LogFAQs > #911907762

Leonharts Analysis

I imagine Bowser is the big favorite here after their round 1 performances, but that win over Gordon probably isnt worth as much as it initially appeared, and Terra is probably just legitimately strong, too. Charizard won this match back in 2010, but he had a couple of advantages then that he wont have now. There wont be a big Pokemon release on the day of the match, and he hasnt been building up a bandwagon either. Ive got Bowser in my bracket and I still think he wins, but I have no sense of what the percentages will be. Pokemon has generally been good at resisting SFF, so I dont think Bowser will go really high as a result, but he could win by a sizable margin and I wouldnt be surprised.

Leonharts Vote: Bowser

Leonharts Prediction: Bowser with 54.90%

Kleenexs Analysis

Rematch time. Immediately after their respective round 1 matches, this seemed like a slam-dunk win for Bowser. Charizard struggled with Terra, and Bowser made Gordon look like a dude who would lose to Tina Armstrong. After a few more things shook out over the course of Round 1 and early Round 2, it started to look like maybe Charizards performance wasnt so bad. Terra and Kefka might just have been legit, and PokeFEAR might still be real. Im unfortunately writing this without having advance knowledge of how Kefka and Red did in Round 2, but I think theyll both end up impressing.

Seeing Ganon flop in Round 2 after putting up one of the biggest blowouts in the contest is also making me pump the brakes on Bowser a bit here. Nintendos ability to blow out fodder doesnt always translate to strength in later rounds. I dont think Gordon is really fodder, but who knows at this point.

This is all adds up to a match thats probably really close. Im still leaning towards Bowser edging this one out in the end, but Im way less confident than I was a week ago.

Kleenexs Prediction: Bowser with 51%

Guests Analysis - Luster Soldier

After a poor round 1 showing from Charizard and good showing from Bowser, it might seem as though Bowser has this one locked up. Hold on everyone, we've got to look at these two round 1 matches more closely first. Charizard looked awful against Terra and people were suddenly calling Charizard a fraud, but the Kefka performance against L-Block seems to validate the idea that FFVI in general has gotten stronger on the site. So I'll call this a case of Terra boosting rather than Charizard dropping.

Bowser's round 1 performance was extremely impressive, blowing out Gordon more than 10% higher than the Oracle consensus pick. This result seems to be completely on Gordon dropping in strength, which is supported by realistic looking humans looking very bad in this contest. It does not appear to be a general Valve deboost since GlaDOS looked just fine against Mewtwo.

At the time of writing this, Sora/Red is getting to the point of being nearly out of reach for Sora to win. It's a good sign for Pokemon if Red can hold this lead for the rest of the match. All three of Pikachu/Charizard/Mewtwo would have no trouble beating Red since the fanbase likes the actual Pokemon more than the human characters. I think Bowser should be a slight favorite if only because he looked great in round 1 and Charizard didn't, but you really can't be confident in picking either one to win.

Luster Soldier's Bracket: Bowser

Luster Soldier's Prediction: Bowser - 52.31%

Crew Consensus: Bowser gets his revenge.
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Moltar Status: contest hype
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