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Topic	CNN trying to say Biden is leading in the polls...LOL
COVxy 12/19/19 3:53:01 PM #20:	MFBKBass5 posted... He was way outside the margin of error though. What are you talking about? The polls from 2016 were blatantly wrong. Which is why his win was a MAJOR shock to everyone. If he was within the margin of error, there wouldn't have been hundreds of articles claiming that Hillary had the election in bags for weeks before the polls opened. Naw, just like the majority of things just after the 2016 election, this is narrative, not truth. https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-polls-are-all-right/ Most people only examined the probabilistic simulations run by 538, which, as it turns out, are probabilistic. Don't worry, scientists suck at probabilistic reasoning too, so there's no expectation that anyone else should be good at it. --- =E[(x-E[x])(y-E[y])] <cite>COVxy posted [p:931808373] in CNN trying... [t:78267545]...</cite> <quote>MFBKBass5 posted... </cite> <quote>He was way outside the margin of error though. What are you talking about? The polls from 2016 were blatantly wrong. Which is why his win was a MAJOR shock to everyone. If he was within the margin of error, there wouldn't have been hundreds of articles claiming that Hillary had the election in bags for weeks before the polls opened.</quote> Naw, just like the majority of things just after the 2016 election, this is narrative, not truth. https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-polls-are-all-right/ Most people only examined the probabilistic simulations run by 538, which, as it turns out, are probabilistic. Don't worry, scientists suck at probabilistic reasoning too, so there's no expectation that anyone else should be good at it. --- =E[(x-E[x])(y-E[y])]</quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
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