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TopicPercussion Mafia Topic 8 - Day 4 starts here
Crescent-Moon
04/13/20 9:06:56 PM
#5:


Well no one else seems to be here anyways, let's get this split up properly...

Ok so. Most of my initial reads were accurate. Panthera is scum. Plum is scum. HB flipping scum breaks open the first day. Hb voted Puns because momentum was starting to swing towards Panthera. Panthera pops in, says "oops I'm late", and votes Puns. The Puns vote is Panthera's only post anywhere near the end of the day. Puns refuses to claim, and refuses to actually fight against the arguments on him. Puns claims his useless role in the tiebreaker, while Panthera does not have a single post.

There's likely 1 scum left after them, the problem is I don't have a good idea of who it might be.

I was writing a short list of general thoughts by player. Plum's section was getting so large, that I'm removing him from that list and dedicating an entire section to him first. For the second day in a row, I'm immediately lambasting the same player slot.

Masterplum is scum. Let's not overcomplicate this. One of the last things Chris said when he was alive was 5tar was scum. The first thing I said entering the game was 5tar was scum. 5tar was by far my #1 scum read entering the game. Puns defended 5tar poorly the moment he got any pressure. Plum has not done anything to make me feel better about this player slot. He defended Panthera as the lynch leader. Panthera is scum. He defended Hb as the lynch leader. Hb was scum.

Plum's primary lynch candidates:

His #1 was apparently Sultan, who's at best a question mark and is at the very least a confirmed tracker unless Tange is also scum.

He said he was ok with lynching Lea despite it being a "10% chance of a scum gambit" and basically just tacked her on at some point. He was clearly more focused on Sultan than on her.

He outright shades Tange's claim, despite later being willing to lynch Scare, when Tange's claim is the primary reason for there being pressure on Scare at all.

In topic 7, he says he could be "convinced" to vote Scare as he's voting Sultan. No context is given why.

Then we get to Balla for "inactivity". This one is the worst of all. This is from topic 6:

Panthera says DYL and Balla are the likeliest to be scum based on play alone in Post #386.

Post #395, Plum asks for a case on Balla. Plum is given an outline by Panthera in the very next post that Balla has not done much overall, and MZero quickly brings up that Balla was scanned town (More town points for MZero!). Plum does not ask about DYL at all.

Post #438, Nothing else has been said about Balla at this point, and Plum is willing to lynch Balla for "inactivity". He cherry picks exactly what he wants to hear from one post by Panthera. I immediately criticized this, as Balla was better than DYL and no worse than Panthera. Plum did not respond to me.

Plum's play does not add up to town play at all. 5tar's didn't either. The one and only thing this slot has going for it is "Wind Chimes" makes total sense as a flavor for "motion detector", and that's not nearly enough.

Now back to the list:

Scare is probably town that Hb was trying to get lynched.

Panthera is scum. My initial read was right. Corrik is right. The lingering questions I'm left with: Does Panthera bus DYL? Does Corrik bus Panthera? Bussing Panthera here seems kind of insane.

Corrik I don't trust (he is impossible to ever trust), but I feel like Plum/Panthera/Corrik doesn't make sense as a scumteam.

Lea hovers between useless and intentionally anti-town, but has an innocent scan on her.

Tange is probably getting shot tonight after the obvious doctor got himself modkilled. It is possible he could be scum, but it would require him acting very out of character from everything I've ever seen from him.

MZero is a probably-town enigma, and technically after that modkill, losing a lynch on testing him does not hurt us (We already lost a mislynch from the modkill itself, an NL day will not hurt us now). Corrik also claimed MZero has a bomb on him, so we can make a person of our choice hammer anyway. This is probably something we should test at some point.

Death I see no reason to scumread at present. I felt this way about him for most of the game in Simpsons Mafia. Also claimed miller to motion detectors after Panthera claimed miller to motion detectors and tracker. Was one of the early people on Puns, and openly suspected 5tar. He would have to be playing a really solid game to be scum.

Sultan is barely active, but is confirmed tracker. I think Sultan is overwhelmed by the level of information flying around the game, which makes me a bit less inclined to jump on him for it.

Uwnim is scum only if the conspiracy theory holds AND both claimed motion detectors are scum. However, Death's claim as a miller to motion detector probably takes Uwnim totally off the table. This is partially dependent on flips, but scum happening to claim motion detector twice in a game where town has a miller for it sure would be odd. So basically, chances are currently very high this slot is town.

DamionDL has been virtually useless. Only claimed vanilla in the game. Has not posted since 2 1/2 hours into day 3.

Crescent Meows

DYL has been almost completely useless. Has a power he has neglected to use in any meaningful way for two out of three nights. The only time he used it, he put someone I town read the moment I entered the game as his #1 scum and apologized for the previous mislynch. He missed deadline yet again, as well.

The problem we most likely have here, is that we have a whole lot of completely useless players, and chances are exactly 1 of them is scum. Losing a mislynch to that MK really hurt in this regard. Assuming 6 scum in the game overall, we now lose on 3 mislynches.

Sultan feels like he fell off a cliff today. I remember nothing he did except for his claimed scan, but he is confirmed tracker.
Lea and Damion are useless, but both have innocent scans.
DYL has been slightly more useful than the above, but has no scan on him except for Uwnim clearing him of motion night 2. Depending on the flips we see, though, this might end up being better than the cop scans.

Occam's razor can be wrong but it suggests one of these four is scum, and ALL of them have a beneficial scan to their credit. Now we can only lynch 3.


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