LogFAQs > #913081487

LurkerFAQs, Active DB, DB1, DB2, DB3, Database 4 ( 07.23.2018-12.31.2018 ), DB5, DB6, DB7, DB8, DB9, DB10, DB11, DB12, Clear

Topic List	Page List: 1
Topic	Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1309
charmander6000 11/26/18 5:20:01 PM #234:	Match CXXI: (1) Link vs. (4) Ganondorf Previous/Current Contest Performance Link - 2013 Round 1: 72.67% against Isaac (15.36%) and Tingle (11.97%) Round 2: 60.05% against Raiden (22.09%) and Yoshi (17.86%) Round 3: 44.02% against Draven (44.65%) and Commander Shepard (11.34%) Ganondorf Defeated Neku Sakuraba, 78.60% - 21.40% Defeated Chun-Li, 58.91% - 41.09% Defeated Dante, 56.40% - 43.60% Defeated Vivi, 51.96% - 48.04% Analysis After a break we are back and now the big hitters are here. Ganondorfs reward for winning his division is to face Link, a bit cruel. We all saw what happened in 2004 where Link SFF Ganondorf so badly that he ended up with a lower direct percentage than CATS. The only debate in this match is whether or not Link can repeat that feat. Despite Breath of the Wild I feel Link will not reach those numbers. While Link has built some distance between himself and the number two in this site, the rest of the field has gotten closer to him. Before it was only Cloud and Sephiroth that could break 40% on him, now I can see around half a dozen characters that could break 40% before SFF and a lot more that could avoid getting doubled. Link is still the dominant force, but he isnt quite that dominant. This has also weakened his ability to SFF Nintendo characters. In 2013, Tingle held up rather well though you could argue that he benefitted from joke votes. Yoshi went from 18.26% in 2004 to 22.93% in 2013. I still expect quite a beating, just not as badly. At least for Ganondorf hell have the losers bracket to save his (adjusted) x-stat value. charmander6000s Bracket: Link > Ganondorf charmander6000s Prediction: Link wins, 85.74% - 14.26% Match CXXII: (8) Mega Man vs. (7) Pikachu Previous/Current Contest Performance Mega Man - 2013 Round 1: 55.28% against Magikarp (31.98%) and Geno (12.74%) Round 2: 56.67% against Jill Valentine (23.08%) and Kratos (20.25%) Round 3: 40.21% against Charizard (40.17%) and Zero (19.62%) Round 4: 33.32% against Samus Aran (38.48%) and Pokemon Trainer Red (28.20%) Pikachu Defeated Scorpion, 66.41% - 33.59% Defeated Kratos, 63.41% - 36.59% Defeated Yoshi, 54.80% - 45.20% Defeated Zero, 56.56% - 43.44% Analysis Ive been getting that close, but not enough vibe in this match. Pikachu had a great contest so far and has placed himself into the conversation of being the strongest non-Noble Nine character. While other Pokemon characters were unsurprisingly brought back down to Earth, Pikachu maintained his performances from 2010 and 2013. Sadly, when I look at his performances against Yoshi and Zero, I can see Mega Man doing at least just as good as Pikachu did. One idea that has been floating around since 2005 was that Pikachu and the other division winners have had time to build momentum while the Elite Eight characters are starting off cold. I dont think thats going to be true outside of rare cases like Charizard in 2010 or even Geralt here where they were already getting a bandwagon effect. Plus, the six-day break has likely killed any minor momentum the characters may have built. If there is some kind of an effect, I could see it effecting the winner of this match. charmander6000s Bracket: Mega Man > Yoshi charmander6000s Prediction: Mega Man wins, 53.63% - 46.37% --- CBX - Today's Winners: Link and Mega Man Score: 196/256 <cite>charmander6000 posted [p:913081487] in Contest St... [t:77220885]...</cite> <quote>Match CXXI: (1) Link vs. (4) Ganondorf Previous/Current Contest Performance Link - 2013 Round 1: 72.67% against Isaac (15.36%) and Tingle (11.97%) Round 2: 60.05% against Raiden (22.09%) and Yoshi (17.86%) Round 3: 44.02% against Draven (44.65%) and Commander Shepard (11.34%) Ganondorf Defeated Neku Sakuraba, 78.60% - 21.40% Defeated Chun-Li, 58.91% - 41.09% Defeated Dante, 56.40% - 43.60% Defeated Vivi, 51.96% - 48.04% Analysis After a break we are back and now the big hitters are here. Ganondorfs reward for winning his division is to face Link, a bit cruel. We all saw what happened in 2004 where Link SFF Ganondorf so badly that he ended up with a lower direct percentage than CATS. The only debate in this match is whether or not Link can repeat that feat. Despite Breath of the Wild I feel Link will not reach those numbers. While Link has built some distance between himself and the number two in this site, the rest of the field has gotten closer to him. Before it was only Cloud and Sephiroth that could break 40% on him, now I can see around half a dozen characters that could break 40% before SFF and a lot more that could avoid getting doubled. Link is still the dominant force, but he isnt quite that dominant. This has also weakened his ability to SFF Nintendo characters. In 2013, Tingle held up rather well though you could argue that he benefitted from joke votes. Yoshi went from 18.26% in 2004 to 22.93% in 2013. I still expect quite a beating, just not as badly. At least for Ganondorf hell have the losers bracket to save his (adjusted) x-stat value. charmander6000s Bracket: Link > Ganondorf charmander6000s Prediction: Link wins, 85.74% - 14.26% Match CXXII: (8) Mega Man vs. (7) Pikachu Previous/Current Contest Performance Mega Man - 2013 Round 1: 55.28% against Magikarp (31.98%) and Geno (12.74%) Round 2: 56.67% against Jill Valentine (23.08%) and Kratos (20.25%) Round 3: 40.21% against Charizard (40.17%) and Zero (19.62%) Round 4: 33.32% against Samus Aran (38.48%) and Pokemon Trainer Red (28.20%) Pikachu Defeated Scorpion, 66.41% - 33.59% Defeated Kratos, 63.41% - 36.59% Defeated Yoshi, 54.80% - 45.20% Defeated Zero, 56.56% - 43.44% Analysis Ive been getting that close, but not enough vibe in this match. Pikachu had a great contest so far and has placed himself into the conversation of being the strongest non-Noble Nine character. While other Pokemon characters were unsurprisingly brought back down to Earth, Pikachu maintained his performances from 2010 and 2013. Sadly, when I look at his performances against Yoshi and Zero, I can see Mega Man doing at least just as good as Pikachu did. One idea that has been floating around since 2005 was that Pikachu and the other division winners have had time to build momentum while the Elite Eight characters are starting off cold. I dont think thats going to be true outside of rare cases like Charizard in 2010 or even Geralt here where they were already getting a bandwagon effect. Plus, the six-day break has likely killed any minor momentum the characters may have built. If there is some kind of an effect, I could see it effecting the winner of this match. charmander6000s Bracket: Mega Man > Yoshi charmander6000s Prediction: Mega Man wins, 53.63% - 46.37% --- CBX - Today's Winners: Link and Mega Man Score: 196/256</quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
Topic List	Page List: 1