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Topic | In-Depth Contest Analysis (2020 Version) |
KamikazePotato 03/11/20 7:53:28 PM #216: | Division 1 Finals Zelda: Breath of the Wild Dragon Quest XI I wonder if I can get away with not giving BotW a proper writeup this entire topic. Would anyone blame me? Expected Result BotW > DQ11 68 - 32 -- Division 2 Finals Mass Effect 2 Resident Evil 2 / Bloodborne / Fire Emblem Awakening https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/7514-whats-your-all-time-favorite-2-game https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/4218-best-of-2010-game-of-the-year-final https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/6162-best-game-ever-day-32-round-3-metal-gear-solid-3-vs-mass https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/6146-best-game-ever-day-24-round-2-starcraft-vs-mass-effect-2 https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/7838-best-of-2019-game-of-the-year https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/7840-best-of-2019-game-of-the-year-final-vote So here's the thing. Mass Effect 2 (2015g) VS Fire Emblem: Awakening (2015g) Mass Effect 2 has a strength of 25.58. Fire Emblem: Awakening has a strength of 22.89. Mass Effect 2 wins with 55.26% of the vote! Mass Effect 2 (2015g) VS Bloodborne (2015g) Mass Effect 2 has a strength of 25.58. Bloodborne has a strength of 21.24. Mass Effect 2 wins with 58.48% of the vote! Even with ME2's probably-underrated 2015 Xstat value, it still beat Bloodborne and Awakening easily. Neither of those games are going to increase THAT much. If you took either of them to get this far, don't take them here. Resident Evil 2 is a different story. Mass Effect 2 (2015g) VS Resident Evil 2 (2015g) Mass Effect 2 has a strength of 25.58. Resident Evil 2 has a strength of 23.93. Mass Effect 2 wins with 53.23% of the vote! It's very likely that RE2 2019 is stronger than the original. 2019 beat Fire Emblem Three Houses worse than RE2 Original is projected to beat Awakening. If you roll with that logic, and think that ME2's 2015 value isn't underrated, then it puts RE2 within striking range. It's not the worst upset pick in the bracket to roll with. I'm going to have to take ME2 in the end, though, mostly due to the 'All-Time Favorite 2 Game' poll. Those are never perfect, but while RE2 held up well it still lost cleanly to ME2. Aside from that, ME2 is the higher seed and was a bigger deal when it came out; conventional wisdom is absolutely in its favor. It just *feels* right, and you have to stretch the numbers a bit too much to make the RE2 upset a likely outcome. I wouldn't be entirely surprised if it happened, but I'm not rolling the dice on it. Expected Result ME2 > Resident Evil 2 53 - 47 --- Black Turtle did a pretty good job. ... Copied to Clipboard! |
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