintendo totem pole. Weve seen Ocelot a fair bit, and he can hold his own against opponents like this. Yeah Nintendo has looked good this contest, but theres only so much of a gap that Dedede can make up here, and that gap is wayyyyy to big. Moltars Bracket: Ocelot Moltars Prediction: Ocelot 57% transiences Analysis Man, what a trap match. There's probably people hyping up the smash direct that's coming on Thursday too which hits halfway through the match. It's pretty easy to roll over on Ocelot here. I mean, this is the guy who went down to Pac-Man in a fairly famous end-of-the-round rollover. He also lost a nailbiter to Red that wouldn't be anything close to close today. He doesn't have Magus's rep, but if you throw in the old villain contest letdown he probably should. At least he didn't drop the Wily match. But King Dedede... I mean, first, I don't think the direct matters here unless it draws tons of people to talk Smash afterwards. I guess we can measure that one in real time. Dedede is about as low on the smash pole as you can get, I think. Yeah, he's there, but I can't remember anyone being particularly excited about him being there. He was the King K Rool of Brawl announcements: very whatever. I get people abandoning Ocelot by the dozen because of Ocelot, but not because Dedede is particularly notable. The Boss held up okay vs. Metal Sonic - not the greatest barometer, but enough to tell me that Metal Gear should be OK. This isn't a new character like Drake or Joker. This is an old classic from a well-loved series. Ocelot can hang on here. I think. transience's prediction: Ocelot with 55.64% Leonharts Analysis I really dont understand why Board 8 wanted Dedede back in here. I guess you could say he had an unfair draw in 2008 getting stuck in a match with Pit, but he still lost to Pit and that was pre-Uprising. What reason does Dedede have to be stronger now? Hes facing a notorious choker and underachiever in Ocelot though, so you cant totally rule out his odds here. Im not a fan of Ocelot getting an MGSV pic either. I still think hed do noticeably better if he got MGS3 pics, but the Villains Contest is the only time hes ever gotten one. I wonder if the boards opinion of this match has changed after seeing how well Nintendo has done thus far, but its not like theyre invincible. Weve still seen them lose easily against characters clearly stronger than them. I dont know if that applies to Ocelot of all people, but Ill stick with him and hope his doppelganger Restallver Lossalot doesnt show up instead! Leonharts Vote:: Revolver Ocelot Leonharts Prediction: Revolver Ocelot with 53.50% --- no space all business</quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
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