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Topic | Politics Containment Topic 254: Pete's Whine Cave |
Wanglicious 12/20/19 12:01:32 PM #77: | in terms of overall numbers, Biden is #1 with voters and #2 with people sticking to him. Bernie's the opposite. in terms of state specific numbers, both muddle around a lot but the voters that seem most up for grabs - the Klobuchar/Warren/Pete base - would be more Biden. the only person Bernie really has to pull votes from is Yang; Warren's base and his don't really overlap as much as one would've thought. in other words, for Bernie to win he needs to make sure that all of these names and others - Booker, Steyer - stay in the race to minimize Biden's actual majority and win via minor plurality in a few major states. as it stands, Klobuchar might've just given Biden Iowa which is the last thing anybody else in the race wants: he's already gonna dominate South Carolina, if he also wins the first one too then even if Bernie wins New Hampshire it's gonna move the needle on educated white middle/upper class vote, which is relevant for the eventual Biden/Bernie clash in California. if Biden wins that, it's over. if Bernie wins that, he's got a shot. alternatively you're hoping the senate decides to really fuck with the race and zeros in on Biden, Hunter Biden, how corrupt the man is, and manage to make him look incompetent. that or old man health issues, which both are prone to so who knows how that goes. in those regards, it's anybody's race. --- "Maybe it's a tentacle, molesting the planet itself. - Aschen Brodel. ... Copied to Clipboard! |
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