LogFAQs > #911635743

A couple of fairly big endorsements today that may or may not have significant effects on close Senate races.

In bad news, Montana's libertarian party dropped out of the race and endorsed the republican. Libertarians got 6% last race in a race Tester won by 4%.

https://www.greatfallstribune.com/story/news/2018/10/31/libertarian-withdraws-montana-senate-race/1833577002/

In better news, Arizona's Green Party candidate dropped out and endorsed Sinema. Green isn't as big of a deal in Arizona as libertarians are in Montana, but this was likely a closer race to begin with. The Green Party did get 1.34% of the vote in 2016, so it isn't an insignificant percentage.

https://www.azcentral.com/story/news/politics/elections/2018/11/01/green-party-senate-candidate-endorses-democrat-kyrsten-sinema/1851848002/

That switches my percentages some. I'd say Tester by 1 and McSally by 1. I might actually swap both of those by Election Day. In particular, I think the Montana libertarian dropping out of the race is really big.
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Moops?
"I thought you were making up diseases? That's spontaneous dental hydroplosion."