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TopicPolitics Containment Topic 249: Phase 1 of a scheduled topic series
xp1337
11/21/19 4:55:17 PM
#265:


I'm not discounting it so much as I think you and I have wildly different beliefs in where that line is.

Removing Trump would be politically devastating for Republicans. To understand McConnell's position on this I think you have to look solely at one audience - Republican primary voters. That's who the GOP is beholden to. So you're not even looking at just the GOP, you're looking at a subsection that's even further to the right than the whole. Trump has completely captured that segment (and the larger whole, but especially the primary base.)

So you need a situation where either: Republican primary voters turn on Trump or the situation is so bad that the cost of depressing turnout massively among the base is a better option than sticking by Trump.

In a world with Fox News and the right-wing media/social media bubble I just don't know how you get a situation where the primary base turns on him. You have a whole bubble you can stay in that will deny reality and straight-up lie (Fox was running that Sondland said no quid pro quo yesterday when he literally testified there was.) to people.

To go back to the impeachment poll tracker. I legitimately feel like you'd need to see impeach+remove over 70% to get this conversation going. And I just don't know how in the world you get there. The floor on these things is basically 30% as-is. (There's an anecdote involving the Obama/Keyes election that pegs the number at 27% IIRC as a "crazyification" factor because it basically eliminates any other possible factors)
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xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out?
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