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TopicHearthstone Topic #??: Time for Blizzcon
metroid composite
11/25/18 11:50:28 PM
#337:


GildedFool posted...
metroid composite posted...

If you have a 51% winrate, and you keep queueing, eventually you will get legend..


I'm not sure this is a criticism. This is... the definition of how a ladder works. The idea is that as you rise, your winrate will get lower as you face people of increasingly greater skill level until you are playing against people of equal skill as you at which point you stop climbing.

The issue comes when you can climb with a 50% winrate or possibly even very slightly sub-50 wr which HS also allows through bonus stars (eventually with enough playtime).

I mean, there are no bonus stars from 5 to legend. The ladder also resets every month, so all the skill levels tend to end up relatively scrambled.

There's still a rank floor at 5, though.

Someone with a 40% winrate would eventually get to legend if they played enough games, thanks to the rank floor (except they probably wouldn't thanks to the ladder reset).

OK, quick spreadsheet simulation time.

Number of games to legend with a 50% winrate:

231, 340, 894, 583, 205, 348, 221, 491, 851, 167

Number of games to legend with a 45% winrate

463, 1502, 3750, 5592, 6107, 3521, 5415, 9328, 1750, 3460

Number of games to legend with a 55% winrate

330, 179, 136, 278, 213, 139, 243, 169, 104, 157

Number of games to legend with a 60% winrate

67, 249, 103, 118, 110, 77, 118, 189, 91, 90

I'm guessing I'm closest to 55% when I'm actually tryharding, just based on those numbers (I definitely don't always tryhard though). Someone with a 45% winrate probably would get to legend eventually if they played 30 games per day every day, but realistically, nah, probably not reaching legend with 45% winrate unless you're like...an actual bot that plays 24/7 (actual bots have hit legend though). I absolutely believe there are people who play better than me and can hit 60%+ winrate against rank 5-1 range (at which point they can reach legend most months by playing 3-4 games per day).
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