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TopicContest Stats and Discussion - Part 1320
LusterSoldier
12/10/18 8:44:09 PM
#320:


Legends and Loser Bracket, Round 3 and later

Cloud Strife vs. Crono
Registered Vote Result:
Cloud Strife - 5002 (56.63%)
Crono - 3831 (43.37%)

Anonymous Vote Result:
Cloud Strife - 6559 (59.64%)
Crono - 4438 (40.36%)

Mario vs. Samus Aran
Registered Vote Result:
Mario - 4651 (52.64%)
Samus Aran - 4184 (47.36%)

Anonymous Vote Result:
Mario - 5041 (45.84%)
Samus Aran - 5956 (54.16%)

Compared to the first Cloud/Crono match, Cloud actually did worse with registered users in the rematch - 57.24% in the first match, 56.63% in the rematch. The biggest difference between the 2 matches were the anonymous user results. Cloud got 55.81% in the first match, and then jumps all the way up to 59.64% in the rematch. That's a pretty sharp increase in the anonymous user results, and suggests that anonymous users are far more sensitive to the pic factor. The first Cloud/Crono match had sprites and maybe the anonymous users were less likely to recognize a Cloud sprite picture compared to registered users. There's always a chance that the Samus rally had some effect on the anonymous user results of this match.

The Mario/Samus rematch is only the third match this contest where the registered user bonus actually changed the result of the match. Samus would have won by 448 votes if we went strictly by the raw votes, but Mario won by 467 votes with the registered users. This means Mario ends up winning by 19 votes.

The registered/anonymous user split for the Mario/Samus rematch is one of the largest we've seen in this contest. Mario did almost 7% better with registered users compared to anonymous users. In the first Mario/Samus match, the difference was only about 3% between registered/anonymous users. This makes me think that the Samus rally on the Metroid subreddit actually had a noticeable impact on the match.

Extra info and past results - https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1O1QuDMeK4VhHOia7bdBgtVp_F3kRTnGkkjtR0zRyudw/pub
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