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Topic	Politics Containment Topic 203: We Met at Borders
red sox 777 11/05/18 4:28:16 PM #288:	538 is really great, although I like using the polls-only models. The other stuff is speculation and I don't think it's appreciably better than yours or mine. With 2016, I took the 538 model, made one adjustment for a systemic polling error and got 48 states right (and was less than 0.5% off in the last 2 states). --- September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013 Congratulations to DP Oblivion in the Guru Contest! <cite>red sox 777 posted [p:911866715] in Politics C... [t:77157954]...</cite> <quote>538 is really great, although I like using the polls-only models. The other stuff is speculation and I don't think it's appreciably better than yours or mine. With 2016, I took the 538 model, made one adjustment for a systemic polling error and got 48 states right (and was less than 0.5% off in the last 2 states). --- September 1, 2003; November 4, 2007; September 2, 2013 Congratulations to DP Oblivion in the Guru Contest!</quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
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