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TopicIn-Depth Contest Analysis (2020 Version)
KamikazePotato
02/28/20 9:15:53 PM
#12:


Division 1, Round 1, Match 5
(3) Monster Hunter: World
(14) Bravely Default: Flying Fairy

https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/7465-best-of-2018-pc
https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/7471-best-of-2018-game-of-the-year

https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/5741-best-of-2014-3ds
https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/5750-best-of-2014-game-of-the-year

Now this one is worth thinking about, because the winner probably wins in Round 2. Monster Hunter has never been worth much here (MH 4 Ultimate got easily beaten by Suikoden 2, which is...not the strongest game) but World really brought the series into the limelight in a big way. Its 3 Seed is still a gross overestimation of its strength, but World will have a bit of kick to it.

Bravely Default is actually pretty decent too. Its status as an early JRPG on the 3DS, and one that filled a collective craving for job systems at the time, meant that a surprising number of people played it. Didn't do too badly in either GotY poll it was in. It's not going to be a particularly strong game by Square standards, but the competition in this contest is not stiff.

I'm taking World simply because it's more recent/relevant - just got an expansion! - while Bravely Default's hype has eroded over the years. Bravely Second underwhelmed people and Bravely Default just isn't a game that sticks with you as time goes by, and it wasn't a smash hit in the first place.

Expected Result
MHW > Bravely Default
55 - 45

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Division 1, Round 1, Match 6
(6) Sekiro: Shadows Die Twice
(11) Ni no Kuni: Wrath of the White Witch

https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/7838-best-of-2019-game-of-the-year

https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/5375-best-of-2013-playstation-3

Ni No Kuni's "I almost beat GTA5 in a GotY poll!" is extremely misleading. Absolutely no one gives a crap about that game anymore, and its release hype boiled down to "Studio Ghibli JRPG! Woah!" before everyone collectively allowed themselves to admit the game wasn't very good. Sekiro is from an unpopular genre on GameFAQs and didn't do THAT great in GotY polls, but at least it has fans.

Expected Result
Sekiro > Ni no Kuni
57 - 43

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Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
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